Thursday, April 30, 2009

Chrysler or NOT


Wow, what a battle with Chrysler !!
will it show up on the big board as a draw down?
BUT
Futures are not wavering so far at 9am, still up about 100 dow pts
Chrysler announcement now at NOON today
_________________________________-
Kenny's charts ABOVE indicate some weakness dead ahead but nothing dramatic,
and I tend to agree - internals are indicating the next move should be down
but the market still appears to be challenging the spx 878 Murrey math level
______________________________________________________

So far they have attempt twice to get above spx878, and both times have been set back.
836 was the previous low, and now we might look at 847 for near term support
assuming we fail to hold above spx 878
_____________________________________________________-
I have previously proposed May18th for a major high, and that still stands,
but in between there is some volatility that needs to be worked out

that brings to today's update
propensity index has potential to top out at open drop back and try again at 3pm -
almost a repeat of yesterday
but it shows tomrrow as a DOWN till at least mid day and the power index agrees
Astro for noon has a negative moon # pluto and could be the LOD.
________________________________________________-
Monday and Tuesday next week represent 108 & 109 tr days from Nov 20,
and should set a short term low
the readings for both days also agree with that

Yesterday's late sell off after 2:45 met with the 258 bar cycle low which appears
to have been about 30 minutes late, which is unusual, but looking back at Tuesday
we see the 180 bar low also was 30 minutes late- what does that do for 90 bars @ 4pm today?
Not sure but its scheduled for today's close and the propensity index seems to agree with a late
sell off.

we''ll see how the Chrysler announcement effects trading today after 12 noon

As you can probably tell, Im not as precise as usuall, and thats probably a function of
the atmoshperic conditions today.
for example - todays reading
Keep your cool & stay away from contrary people
expect CHANGE and stay with what has worked in the past
IMO<>

7 comments:

  1. Anonymous11:04 AM

    Tim Ord measuring for confirmation of top.

    http://www.traders-talk.com/mb2/index.php?s=f03fe9bdf8ed066e2191b9b1e26e2341&act=attach&type=post&id=10804

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous11:12 AM

    Coy, The link does not work can you copy thanks E

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous12:21 PM

    the link worked for me, opens a pdf in a window. I use firefox.

    best,
    a

    ReplyDelete
  4. I really have to tell you that TODAY will NOT be a TOP.
    spx 780 will not be seen on this trip

    Yes, a short term high is at hand and should make a low on Monday, or
    Tuesday, and Ive been writing that for at least a couple weeks

    however, Ive also written that we should expect the May5th date to be a pivot low which will get the SPX over 900 by Mid month

    After mid month= May18th we are also expecting another DIP to the 22nd

    BUT the market will not give up its hard fought gains too easily and should make another run to a
    somewhat lower pivot high & turn
    late May,

    And Is Ive also written several times, but its a long way off for us now, we expect june18th to be a MAJOR pivot low and huge turn for a huge summer rally which could get the spx over 1000

    more later
    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  5. Jay your views on the Sun Square Jupiter on 5/16/2009. which is mid May.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous12:39 AM

    U.S. Bank Test Results Delayed as Conclusions Debated (Update1)

    Share | Email | Print | A A A


    By Craig Torres and Robert Schmidt

    April 30 (Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve will postpone the release of stress tests on the biggest U.S. banks while executives debate preliminary findings with examiners, according to government and industry officials.

    The results, originally scheduled for publication on May 4, now may not be revealed until toward the end of next week, said the people, who declined to be identified. A new release date may be announced as soon as tomorrow, they said.


    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&sid=aPVqgPJeDyzE

    ReplyDelete
  7. Idris
    May 15th at 7pm
    Venus 45 Neptune
    ROMANCE and or FANTASY

    May 16th @wee hours in the AM

    the SUN 90 Jupiter on May15th is accompanied with
    EXPANSIVE OPTIMISM

    and its followed within a few hours by SUn 60 Uranus = also quite positive.

    17th Sun 90 Neptune
    Idealism abounds, maybe too much so
    18th
    Sun 0 Merc
    align yur goals with caution &
    become financially sensible

    19th @ 10;23 am
    Jupiter 30 Uranus
    Luck & good fortune
    the day is also filled with positive lunar aspects
    sun 60 moon

    that was the YING
    NOW comes the YANG

    May20th
    Merc 90 Neptune
    Perspective skewed & confusing

    Venus 150 Saturn
    Stern & Abusive

    Merc # Pluto
    $$ encounters a harsh controlling force

    Merc 90 Jupiter
    lots of talk, but no answers

    May 22nd
    Mars II Saturn
    RESTRAINT and blockages

    sun 45 Venus
    a lighter feeling

    23
    Sun 10 pluto
    authority will try to control

    24th Sunday New moon
    Restlessness


    25th memorial day
    _______________________
    SHIFT BACK to YING

    26th
    Mars 30 Uranus
    take action - explore new
    Mars 60 Jupiter =ENTHUSIASM
    Mars 60 Neptune = Inspiration & hope
    27th
    Jupiter 0 Neptune
    Inflated & unrealistc hopes & dreams abound

    More Later
    Jay

    ReplyDelete