Thursday, September 16, 2010

SPT 17th SNEAK PEEK & Update

NOT great, but not too bad either- could count it either way
Jay
Heres a MORE complete view of today's EKG

SPX 1130 was at the top of the futures earlier, but now at 9am is waning some
CNBC hopefuls looking for break outs - glad to hear it-
everytime they profess a mkt slide---you can be sure its going the other way
Jay
Jaywiz index was .26 yesterday which is more bearish than it has reported for some weeks
PC ratios also 80% bearish for 4th day in a row

Power graph showed the day making a low intraday
possible times
neg energy at 11;41am
30bars at 12:30
60bars @ 3:00 pm

This year it seems to say
Buy RoshHashanah & Sell Yom Kippur- opposite to generally known predictions

In addition to Jupiter's general aptitude for money , expansion & good luck;
it is making its CLOSEST pass to Earth till 2022

Jay






JUSt as projected by the POWER index, we see the DAILY EKG confirming TOMRROW

CYCLE converge at 10am
SHARP DOWN open followed by renewed UPSIDE

DID anyone see that BIG put OPTION buy yet as there was LAST MONTH
on the day b4 expiration ?

Jay

39 comments:

  1. Their buying into the close Jay. This makes more sense does it not?

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  2. We have a surge AH - spy up 0.5% ... RIMM surges on earnings ...

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  3. according to my analysis

    gap up tomorrow.
    then down to a higher low
    then back up to peak, we should take out the august highs
    we might close the week at the highs of the week&month

    then next week huge gap down, don't ask me why

    cementzak

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  4. Cementzak ... you are expecting down and new up all in one day ?

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  5. I see 114.5 SPY as a possibility tomm - kicking myself for going short EOD ....

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  6. I have 10.00 as a low ( maybe the low of the day) and then up ... other major turningpoints 14.00

    Not so Major: 12.00, 12.30

    Mike

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  7. ..and probably not Major at all:

    09.26, 10.10, 11.10, 11.35, 13.05, 14.03, 16.17

    Mike

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  8. Ricky
    My FIRST inclination was to wait for today's close as I had previously posted.

    Cementzak
    PROBABLY CORRECT
    higher open at 10am, then lower, and late recovery

    MIKE
    thanks for input
    up until last nights close, I had 10am pegged as a LOD ALSO
    BUT if it is the HOD, then we shuld see some selling into at least 2:30 before any recovery

    30Bars @ 12;30
    60bars @ 3:00pm
    similar to your outline, and YES, Nothing MAJOR

    Mathematically
    1130 = # 5 , indicating CHANGE
    we saw support at 1040 which also = 5.

    1220 = 5 = change, and it certainly was on Apr 26th
    Jay

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  9. @ AS =

    gap up
    then down to around 1122 or so
    then back up to peak

    might see some weakness settting in before close

    sincerely,
    cementzak

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  10. I think we make a early morning high and head down all day or gap down and go down.

    I glanced at the last 225+ of my 21 hr index cycles and only 2 of them rallied a 3rd day straight without getting any sell signal. Currently we have 2 days up and I like the odds that the top for this cycle is in very soon today.

    Now my index isn't the SP but they do strongly correlate.

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  11. Thanks to those who participate in every aspect of this blog

    Jay

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  12. Thanks for sharing Ricky .

    Cemenztek - thanks for sharing more details on the cycles .... do you have any projection for the top ...

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  13. Jay - can you share your reading for next week - you mentioned 20th - 24th down ... is it still looking that way ...

    also can you share your thoughts for monday ?

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  14. the chart has vertical line showing the full and New moons. Full moon is Sept. 23 after the fed meeting. We could crawl under the trendline up to the apex area to the Full moon 1150 would be it. don't think so. Just enough to trap the Bulls

    http://i56.tinypic.com/mj04xu.jpg

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  15. AS
    more details about next week will be published over the wkend
    The 20th is NOT to be considered as
    negative, and in fact might be quite positive
    ,but I still think 1130 is very strong resistance
    OR
    SPT20th = HIGH EXPECTATIONS, which will NOT be realized as the next day should smack those bulls very hard

    Jay

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  16. Jay - trying to decide if I want to hold my shorts through a ramp - that is why asking about next week - if you could share thoughts of mon / tues that will be great.

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  17. http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_OSfvk1xrysQ/TJN2xbYmFJI/AAAAAAAAFiA/wPAxoZCrSTE/s1600/spx+hourly.gif

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  18. Very nice Triangle formed..

