Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Tuesday 9/1

Whats NEXT ?

With all my updated comments, I still get that question

Whats NEXT ?

I thought I was clear, but what do I know?

Today's futures are opening LOWER as of 8:30

As PREVIOUSLY written
228bars did not hit at 4pm yesterday,
thus IT MUST HIT AT OPEN TODAY
which appears obvious from futures off 4.50 at 9am & was off 7.50 earlier

IMO, pivot today should be at noon @ 258bars and Merc 135 Jupiter
TODAY is an 8 day LOW & there is a mild neg lunar aspect as 4pm
___________________________

in addition
Another pivot at 10am tomrrow on 39 hrs cycle
I could be wrong, but I think this one will be the Low of the WEEK
Wed is an 8 day TURN, thus adding to the change in trend posture today
_____________________________

Another pivot at 11am to noon on Thsday
should lead to the anticipated RALLY of the week
higher close leading to a BURST on Friday am with the Employ # as a catalyst

More later,
Jay









46 comments:

  1. Anonymous8:39 AM

    Jay,

    "ISM--who cares"...LOL. Right on Jay! who cares about news. just alot of noise.

    thanks

    Wil

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous9:18 AM

    Well,

    sometimes a bear is just a bear.

    just except it and try not to paint lipstick on it to make it look like a cheap bull.

    hehe

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  3. Anonymous9:26 AM

    i agree with your analysis for this week jay.we're sat squat on the hourly trend line here around1014.delta is calling a low for the week either today or tomorrow,which tells me any sell off that happens this morning should be bought back up during the day to keep the daily line intact.im starting to think we have a fair way to go higher yet unless the bears really get aggressive today and we see a -30 dump,the weekly fibb bars should have capped the rally last week,but for all the huffing and puffing we're still in trend-up mode.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous9:36 AM

    BOTTOM LINE

    If SPX rolls over down before 1030 then say bye bye.

    Tom

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous9:43 AM

    So, did you short this morning or buy the dip? I bought the dip huge at the open...it was a nice gift from the market. So much for futures down huge...lol


    pg

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  6. Anonymous9:50 AM

    If you're not positioned correctly here, you could be in for alot of pain.


    pg

    ReplyDelete
  7. Anonymous9:59 AM

    Sold all my longs from 1016 yesterday and this morning's gift. Caught over 9 point move...enough for me.

    pg

    ReplyDelete
  8. Anonymous10:09 AM

    I disappeared for a while from the blogosphere and it greatly improved my trading to where it was. Amazing what a little focus and lack of noise will do for trading. Bears and top callers seem awfully quiet today...lol Good luck!

    pg

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous10:10 AM

    serious gap filling mission.time for a small pullback....

    ReplyDelete
  10. Anonymous10:14 AM

    lol lol

    ReplyDelete
  11. Anonymous10:19 AM

    This is why I sold when I did at 1026...who needs this added stress...lol Now the question is was this real buying or just a retrace b4 heading further down? See ya next time.


    pg

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous10:21 AM

    lol lol lol

    ReplyDelete
  13. Good work PG
    we could all learn from your trading

    thanks
    Jay

    Next big pivot should be tomrrow AM
    39 hrs cycle at open -10am

    ReplyDelete
  14. Victor10:35 AM

    VC stopped out at 40.10 from
    50 percent short QQQQ 39.95.
    Now 50 percent long from 40.15.
    Stop is 40.20.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous10:50 AM

    bye bye bulls. i added a ton of shorts where pg sold his longs. When all is said and done I should have 30+ points profit.

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  16. Anonymous11:00 AM

    acceleration coming asbout now!

    chrissy

    ReplyDelete
  17. Stopped out at 40.20 QQQQ from
    long 40.15 for small profit.
    Now flat and waiting for next VC signal.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Anonymous11:12 AM

    thar she blows. massive profit on shorts already! wow!

    more to come !

    much much more.

    my sell signals triggering all over the place.

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  19. VC now short 100 percent QQQQ
    39.95. Stop is 40.10 and falling

    ReplyDelete
  20. Anonymous11:27 AM

    trend is definately down until the last hour at least today,but having a scalp long at this level here at 1008.2

    ReplyDelete
  21. VC signal covered 50 percent short
    QQQQ at 39.70. Still 50 percent short
    from 39.95. So far today VC is
    -.15 on %50 short
    +.05 on %50 long
    +.25 on %50 short
    Still %50 percent short from 39.95
    and stop is now 39.93

    ReplyDelete
  22. Anonymous11:40 AM

    I want a rally soon so I can add more shorts. Might not get just yet . Probably afternoon.

    kk

    maybe I'll take a long trade here for shiits and gigges

    lol

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  23. HI kk
    GOOD DEAL
    were all in the green now

    After8
    I know youve been reading, so You must acknowledge the 39HOUR cycle PIVOT LOW which is NOw becoming more accentuated for tomorrow at 10am

    kk -Noon today is 258bars & a 135 astro- SHOULD BE todays pivot low with a high due between 2 and 3pm

    And yes they should sell off at close, but 10am tomrrow still has better chance of LOW of WEEK

    Another SHORT opp should also come at about 3:30 TOMRROW, leading top the 13day cycle pivot on Thsday between 11am & noon

    THEN WE GET THE BIG rebound to FRIDAY am after the EMPLOY HYPE

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  24. VC stop now 39.85 QQQQ
    from short 39.95 locking
    in another profit.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Anonymous11:50 AM

    thankyou Jay

    for the update.

