Friday, May 22, 2009

ALTERNATION

Propensity index NOW shows the WAY
It rises in the AM and falls in the Afternoon

UP open till 9:45 and or 11am should LEAD to SELLING and LOWER CLOSE at 4pm

Tech level of support is FIRM at 866/870 spx
that would give us a dow of 8142

As mentioned BEFORE, today is 144 tr days from Oct27th,
which was a very important turn date.
the close of Oct 27 combined a 55% of my 13 day cycle AND an 8day cycle LOW

Well guess what we have TODAY
a COMBO of the 50%/13 day cycle low & an 8day low RE VISITED
granted the 50%/13 is due at 2pm, but I did mention that cycles can be extended.

ps;
please keep in mind that I need to review about 40 different variables
BEFORE I write these reports

More Later
Jay


23 comments:

  1. Anonymous8:45 AM

    Good work! Thanks Jay!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous11:57 AM

    McLaren

    http://www.mclarenreport.net.au/articles/articles/210/1/May-22-2009-CNBC-SQUAWKBOX-EUROPE/Page1.html

    best,
    A2

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks brother, my family and I appreciate your feedback, take care

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous12:48 PM

    Great work Jay. thanks for your help.

    sam

    ReplyDelete
  5. October 27th, 2008 took a DIVE in the LAST 30 minutes

    Could do the same thing here ??

    228bars cycle low @ 10am
    touched friday's
    Its now 12;30 and were not getting a deep dip on the 258bar cycle low
    but it is coming off the 11:15 HOURLy high

    On a 10day chart, I can count 5 waves off the high on the dow at
    8591 Wed, into 10am this morning.
    count it as wave 'a"

    We are now in wave "b'
    I can count from 10am an abc x abc
    up to 11:15am

    END OF DAY = wave 'c'

    Activity index is at 233, and I will report when it changes

    The mid day high off the 258bar low is approaching at 1pm

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous1:01 PM

    THANK YOU FOR THE UPDATE JAY.

    Waterfall

    ReplyDelete
  7. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous1:08 PM

    Just wonderful Jay. Again I say, Where are the bashers today?


    Kathy

    ReplyDelete
  9. the post I removed was a
    duplicate

    DO some MATH

    8590- 8222= 370 pts
    370 X 38.2% = 140
    8222+140 = 8360
    8364 At 11:15 AND 1pm today
    They should start wave "c"
    DOWN shortly

    If wave "C" matches wave "a'
    then we could possibly get to
    dow 8000 at the close

    Jay

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  10. BELLS are ringing

    the ACtivity index JUST DIVED from 233 to 133 at 2pm

    should have an effect within 30 min to an hour

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  11. Steve702:26 PM

    Kathy -

    the market's still up.

    There's not much to complement Jay or bassh the detractors yet.

    Let's wait & see what actually happens.

    Jay - hope you are correct, but I'm trying to leave town by 2:30 Central. Wish the move would start ASAP.

    Syteve70

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous3:13 PM

    Still think we get a 350 point drop to 8000ish? You're indicators might be a bit early. Looks like we're heading higher into the close.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Steve703:17 PM

    Jay -

    It looks like we should have bought at the close yesterday.

    Don't market timers get frustrated from trying to do something that is next to impossible?

    Looks like another wrong forecast.
    What's new!

    ReplyDelete
  14. Anonymous3:23 PM

    Hi Jay,

    Most websites have detractors, I hope you don't pay attention to them.

    Thank you for your updates.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous3:28 PM

    it looks like you will be proven right.

    sam

    ReplyDelete
  16. Steve703:30 PM

    Sam -

    Oh really.

    Do you believe we are going to Dow 8000 at the close?

    ReplyDelete
  17. Anonymous3:37 PM

    steve

    in italy we say:
    what two balls :o)

    take it easy and leave alone jay

    bufo

    ReplyDelete
  18. Anonymous3:41 PM

    Market better hurry up, 8000's a long ways in 20 minutes. Awesome predictions as always...like flipping a coin...almost as good as the atilla call this morning for faz over $6. That should've been a red flag since xtrends is such a great fade lol

    ReplyDelete
  19. Anonymous4:22 PM

    Jay's forecast is good for general direction not absolutes! Jay indicated that the markets would descend in the afternoon and that today's close would be lower than yesterday's. It happened and the emini futures are lower. Good call.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Anonymous4:23 PM

    To continue my comment..."UP open till 9:45 and or 11am should LEAD to SELLING and LOWER CLOSE at 4pm"

    ReplyDelete
  21. YES a LOW was HIT on Thsday at dow 8222 @3pm, BUT WHICH ONE OF YOU SOLD your puts and BOT calls

    AND did anyone consider ADDING more shorts at dow 8590 on Wed.

    ISNT HIND SIGHT wonderful
    GGRRR.
    _________________________
    SOLD OFF after 3pm from 8360 to 8277.

    Needless to say Im NOT happy at all.
    ThAT DROP WAS DAMNED ANEMIC

    BUT IT DID SELL OFF AS INDICATED
    You Cant falt the indicators or the cycles

    ______________________
    Does that NEGATE THE BUY ON CLOSE?

    NOT on your LIFE

    SOLD puts for small losses AND

    IM IN about 25% of account $$ - bot CALLS at CLOSE

    __________________________
    ITS STILL possible they could OPEN
    down on Tuesday to get to dow 8000, BUT I DOUBT IT

    Activity stayed down but did NOT drop under 133

    Tuesday's POWER INDEX is poised at 500 and jumps to 600 on Wed AM; today ended at 400

    GET READY TO SHORT Wed mid day at SPX 940 or above-
    power index drops from 600 as noted above to 300 on Wed, Thsday & Fri,

    Once spx 940 is achieved, the next BIG move is STILL expected from next week to drop SUBSTANTIALLY into JUNE17th

    NO, spx 600 is NO LONGER expected, but a fibo level between
    666 & 940 is to be considered

    more later
    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  22. Anonymous6:55 PM

    Jay, again a great work. Just clarification: are you expecting 940 by Wed. PM? what do you expect the tuesday low to be?

    sam

    ReplyDelete
  23. HI Sam & others
    thanks for your support

    Yes; spx 940 should be reached on or b4 Wed May27th MID DAY

    From there we REALLY DO START the correction to end on June17th

    any big dive low on June 17th should be followed by an equally monster rally

    Jay

    ReplyDelete