Tuesday, September 22, 2009

abc X abc

X wave today
then next ABC to lower levels
1040 minimum
1000 maximum

Jay

27 comments:

  1. Activity index rose from 100 at 5am to 266 at open--
    now dropped to 166 at 10am, with a 30 to 60 minute lead time

    power index shows steady drop today and decline tomrrow

    propens index has yet to make a steep drop

    Jay

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  2. Sam
    The sentiment about October 10th to 16th will change 10 times till we get there

    It will be most important the first week in Ocotber

    Jay

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  3. Jay, for the record, you are expecting a substantial sell off tomorrow the 23rd??? And what is Jerry Rubenstein saying?? Thank You

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  4. Yes it can be x wave before the next a, b, c down to complete 4 around 1040.

    Some chance that it morphs into an ending diagonal to complete 5.

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  5. to my knowledge Jerry R has retired
    has been Ill with heart problems, but did so well in 2008 that he is tending to his own health and not posting or trading

    his twitter is blank
    gurubinstein

    Jay

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  6. Hank
    Tomrrow is HEAVILY clustered with
    negative aspects and should react violently with follow thru to the 55 tr days cycle on Friday.

    Funny that Oct 1st & 2nd are also afflicted with numerous but less
    critical aspects, but the 4th is a MAJOR CLUSTER & full moon
    Which SHOULD act as a CATAPULT
    the week after- thus the Oct8th calls for important highs.

    Also oct 1st & 2nd are FIBO cycles and should be lows @ 216 tr days from Nov 20 & 233 Oct 27th
    Plus 144 from March 9th

    One would expect that convergence to offer lower lows than the fibo convergence on the 25th BUT Mercury which has been in RETRO since the 7th goes DIRECT on the 29th.

    on the 17th merc was 11 out of 22 days in retro, and any effect of that retro has been delayed, but the Direct motion follows Yom Kippur and could be quite invigorating

    Jay

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  7. Anonymous12:04 PM

    SPX is indicating nothing but strenght today! Any correction near the close will lead to more strength tomorrow.

    Something in your analysis has gone awry Jay.

    oo

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  8. Jay, Thanks for the replies. So a big
    sell-off tomorrow thru Thursday, correct?? Just so we are all on the same page. I'm going to short 100 percent sometime today before the close.

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  9. Cal Vic what is your system saying here?

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  10. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  11. Possible Path:

    A 1074.77 1057.46 -17.31
    a 1057.46 1066.22 8.76
    b 1066.22 1062.47 -3.75 -42.8% of a
    c ? 1062.47 1073.81 11.34 129.5% of a
    B ? 1057.46 1073.81 16.35 94.5% of A
    C ? 1073.81 1045.80 -28.01 161.8% of A

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  12. Sam,
    The VC system is long from yesterday
    @ 42.32 qqqq. The stop is rising and
    is at 42.36. However, I did not take this trade, so I did not post it. Most people here seem to want
    bearish trades. I will post when the system exits longs and goes short.
    It won't be before 42.20 qqqq.

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  13. Anonymous12:49 PM

    I don't know how long has the so-called Hank followed this blog. But do watch out. Trade according to your own system! Jay's prediction is no better than tossing a coin. If he gets correct, like a broken clock, he will brag: the market behaved just as I told you, bala bala bala. If he gets it wrong, he will say nothing or just say: of course, we can not get it all correct. So be adviced: be careful.

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  14. Thanks Vic. I am trader. short or long. keep posting you and cal have been good. thanks

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  15. Sam,
    Your welcome.

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  16. I dont know why people like ANON bother to post anything here
    they certainly dont OFFER anything to HELP traders

    Members/ traders KNOW what to do.

    And I do not cover up my wrongs

    I just move on to the next cycle

    which brings me up to date

    Ive been looking for the 25th to be a buy and am still expecting the next 3days to sell off, but Thursday might just linger

    USUALLY Yom Kippur (28th)is marked by very SLOW trading and the reading this trip calls for making progress prior to a better reading for Tuesday the 29th.

    LAST YEAR was very unusual that it sold off so dramatically and ended down 678, then opened down another 700 pts next day but recovered much of that loss.

    at this point I can say for sure that a HUGE 5 day rally is COMING.

    whether its after the next cycle LOW, of Spt 25th or October 2nd cannot be determined yet.

    Jay


    however, IT might NOT be SUCH a HUGE buy opp as the MKT today is flirting with a new spx & dow high

    which IMO, means the REAL correction and the effects of teh fibo cycles have not even begun

    So, what AM i to think?

    Im thinking that OCT1st & 2nd could actually turn in that low at spx 1000 ive been looking at.

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  17. 00
    thats what they said on Friday

    BUt the MKT opened down 100 pts on monday

    TOmrrow's OPEn SHOULD BE a HUGE gap DOWn and NO RECOVERY

    Jay
    Ideally I would like to see today close weak
    COY
    You got any times for today?

    Ravi's Failed 5th and or Diagonal triangle ? MAYBE today

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  18. If you llok at 5 min chart from 9:30 to noon it shows bearish wedge and it is broken. what do you think?

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  19. Sam
    the UP 50 dow thrust open appears to be as a 3rd wave which was followed by a clear ABC THEN a higher high at 12;30.

    which looks like it completed 5 waves to that point

    NOW we need to see 5 waves LOWER rather than an ABC which might be hard to ID until tommorw.

    & i dont know what you mean by broken?

    Jay

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  20. Jay,
    Just a suggestion. Why not state your trades real time? Then no one
    can dispute that your system works.

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  21. Victor
    i have posted my trades many times
    jay

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  22. Anonymous2:52 PM

    http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$SPX&p=W&yr=3&mn=2&dy=0&i=p20806734239&a=154422239&r=492

    a Weekly chart of the SPX it would seem the move up cannot be sustained but hey the market does what it wants too and has. A move to 1035 area would be a test of the center tong of the green fork and a move even to 1K spx would still be inside the wedge and bulls would say that nothing is wrong and they might be right.......for now

    Astro 8

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  23. Jay Can you tell us your current trade? Short from what level. Than you.

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  24. victor
    9/17 bot TZA at 11.62
    it got to 11.98 and i should have dumped it but ----- didnt

    Also bot some DJVVP @ 89cts

    Waiting for expected correction

    Jay

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  25. thanks astro 8
    thats an excellent point


    Jay

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  26. Jay and others,

    We may be doing 3 peaks and a dome.

    http://thepatternsite.com/3peaksdome.html

    I think we are on number 21 and may be we are looking for number 22 tomorrow or day after. Any comments

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  27. Market nearly always moves up into Fed announcements. I am looking for a high on 24th or 25th.

    Ron

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