THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023
Thursday, June 09, 2011
Market Timing-Whats Next -June 9th - Closing Report
Yesterday's bar pivots hit right on schedule
WHAT DID HAPPEN YESTERDAY and what can we expect next now that we got a run to 1288 at 10am on the 13hour cycle- WILL That be the HOD? Maybe?
That CONTRACTING TRIANGLE formed yesterday - abcde = [iv].3
WHich meant that [v].3 would be about 9 pts lower = the widest part of the triangle
1287 to 1278 at 2;30pm
The 258bar cycle did hit a low at 2pm, but was exceeded at 2;30pm, not unusual to hit 6 bars later
the bar cycle can extend up to 12 bars, rare, but not unusual
NOW
Heres SOME PERSPECTIVE TO SEE HOW Yesterday FITS INTO THE OVERALL wave count
Given the above analysis, Today's rally would appear limited by fibo retracements
19 pts down from the previous peak at 1296 to 1277
62% x 19 = 12 + 1277 = 1289, just got there at 10;45am could be wv a
78% x 19 = 15 + 1277 = 1292 could be wv c
wv b in between could back off to about the middle of that range to 1286- 1281 levels
Today
30b @ 10am
13hrs @ 10am hit an initial high at 1288
60b @ 12;30
90b @ 3pm
KEEP IN MIND THE TYPICAL DAILY TURNS @ 11am- 1pm & 3pm
Its very possible they will still trade SIDEWAYS today and tomrrow till 10:18 before
entering a 5th wave down to a MONDAY 4pm low close at 258bars and Neg energy in effect all day
14th has potential to make a secondary low also, and actually become [v].3
BUT THIS is STILL ALL wave 3 till the 14th from 1345 which still leaves 4 & 5 to go afterward, expecting it to end [v].5 on June 24th as my previous published monthly graph shows.
TOMRROW"S Psych read
JOY disappears in a puff of smoke
more later
Jay
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
78.6% is quite a common retracement
today we have 91%,
78.6% + 13% = 91.65%
NOT as common, but no unusual either
1294.54 - 1277.42 = 17.12
at 3:15pm
17.12/18.80 = 91%
_______________________
Wave [i] was from 1345 to 1305 = 40
wave [v] = wave [i]
1294-40 = 1254 wv [v].3
______________________________
______________________________
from there we still have a wave 4& 5 to go
wv 4 should retrace fibo from 1345- 1254 = 95pts
95x 38%=36
& you can do the other math
for 50%, 62% etc
_____________________
wave 1 from 1370 to 1312 = 58pts
58pts x 1.618 = 95pts
1345-95=1250 for Wv 3 thus confirming the math above
After wave 4 hits its highs on June20th, we can then expect wave 5 to drop 58 pts from there
Jay
Jay
Post a Comment