Thursday, February 18, 2010

option week= bullish overtone


option weeks are BULLISHLY slanted expect in very rare occasions
and this week was no exception

Oil lower- gold lower and now SPOOS at least at open

Yesterday was an 8 day HIGH, making TODAY the 8 day TURN
Flash, Helge, Jaywiz guidance all point to a lower day today

90 bars at 10:30 could be the low of the morning
as we see from the chart, it looks like a recovery after the initial low, then lower later
How high is the recovery?
You tell me- anons, then I can BLAST you when your WAAYYY off

126bars @ 1:30
156b@ 4pm, or open Friday

REMEMBER how many times I have posted tomrrows convergence at 11am
180bars @ 11;30
13 day @ 11am
Moon 90 Mars @ 10:56am

OK, YOU dont believe it, I get it
On Friday @11am Tiger has chosen that time to make his apology- hmmm.

Really sorry, I could NOT push the market DOWN for all you bears, I tried hard
but it just wouldn't give in

more later
Jay

56 comments:

  1. I would think the recovery high is going to be ES 1105 ($SPX 1108) which is the 50dma, and also could be the EW 5th after the flat 4 yeterday. Then down.

    But if I can figure it out. That means is isn't going to happen

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  2. BEN
    THANKS
    SPX 1105 -1108 sounds just about right to me also

    Some one posted a 55/56 tr day CYCLE DUE yesterday at 3;30, and it looks like it was from NOV 27th and it appears to have been a HIGH

    IT was also an 8day HIGH
    56/8 = 7 cycles

    Makes today an 8 day TURN

    As you know, when the mkt holds up during option week, it generally falls the week after as MY FEB chart shows.

    Jay

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  3. Anonymous9:22 AM

    we're going down today in a wave "c" of 4, and then up in your wave 5 before going down late Friday early next week.

    bob

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  4. Morning dip might not last very long as the ACTIVITY INDEX has jagged its way UP to 333 from a MIDNITE low of 100

    However
    In the last 30 minutes it has backed off some to 266

    Late yesterday, after 3pm, the index jumped from 1000 to 300
    thus we got a higher close

    Jay

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  5. I just flipped short and bought FAZ

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  6. ok out of /6e long 1.3633 es 1098 level will wait for pullback to go long again

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  7. Anonymous9:54 AM

    so there was no initial low, we just went straight up, and where are we on the chart now then?

    bill

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  8. Anonymous9:57 AM

    jay says 1030 could be the low of the morning so watch and see - it is not looking like that yet, but 1/2 hour to go.

    if jay and helge and flashfusion all look for a lower day today then it must be true - maybe

    sally

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  9. Oil is leading the way down today I believe

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  10. short /6e 1.3633 es 1100.5 level should go down into lunchtime

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  11. added more FAZ, double down

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  12. I think we drop into Jays noon ct turn then up into the 2pm ct turn then back down into close..

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  13. BIll
    thats a GOOD QUESTION

    The Activity index which DID drop
    to 266 as posted, NOT is higher at
    366, so ONE would ahve to guess the mkt is NOT done on the UPSIDE yet as of 10;30 at 90bars did drop it back

    Next is 120 bars @ 1pm, and/or 126 bars @ 1:30


    Jay

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  14. Anonymous10:51 AM

    can someone translate that into English

    Bill

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  15. Anonymous10:55 AM

    jay is being vague so you cannot stab him for being way out -


    My translation:
    We go up a bit more into early pm and then down towards the end of the day

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  16. AS200911:01 AM

    Daneric - mentioned that the turn should be between 1-2 today ...

