Wednesday, September 02, 2009

UPDATE & new thread

-2.90 spx Futures at 8:30 are consistent with the 39 hour LOW due at 9:45 to 10am

FIBO level of 991.55 is next level @ 78.6% retracement

FROM there, the PROPENS index shows UP for the day, and astro points to 3;30
Propens index makes a dive either late today or Tomrrow which is consistent
with the power index as well as the 13 day cycle as previously mentioned several times

Summary
TODAY -Down at open, then Up till 3;30
Thurs - UP open, maybe - drop into 11am-noon = next pivot low- then UP
Fri TOPS at 10am or by 11am latest on the Employment HYPE

IMO, FRIDAY open - BEST SHORT of the WEEK, expect sell off to CONTINUE on 8th
9th OPEN LOWER on 39 hr cycle at 10am

I hope some of you are catching onto the 26& 39 hr cycles
Aug 17 + 39 hrs = Spt 2nd at 10am [[ lo to lo ]]
Aug 31st at 10am LOW + 39 hrs = Spt 9th at 10am
___________________

Aug 28th @ 12:30pm + 26 hrs = Spt3rd at 11am to noon [w] other cycles converging
Aug 31st Low @ 10am + 26hrs = Spt4th HIGH- YES HIGH- low to high @ 10am


more later
Jay






44 comments:

  1. thanks for the update Jay I'm still struggling with the 26& 39 hr cycles
    but I'll keep watching maybe it will soak in lol

    ReplyDelete
  2. Anonymous9:20 AM

    Lows:

    10:40

    11:40

    12:25

    Coy

    ReplyDelete
  3. Still short from QQQQ 39.95 and
    holding 50 percent. Stop is now
    39.77 locking in a nice profit.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Anonymous10:05 AM

    TRIANGLE.....

    ....and the breakDOWN later...

    fdr

    ReplyDelete
  5. Anonymous10:11 AM

    MEGAPHONE....

    on the TSX....

    .....breakDOWN later....


    fdr

    ReplyDelete
  6. Anonymous10:18 AM

    Looks like we're bottoming, but we're not. imo



    pg

    ReplyDelete
  7. rrman
    I keep a DAILY LOG of the day's action
    closing
    astro
    cycles
    readings
    propens
    bar cycles
    Etc
    ALL on a LEGAL pad broken down into 5 days for the week.

    I can refer back to any point in time that was significant on any day going back years

    With out that, I would LOSE continuity

    Maybe thats just me, and maybe others can do it another way, but Ive been recording data like this for a long time

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  8. pg
    When is a bottom NOT a bottom

    Are we NEAR A BUY pivot ?
    that is more the question

    Will there be a small rebound today after 10;30 , and will 11am be the actual TURN higher to 3pm


    60bars at 10;30 should open up after ward.
    90b @ 1pm
    126b @ 4pm OR open tomrrow

    the FIBO levels
    991.55- have not gotten there
    1001.67 - they could challenge that later
    1008.99, I dont think thats today's target
    BUT they could attempt something in between 1001 & 1009

    THE BEST BUY will come OFF tomrrows LOW at 11am to noon

    THE BEST SHORT will come OFF Friday's OPEN till 10am and or 11am at the latest

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  9. Anonymous10:31 AM

    buying at this level 993.8

    ReplyDelete
  10. Anonymous10:32 AM

    stop at 989.6

    ReplyDelete
  11. its now 10:35 am activity still at 100 and has been flat for hours
    except for 2 small bump ups to
    133, but now back to 100 --
    10:40 its NOW at 133

    SPX hit 991.97 @ 10;30 on 60bars- - might have set the stage for the rebound ??

    pg, IM IN
    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous10:47 AM

    Buy pivot? You're right that's the better question...hard to say Jay. The easy trades have been made already...shorting the spike yesterday was the easy one if you notice how every spike was being sold off for over a week now. I see 975-980 as a possibility here before basing action. But then, I don't really care where the market goes. I'm just looking for the next "easy" trade. Anyone taking a long or short here with confidence is either gambling or way better than me. I'm in cash.

    pg


    pg

    ReplyDelete
  13. Anonymous10:49 AM

    nice1 Jay, I may have missed out. But I'm waiting to short or buy at a different point....better plays imo...but I'll probably be proved wrong here. Good luck!


    pg

    ReplyDelete
  14. Anonymous10:56 AM

    Now the TSX intraday pattern is developing into ...

