POWER Graph week of JULY 30th

more later
Jay

The second graph was published on August 1st to rectify my errors from publishing the original

the original was published a week in advance and was skewed based on other factors

I will try NOT to let those other factors influence my judgment in the future

Jay

JULY 23rd EKG

Contrary to popular belief, today seems to POST NO RISK to the bullish scenario, but doesnt mean
to the moon either

Like April 26th we could still see one more pop higher on JULY 26th to the 39 HOUR cycle at 10am

more later
Jay

JULY 22nd EKG

As promised the 26 hour cycle appears  @ 10am and should be the HOD
Jay
NOT exactly what WE were expecting FOR THE Whole DAY but we were warned about a STRONG GAP OPEN.

Note the OBV is showing LESS strength near the end of the day as the dow made slightly higher highs at 3;30pm, but on increasingly WEAKER internal strength

Also note the PC ratios which were 66% bullish on WED close are now 80% bearish tonight

Jay

JULY 21st EKG

AND SO we HAVE another PERFECT HIt
which CONURED with the POWER data graph

Today's EKG does seem to CONCUR with the updated POWER GRAPH

156bars today at 10am low seems to be heading there after a higher open

Monday JULY 26th is 275 tr days ( 55 weeks) from a previous
low on JUNE 22nd, 2009
PLUS ~ there is a HEAVY negative energy effect on the 26th @ 1pm

BUT even MORE important is August 10th which is ALSO a 55 week cycle/ 275 tr days
from JULY8th, 2009

JULY 21st UPDATED POWER GRAPH

Sorry about the cut off- chart didnt fit SNIP tool

Yesterdays LOWER open FIT in QUITE WELL with DATA &
PROJECTIONS PRESENTED In advance on SUNDAY JULY 18th.

RALLY TODAY SHOULD RUN OUT OF GAS about mid day or sooner

Tomrrow's 26 HR cycle at 10am should offer another HOD
& trade in reverse of Tuesday

more later
SCROLL down to previous main page from SUNDAY to get DAILY cycles & readings
Jay

CYCLE update

important cycle lows appear as follows.

LOW DUE on July 20 = 260 tr days, or 377 cd from July8, 2009
EXPECT rebound on 21st & 22nd till about 2;30

LOW due on JULY26th = 275 tr days from JUNE 22, 2009 ,
a cycle low
EXPECT HUGe rebound on 27 & 28 till about 11am

Selling picks up again LATE on July 28th and ends on 30th at or near close

First week of August looks MIXED
Up on 2nd
down on3rd
Up till Midday on 6th
then low as CYCLE pivot low ends on Aug10th @ 360 tr days from March 6th

JULY 20th EKG

Mark
to answer your question & observation YES
but this NEW graph above is from another source which also shows
an ALMOST near duplicate of yesterday's EKG

EXPECT today to END at or near 4pm at LOWS

Some one suggested spx 1030 to 1045, and It would seem right given a rebound due the next day which also concurs with the reading that calls for a marked improvment over night TONIGHT

Jay

IT would APPEAR that Monday & Tuesday FLIPPED places on the power graph

Friday's PC ratios were 80% bullish
Monday's PC ratios were 90% BEARISH

Power data comes from multiple sources and It requires some additional structuring
on my part, which I skew based on energy, cycles etc, so occasionally,
I WILL get such a mix up

Whats that mean for today?
Good question since we DID get an extension of the LATE selling from Monday

then we need to ask, was the low at 9:45 to be considered the LOD?
OR does the 39 HOUR cycle offer a REBOUND HIGH off the open low
at 10:30 to 11am.

Enter other cycles
13 day at 11am can be extended
same goes for 90bars @ 11am
we'll see in about 10 minutes

bars today
90b @ 11am
120b @ 1:30pm
150b@ 4pm

IF 4pm DOES PROVIDE the LOD today, then EXPECT the MKT to EXPLODE higher
tomrrow and higher still on OPEN on Thsday = 26 hrs cycle at 10am

One thing the POWER graph does seem to confirm, but not published yet, is a 55 week
275 tr days LOW on the 26th as well as a 4 tr day cycle all at 4pm

NOTE: Charts Edge this week agrees with my outlook, especially if we flip Mon & Tues

more later
Jay

JULY 19th EKG

DIDNT quite get the WHOLE SHEBANG but still a very
good projection of today's action




Most of the NEG energy today comes later in the day

more later

Jay

Week of JULY 23rd

____________________________________________
This weeks readings

Monday
Anxiety with $$
Unsocial
Be strategic & Practical
~~~~~~~
Tuesday
Deception
time to remove those ROSE COLORED GLASSES
~~~~~~~~
Wednesday
Tend to $$ matters
Low Energy day
limitations & problems
~~~~~~~~~~
Thsday
Outlook brightens in the AM
But
progress is impeded
expect costly changes
~~~~~~~~~~~~
Friday
Stressful & Unpredictable
emotional conflicts
serious $$ issues
______________________________________________
Bar cycles
Monday
2258b@ 10am
30b@ 12:30
60b@ 3pm
possible 329b@ 3:30- could be the lod ??
~~~~~~~~
Tuesday
13hrs @ 10am - a HIGH would be expected
13 day cycle at 11am combined with 90bars@ 11am
COULD MAKE FOR A VERY WILD morning-
even the power graph seems to concur,
Consider that the data ALL comes from different sources

120b@ 1:30 pm
150B @ 4pm OR open next day
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Wed
150bars possible at open OR 156 bars at 10am
180b@ noon
204b@ 2pm
228b@ 4pm, and or open next day - should duplicate previous 4pm/open pivot
~~~~~~~~
Thsday
26HRS at 10am- SHOULD be a high
14.6% /13 day at 10:20am
could make for a CHOPPY morning, also indicated by the power graph
258B @ noon
30b @ 2;30