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  17. Anonymous11:15 AM

    rickybobby,

    i think you should go back to driving go-karts.

    sally

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  18. Guys the key to making money with Jay's indicators is his 3 time indicators 9am 11am 1pm eastern
    these indicators tell you when the turns happen use his daily chart to help you with the frequency of the waves I have the times set in my iphone with a hard alarm so i cant miss them on vibrate with a 15" alert before hand...today these turns have worked perfectly

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  19. AS to why the Astro and Helge etc havent worked this week....op ex week is a casino the MM's work the options to shake everyone out of their profitable plays so as to get as many as possible to expire out of the money so in my opinion I have not seen many op ex weeks that any of the indicators work very well...and on top of that we had a holiday at the beginning that messed up all the waves

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  20. sorry on the times its 10am noon and 2pm central

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  21. race isn't over yet sally. It's 500 laps around Daytona, not 10.

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  22. Jay's noon central turn time should be when we turn back up into his 2pm central then down down down to about 6pm then huge runup into tomorrows open

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  23. over night move starting at 6pm.?
    think we'll close at the low? But Jays chart shows a little ramp at the close like it did yest.
    Maybe I'll buy a call or two near the close- expires tomorrow....ugh

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  24. I think the overnight will be wild with 3 big swings of 10 pts or so on the /es but each with a higher high and higher low ending with a gap up at open

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  25. I have Daily SELL signals in OIL, Gold, SPX and TSX

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  26. BEN
    The daily guidance is ONLY A GUIDE
    NOT AN ABSOLUTE

    weve had days when that last hour uptick worked and some when it didnt

    IF 150bars his at 3;30 then it should work, but to put money on that-
    thats VERY SPECULATIVE, and not worth it, at least, not to me.

    Lets see if EITHER 120@3:30 or 126@4pm bars is in play;

    THere is a Lunar 45 with jupiter at 3;23pm
    IF that brings on a swing high, then 4pm & 156 bars should be the lod.

    I publish the charts the way they COME TO Me, I dont make them up based on astro or any other system

    Jay

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  27. ok out of my /6e short at 1.3572 es level 1099 will wait for noon turn before going back long

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  28. ok went long /6e 1.357 sometimes the turns are early es 1099.50 level

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  29. Anonymous12:44 PM

    Hello,

    Do you have any manual for newcomers how to use you cycles?

    Thx,
    Andy

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  30. final stages of wave 4. guess we'll top tomorrow. my target is ES ~1109

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  31. Activity index is dropping a little more, now at 266 @ 12;45, down from 366 an hour ago

    OBV, and Ult osc both dropping also
    macd looks about ready to crossover

    Price is STUBBORN today, Like yesterday- NO SELLING, but very little buying

    Jay

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  32. Fed is purchasing coupons tomorrow ... classic Opex f**kery

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  33. Anonymous12:57 PM

    there is no manual

    there are no cycles

    they are useless anyway

    we are hopeless and ready to
    take to the gas pipe ;)

    ReplyDelete
  34. Andy
    what cycles are you referring to?

    I follow a 21 hour cycle, but break it into bars

    12 bars per hr = 78 per day
    3.3 days per 21 hours
    pivots occur along the 21 hours most frequently at 2.5 hr intervals
    30-60-90-120-150-180-204-228-258
    ITS the mkts breathing, or rythm
    It doesnt ALWAYS hit each one;

    example
    yesterday =30bars at 11;30 was hit
    and 60bars at 2pm
    TODAY hit 90 bars at 10:30
    now waiting for 120bars at 1pm OR 126 bars at 1:30 as some times it
    jumps to 3 hours, but on average its 2.5hrs

    THEN I follow a 13 day cycle, and break it into FIBO parts
    its due to complete 13 days tomrrow at 11am
    ALONG with a 39 hr cycle from FEB 10 at 10;30, and FEB 2nd, etc

    DID I get yu dizzy yet??gg

    The daily graph is from UNIVERSAL
    sources to be kept secret unless some one wants to pay me for the kniowledge.

    ITS NOT AN ABSOLUTE - only a guide, and some times a misguide.
    but has been a very good source for direction more often than not

    Jay

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  35. anon with the gas pipe

    WE do NOT go short using current month options during options Exp

    Always use money management

    Jay

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  36. Anonymous1:08 PM

    Jay, i am talking about big cycles, like on the pic of all feb moth. I dont trade inraday, iam intresting in big timr picture, do you have it? feb march april may?
    Thx,
    Andy

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  37. Anonymous1:11 PM

    And one more...