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  26. OK,
    Sold those shorts at NOON
    Dow off 165, then it jumped to -145

    Activity index holding at 100

    I would LIKE to Re Short at 2 to 3pm today, and catch the next pviot as described

    SPX got to 1001.71
    Whats that telling US NOW?

    MY math model had 1001.67 at a 62% loss of the previous gains

    Whats NEXT ?
    78.6% = 991.55
    100% = 978.51

    IMO, THIS FRIDAY'S OPEN SUCKER RALLY on the EMPLOYMENT Hype
    will be ONE HELL OF A SHORT OPP

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  27. Anonymous12:09 PM

    yep reading and taking on board jay,just mentioning down until last hour at least because a certain component i use in my own system has flashed up "trend day".last long trade was just a vultures scalp trade with a very tight stop,mainly positioned short.no problemo!

    ReplyDelete
  28. Jay,

    In other words we close shorts on Thursday at close and long for Friday. Then switch to shorts after close.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  29. Anonymous12:51 PM

    bottoming in process ...

    no trigger yet....

    target for upside ST rally

    1012 approx.

    waiting...

    to buy....


    kk

    ReplyDelete
  30. REZA
    Your NOT READING the BLOG

    Please review

    PIVOT LOW thursday at 11am to noon
    Rally INTO close and OPEN FRIDAY till maybe 10am,

    THEN THE HYPE is OVER and they sell off till SPT9th AT OPEN

    Hope thats clear
    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  31. HI kk
    Now that were in CASH, and lokoing for another short opp, it probably wont be easy

    WHAT DO YOU CONSIDER A TRIGGER?

    SPX 1012, never make it now

    1pm HOURLY turns DOWN

    Next bar cycle is 30b@ 2;30
    that MIGHT be a short term low, but we will have to see what happens after

    The FINANCIAL stocks are BUSTED
    ALL 30 dow stocks DOWN
    spx 998.48 low
    991.55 is next fibo level.
    HERE comes 978- maybe tomrrow AM
    HIGH HOPES AIG getting pumelled
    looks like jack & jill


    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  32. Chrissy
    YOUR acceleration was RIGHT ON THE MARK

    Speak up more often

    thanks
    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  33. Anonymous1:22 PM

    looks like Mahoney got it right on the direction, its not a crash so far, but the widest range of a down day sinve july.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Anonymous1:35 PM

    There's a high hit about 14:30 that I don't think will amount to much, basically a stall to the downside.

    Additionally, a low is coming in late in the day around 15:12-15:30 of which I think there will be an downside acceleration into, followed by an up move into the close.

    Coy

    ReplyDelete
  35. Anonymous1:43 PM

    Jay's right

    1012 target maybe too much to ask.

    shrinks with time elapsed anyway.

    gotta concentrate now on scalp.

    bigger size , quicker exit for maximum gain.

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  36. Coy
    2pm was a minor high
    1003.16

    2:30 was a minor low
    1000.86

    3pm right now at 1001.49
    might turn up a little to 3:30

    IF up at or near 1003-1005,
    I am re shorting
    power index shows lower at close and lower tomrrow open= 39 hr cycle at 10am

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  37. Anonymous3:16 PM

    BEAR FLAG off the LOD.

    Mark

    ReplyDelete
  38. Anonymous3:42 PM

    added more shorts .

    target tomorrow of 988

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  39. OK, kk
    I re-shorted at 3;30 & now profitable

    COy
    astro did not agree with UP close

    A buy off the 10am might be considered; power index closes higher on 9/2

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  40. Anonymous4:01 PM

    Jay,

    Today we were hummmmmmmming.

    Need a beer now.

    see ya tomorrow.

    kk

    ReplyDelete
  41. Still Short 50 percent QQQQ from
    39.95. Stop is now 39.75 locking in
    another .20 profit. One QQQQ point=
    .25 cent ES move.

    ReplyDelete
  42. the June/July downmove was about 36 days approx 6 up then 6 down then 6 up

    ReplyDelete
  43. a month total rather than 36 days the up and down days are the same

    ReplyDelete
  44. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  45. Since we did a three after a series of one, two,one, two of different order; once the three is over this AM, we should get four up five down twice, before starting the rally in higher order second wave.

    That can be consistent with Jay's call for a Thursday bottom and a rally into Friday to add shorts to.

    Assuming we botttom around 985 or so , the retrace fib would be 1006-1012-1018 area. The resistance at 1016.2 and 1014.62, limits that to 1006-1012

    ReplyDelete
  46. Anonymous11:38 AM

    Jay, what is you opinion on gold with the rise today. Buy, Hold, Sell?
    HB

    ReplyDelete