    Mike

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  19. 10.00 was so far the low.. ( se above..) 12.00 was a low.. would the 12.30 be a low and a breakout of the triangle.. and then the 14.00 a high ?

    Everybody.. what do u think ?

    Mike

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  20. hmmm...12.30 was a high.. will it take us down.. until next major turningpoint.. I doubt it..

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  21. As
    I dont know what to tell you other than what ive already published about next week

    expecting ALL HELL to break loose on the 21st to 24th.
    23rd could be a 1000 pt loss

    If we dont get a 50 to 100 pt sell off today, then I will also HOLD shorts thru Monday with spx 1130 STILL resistance

    Frac man expecting a 700 pt loss next week
    Jay

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  22. Today we got
    9:45am HIGH of day @ 1131.47
    10am @ 258 bars dow was off 26

    next is 60bar cycle low due at 3pm

    from there, they can recover into close

    Jay

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  23. According to the power index, we should see a sharp DROP off this afternoon,
    60bars @ 3pm seem like the best bet for the above
    which again leaves an open to close better, which is also depicted by the power index

    All thats left NOw is the action.
    WELL, Im waiting like the rest of you

    Jay

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  24. Mike, once the 12pm Low is broken, the should go for lower numbers

    11:26 was a 13 day segment pivot and that one is also about to give it up.

    Damn- they can be STUBBORN

    Jay

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  25. UPDATE!

    As of now I have a 34 day cycle SELL signal. If the signal stands by closing bell, IT is a bonafide SELL. THe signal is real. Which means SHORT any rise or spike from there. The stocks can rise a day or2 thereafter depeding on where the smaller component cycles are in their cycles. Otherwise IT IS a SELL.

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  26. Just dobbelt tjekked my data.. the 15.00 CID should be way more "powerfull" than my earlier 14.00..I have no idea for the direction...

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  27. The big wild card is Obama on Monday.. He's going to hold a "town hall" meeting on CNBC. Excuse me? A financial CABLE station? He's that desperate that he needs to address the investing public on CNBC?

    So, will the criminals allow the market to be red on Obama day? While he's spewing lies about how great he's doing, are they going to let the market go red? Or has word come down from on high that "you better be "up" for my speech and questions? Only time will tell.

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  28. FOMC on Tue. They may hold this pig up until then. If something goes wrong in europe all bets are off. Watch FXE, someone is hitting bids in big blocks all day long.

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  29. Abdullah
    Monday the PERFECT time for the PRES to set up extended enthusiasm ; HIGH confidence & optimism
    it agrees with natural energy for the day.


    Whats the GOVT going to do when the SPX drops 200 pts in very short order

    are they going to come alive to
    support failing Something??
    is failing overdone??

    Another country take the gas pipe??

    I have NO idea what event will coincide with a sharp drop, but you can be sure it will not be pretty

    Jay

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  30. doesn't look like the top is in

    might need one more push to 1138 or so

    sincerely,
    cementzak

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  31. OEX: Sept17-20
    FULL MOON: Sept 23
    FED: Sept 21
    GANN DAY: Sept 21

    MY INDEX SYSTEM:

    avg. TOP is 21(avg) days into 34(avg) cycle. Sept.24

    avg. TOP is 55(avg) days into 89(avg) day cycle. Sept. 22


    ...and some people say Fib #'s are only imaginary.

    Tell that person politely to #@*# *#!.

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  32. Looks like one more peak before a fall ... this whole move is still looking like a bull flag ...

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  33. We are not ready yet, not even in sept.


    target is 1140 at least, will be more, up to 1160-70, I think.


    We should get a bullish rest next week, we'll go on furthermore.



    We missed the one and only entry, that's why there is talk bout going don around. And so are many.

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  34. One more:

    we will get sharp corrections, but for the next 2 years trend ! should be up.


    Very imho.


    I would appreciate, if Jay would respond to that.

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  35. One more:

    we will get sharp corrections, but for the next 2 years trend ! should be up.


    Very imho.


    I would appreciate, if Jay would respond to that.

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  36. RICKY
    thanks for the fibo update

    Crissy
    The trend for next 2 years is biased down

    Jay

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  37. TurningPoints for Monday: 12.15, 13.50

    We might have a TurningPoint at 10.40 - 10.50 but thats a bit unclear to me..for now

    Mike

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