    Your cycles is only sp500? What about oil,gold and other metals?
    Sorry for my poor english.

    Andy

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  38. Daily signal for OIL is a BUY leading the way. Gold, SPX, TSX to follow.

    Going Long.

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  39. SPY 112.65 if the key pivot.

    If it holds any rally as resistance then a down to about 102.

    If price breaks above and then the 112.65 value holds as support, then a very fast rally to about 118.

    Based on everything I am looking at I currently favor the drop to the 102 area but in the end the chart will tell the story.

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  40. Andy
    I guess yuo missed the projection for a MARCH 8 Major pivot HIGh to an April 6th MAJOR PIVOT LOW

    However march 8 does NOT have to be higher than Feb 17th

    in other words, we should see the mkt roll over a take a serious dip from MArch 8th to April6th

    ps;
    Your English is fine
    Jay

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  41. Anonymous1:59 PM

    jays english is cr8p too so
    you'll get along fine

    ;-)

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  42. astral2:01 PM

    I see 2 pm and then 7 pm spikes on 18th CST
    and 11 am 19th CST
    ES/SPY

    Gold a minor spike at 2pm today CST

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  43. Anonymous2:03 PM

    that SHOULD say
    yuo will
    GET aLoNg FiNe

    odd use of capitals and piss poor spellin.

    I hope your astro calculations are more accurate than your spellin or it could explain why we are up the creek jay

    j/k

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  44. astral2:11 PM

    Sorry in my earlier post I may have made a mistake for the hour on 19th. I should say it may be 830 to 10 AM an up move.

    Gold may have another spike 19th 5 to 730 am CST.
    I am basing on an interpret. of SP500 reading.

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  45. out of longs now short /6e 1.3607 es level 1100.05

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  46. Anonymous2:19 PM

    Jay, you are right, miss alot, i am new here. Thats why i ask so many question ;) You post pic with feb cycle, do you have pic for longer time cycle, for several month? Post it plz.

    Thx,
    Andy

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  47. Anonymous2:19 PM

    Here's a helpful tip to you Andy -

    astral and rrman and benjoyce are more likely to be right than jay on short term calls.

    jay might be right about mkt going lower between early Mar and early April but how much of that is due to astro readings and how much to Eliiott Wave or Bradley dates YOU must decide.

    x

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  48. ok guys going into jays afternoon turn 2pm ct we should drop into the close and after hours but will gap up pretty big in my opinion in the morning so i guess the trade would be go short now then swap to long right at close then swap back short at open tomorrow as it looks like we gap up but then reverse and go down all day

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  49. i am already short posted earlier

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  50. Flipped to short. Bought FAZ

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  51. astral3:21 PM

    I review my post earlier.
    Gold spike possible on 19th FEB 6 AM CST / 7 AM EST
    Futures Indice 4 am CST to 2.15 PM 19th positive.

    I will be careful in any posts now on because forecasting on hours +- can be difficult.
    What Jay does here posting is probably his best as per his experience. Whatever the planets guide us can be translated but each person has his/her own good.bad luck as per their chart.

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  52. astral
    please note
    the Daily guidance has NOTHING TO DO WITH ASTRO

    Jay

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  53. astral3:49 PM

    if it's not astro WTF is it

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  54. i know what it is




    it's BS

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  55. Dear Jay

    I understand.
    I write pure analysis based on astrology mainly commodities and for longer term time frames. I am not used to interpret short term but I am going to practice a bit. If I can add some value to some day traders it would be a small contribution.
    Your guidance is pretty complex and many people follow it. FYI need not worry about registered people but there may be probably few more hundred who follow you or at least read what you post.

    I DID NOT POST THE FLWG posts:

    astral said...
    if it's not astro WTF is it
    3:49 PM
    anon said...
    i know what it is
    3:54 PM

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