Chart from COLUMBIA - public pages, link from market thoughtsAs you might be able to see -IMO- A downtrend started at 1119 mid day on the 4th.
IT now looks like were in a 4th wave FLAT, thus waiting for the last leg to a low on MONDAY
THE MAIN trend is DOWN till Monday at 10:27am
How the market gets there is another story
as we watch the UNDULATIONS which are typical in a declining trend
Dec is NOT a crashing type month, so anyone expecting such will be sadly disappointed
Some one identified 1055 as a potential price level in the comments yesterday,
and I see no reason to negate the possibility
Im counting wave 3 low at 1085.89
1086 had been posted by some technicians as a line in the sand by some techs,
and I see no reason to negate that either
more later
Jay
ALSO
ReplyDeleteSee Helge's intraday cycles
CHART # 4
shows a LOW on the 14th followed by a sizeable rebound
link from my main page
Jay
WELCOME MEMBER # 82
ReplyDeletethanks for logging in as a follower
It also ads to your own credibility
when making comments
Thus I welcome anyone else now posting as ANON to also log in as a follower thus becoming a member
Its great for my ego [g]
thanks
Jay
Jay - can you share more info on intraday timing for today ....
ReplyDeletejay,i reckon we're just finishing minute wave1 up of 5 of 5.im thinking about 1107-8 around 10:15 followed by wave 2 down to around 1090-92 either today or tomorrow.gap up and strong rally monday onwards.what do you think of that possibility? if i knew how to post charts i could explain it a bit better but im sure you get the gist.
ReplyDeleteLets look at the mkt as a correction against an UPTREND
ReplyDeletewhich still has a higher level to achieve above 1121 on or about Dec 18-22
Having said that - where are we NOW?
1119 high
1086 low
call it wave A
Now in WAVE B or X as an intervening wave against the short term downtrend into DEC14th.
WHICH, of course would be labeled as wave "C"
1106.43 = 61.8% retrace and we are right there now at today's open & of course 9:45am
Bar cycle timing today
228 @ 10am
258@ 12:30
30b @ 2:30
39hrs at 10am conflicts with the bar cycle, so one of them might shift somewhat.
propens index did rise off DEc8th low, but has not moved higher since mid day 12/8, 2957 to 3004 and has actually backed off just a little to 2999,
but not dramatically, YET.
9:45 might be the hod today thus leading to a lower close, and not just because i got short yesterday
got to go, adding more shorts
Jay
take a look at ALHPHORN's charts
shows potential for
Fibo at work
ReplyDelete1119 - 1086 = 33 -34
1086 to 1106 = 20 -21
Wave equality
1106 - 34 = 1072
which is a level that has support
OR
1106 - 55 = 1051
the other support level
Watching & waiting now
Jay
Coy,
ReplyDeleteAny updates for us
Thanks
wave 5 off yesterday's Low underway.
ReplyDeletex
This is wave 5 of 1 folks. This is going much higher. Bottom is in. Screw the others.
ReplyDeletex
If 5 of 1 Mr. X, what do you see W2 pullback to ? thanks,
ReplyDeleteI agree big up move coming
Sam - what are you seeing - can you elaborate on timeframes / tgts ?
ReplyDeleteTargets I hear from very good ew and SC expert is 1158-1198 spx by dec 15 26. that should be the top for next two years
ReplyDeletealternate scenario i have heard is we see 1250 in spring but 900 first. let us see what happens
w 5 of 1 should end around 1107-1108 spx cash. if 1108 is passed look for 1112
ReplyDeleteThanks for sharing Sam ... what are W2 targets ... I think we will reach 1112 today ...
ReplyDeleteJay - does that change your forecast ?
Sam - can you share who is this person EW expert ?
Or maybe tomm am ... as ther eare only 45 min left today ...
ReplyDeletew2 target 1089 -1092
ReplyDeleteSamamehta
ReplyDeleteHi,
What is Flashfusion saying today. His terse comments sound cryptic again.
Sam, could you interpret Flash for me seeing you speak with him?
thanks
Sunny
Flash says short ramp into Dec 21/22 after Fed meeting
ReplyDeletesunny, our IT people have restrcited the use twitter. I will have to go home and check.
ReplyDeleteyesterday I read tat it would be foolhardy to be buying into next week.
It may mean, be cautious if MKt goes up do not get lured into buying for LT. In this mkt everything is ST. Hit and run.
swing trade has not done much as the range is small.