Tuesday, August 31, 2010

August 31st EKG

OK, But papa wants MORE
Jay
Futures indicate a LOWER open

13 hr cycle indicates a quick rebound off the open

10am/13 hr cycle indicates a SEVERE downturn
given consumer & investor confidence data

Hurricane's Earl & Fiona are heading our way- East Coast

As I PREVIOUSLY mentioned- Spx 1040 has to be broken today,
and it certainly looks like it will be CHALLENGED this AM

Once gone, the next target of course is 1010

this is NOT cut in stone, but would be expected if Your a student of Elliott waves
to reiterate
1220-1040 =180 pts lost in wave {A}
rebound to 1130 in wave {B} = 90 pts
WAVE equality would suggest Wv {C} = 180 pts
1130 - 180 =950

we have a convergence of cycle PIVOTS hitting Spt 3rd
377 tr days from March 9th, 2009
144 tr days from Feb 8th, 2010
464 tr days Oct 27th, 2008 - which is an 8 day repeating segmented cycle

more later
Jay

10 comments:

  1. My 34 hour cycle is o the verge of a SELL signal but my 21 hour cycle is flashing BUY signal.

    That means I'll be shorting into the close and tomorrow morning OR earlier pending what my work says.

    I already profited on a LONG from this morning.

    I use a different INdex(my secret) so my cycles might not translate exactly to the S&P.

    Goodluck

    ReplyDelete
  2. Ricky
    thanks for your update

    Activity index at 66 all day so far at 1pm LOWER than yesterday

    power index showed a high today, then lower going into close

    still looking for that 377 tr day cycle culmination at about noon on Friday

    Wall street eyes fixed on dow10K
    traders fixed on SPX 1040

    breaking both with force will
    get more selling into the cycle

    They need to get more fear into this mkt

    90bars hit at 9:45, a little later than expected
    126bars at 1pm hitting right now is ditto

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  3. Jay,

    Are you getting out of your shorts if we don't sell off into the close?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  4. Good question Fred
    Since the 377 tr day cycle is STILL
    3 days off, any upside has to be very limited as it was today

    AND they are selling as of 2pm

    Tomrrow should be a lot more decisive toward the negative

    especially if we close at or near 1040

    OBV peaked at noon:30 today on one min chart, and 5 min 5 day has been dropping since Monday at 10am.

    156 bars at 3pm, but 180 tomrrow at 10:30

    Oil took a nose dive this afternoon

    I'm working on a revision of the power data which should help in the coming weeks

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  5. activity index was 66 all day, and moved to 133 at 1pm, but has now dropped back to 66 as the mkt drops

    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  6. I covered just in time on a smaller cycle buy signal. My index is lagging the SPX. Went long

    ReplyDelete