    DIAMOND..,

    breakDOWN coming later....

    fdr

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous10:59 AM

    taking profits here at 999.8

    ReplyDelete
  16. Working on wave iv of (i)

    all of iii 1030.58 991.97 -38.61

    iv of % of iii ???
    38.20% 1006.72 14.75
    50% 1011.28 19.30
    61.80% 1015.83 23.86

    Likely retrace to 1006.72 area??, before going into v of (i) to go below 991.97

    ReplyDelete
  17. Anonymous11:15 AM

    any chance of a pull back in gold?
    Mahendra has been so sure of a decline in gold and other commodities for a few months. Does anyone know if he changed his mind yet?
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Anonymous11:21 AM

    another decent rally will be a gift,to hold until the 13 day cycle low friday i reckon

    ReplyDelete
  19. Anonymous11:41 AM

    Jay, What is next for gold? Big move up today.
    HB

    ReplyDelete
  20. GOLD at short term resistance

    however, imo, should trade between 950 and 1000 till OCT3rd = Seasonal HIGH

    Do you have a 25 or 40 year seasonal chart?

    Google it and see if anything shows
    up

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  21. Jay is right. seasonal long on gold. biggest buyers are in India for their new year (Diwali) in October.

    Good short entry 1008-1012. Long, I do not trust. we may continue to drop to 975

    ReplyDelete
  22. Anonymous12:19 PM

    Here's a question to ask.

    If we sell off hard in September, and Indian market tanks, how many Indians would be in a mood to purchase Gold?

    ReplyDelete
  23. Anon,

    India is a cash economy. Stocks is a sideshow unlike the west. People speculate in real estate with cold hard cash as banks do not lend for land value. This is one reason why the market bounced back pretty hard in india.

    ReplyDelete
  24. Jay,

    Can the peak come on Fri morning at 8:29AM just before the jobs report instead of at 10 to 11AM? Just looking at the possibility that we ramp down from 8:30AM instead of making a high between 10 to 11.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Anonymous1:09 PM

    Arak:

    Market in US also bounced back. It means nothing.

    There has been an uproar in the Parliament about rising food prices and hike in other commodities. They'll throw the market under the bus to control the prices, otherwise Government will be out of job.

    People don't buy Gold when they don't have jobs or are facing diminished prospects.

    I think I know and understand India, its people and economy fairly well.

    ReplyDelete
  26. rising food prices = better rural income = more gold purchase. I was a farm boy ... and I know what my relatives are up to ;-)

    ReplyDelete
  27. Arak
    Friday peak as per POWER INDEX
    starts at 600, up from 500 day b4
    then tanks to 300 by days end

    I think INITIAL CLAIMS tomorrw at 8:30 will be a catalyst for an OPEN high at 9:35-9:45am
    but cycle convergence still at 11am to noon

    Friday's EMPLOY report should follow the same scenario as the day b4 on claims

    BUT this TIME Friday wll NOT recover as Thursday should

    Activity is languishing - NOW at 66, but im hungry at 1;30, so a battle is quietly raging.

    MY GAME PLAN
    WAIT FOR OPEN TOMRROW TO DUMP CALLS
    ______________
    WAIT FOR OPEN FRIDAY to BUY short
    HOLD till 9th at 10am

    more later
    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  28. Anonymous1:33 PM

    TRIANGLE ...could be complete...

    ...do u c it?...

    fdr

    ReplyDelete
  29. FROM FLASH:
    i ASSUME HE MEANS UP

    FYI MKT: SIMON says turn day is 9/3/09; JOSHUA says today 9/2/09
    about 3 hours ago from web

    ReplyDelete
  30. Anonymous2:05 PM

    long here again at 996.5,stop 993

    ReplyDelete
  31. Anonymous2:35 PM

    taking profit here at 999.3

    ReplyDelete
  32. Anonymous3:33 PM

    what's flash's twitter?

    thanks

    ReplyDelete
  33. Anonymous3:57 PM

    buying again here at 995.3.stop at 991.3.(overnight trade)

    ReplyDelete
  34. Anonymous3:58 PM

    just posting these coz i remember someone saying nobodys posting in real time here!

    ReplyDelete
  35. Flash twitter for Anonym:

    http://twitter.com/FlashFusion

    ReplyDelete
  36. I HAVE A LINK on the MAIN PAGE to
    the RIGHT in light green
    FOR FLASH and SOME other sites I visit occasionally

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
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    carwadontester981

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