~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Friday
60Bars @ 10:30
23.6%/13 day at 11:26
90b @ 1pm
120b@ 3:30pm
OR
126bars @ 4pm = COULD Be the LOW OF THE WEEK

MORE LATER
Jay

Weekend Commentary

Friday was a 96% DOWN VOL DAY
& ARMS ratio a WHOPPING 5.77

PC ratios 80%BULLISH, {{but we had the last 5 of 6 days at 80% Bearish & thsday @ 90%}}
BUT THAT WONT STOP a LAND SLIDE MONDAY
The day calls for ANXIETY with $$

I only USE "TIME ", so if
ANYONE has the next important price level
we would love to know it.

WE all KNOW that 1010 is MONSTER SUPPORT
which will get broken this month, but NOT NEXT WEEK - { imo }

I dont think we will get there on Monday, but there is a pretty good
chance we just might get within 10 pts of it.

2 x 40 = 80 pts from 1096 = 1016
OR
3x 40 = 120 from 1131 = 1011

more later
Jay

JULY 16th EKG

NOTE JULY 17th at 10am
INCREDIBLE
NOW at 51/75 for 68% ACCCURACY
Power graph now 4 for 7 @ 57% after 7 published weeks
Jay
CYCLES
39 hour @ 9:45 to 10am

180bars at 10am
204bars @ noon
228Bars @ 2pm
258Bars @ 10am/ Monday

ENERGY
Pos @ 9:46
Neg @ 11:19
Neg @ 3:59
Neg @ 4:24
Neg @ 5;51
Neg wkend

readings today
Avoid Risk & caution with $
Indecision & challenges

Jay

REVIEW JUNE & JULY

They seems to have captured the major moves for the last 2 months
but of course JULY still has more to go

Jay

JULY 15th EKG

OUTSTANDING performance today-- EKG
ENERGY
READINGS
CYCLES
ALL CONGEALED today

GET READY FOR


GAPS in the DATA do NOT mean GAPS in the MKt

CYCLES today
78.6% /13 day @ 12:25pm

120bars @ 11:30 OR 126Bars @ noon
150bars at 2pm OR 156Bars @ 2:30

Neg Energy @ 11;55am
pos energy @ 3:28pm
Neg energy @ 4:01pm

Convergence of NEG energy from 11:30 to Noon:30
Jay

Wave & Fibo from Columbia 1

Note a couple things

1099.01 hit at 11;45, same as morning high yesterday
10,400 ditto
Each was just a tad under the 3:45 High of yesterday

JULY13th = 144 & 233 tr days from previous highs on 12/14/09 & 8/7/2009
Genre for the day was GROUP POWER

The above shows price levels at 1085 & 1071 as fibo supports
which would take the dow back to 10,180 @ 1071 spx

July 15th has a Combo of cycles at 11:30 to 12:30
which IF they do get to 1071, would coincide with
the daily read for jarring news & unsteady influences, but OK for later

that would also fit in with power graph for High on 15th at close
AND
39 HOUR top off at 10am on FRIDAY

Jay

JULY 14th EKG

COUNT IT good
Jay
TIMES for today
26hours at 10 to 10:30am- should be a low
60bars @ 1pm
90bars @ 3;30

From what I'm looking at, it would appear we are going to get that
4th & 5th wave in the UP trend that began from the JULY 2nd low at 1016
And it SHOULD ALL OCCUR between NOW and the CLOSE of BIZ on the 15th


This ONCE again fulfills the monthly scenario of lows at first of month and highs MID month
going back to March 9th, 2009 LOWS

Yesterday's EKG showed a sell off late day which DID start at 3:45pm, and looks like it has spilled over to today
which I had mentioned COULD BE WHAT we will get, and as the CPTN said - MAKE IT SO

ENERGY hits
Neg @ 10:10am
Neg at 2:34 pm
POS @ 3:08pm
Pos close considering also that 90bars occurs at 3:30pm



More Later
Jay


More Later
Jay

UPDATE JULY 13th CLOSE

New readings have come to light
TOmrrows read
ADAPT to CHANGES
UNSURE MORNING
Projects fizzle

Thsday
EARLY problems
Jarring news
UNSTEADY influences
***EXPECT LATE RECOVERY


Fri
HEAD FOR COVER
Expect challenges
Avoid risk
caution with $

ITS VERY POSSIBLE we NOW have the HIGh this month,
unless the 15th late afternoon tries to recover,
as the readings calls for such, but it might just FAIL to get anywhere close
depending on how serious it gets next day & 1/2.


Jay

UPDATED POWER GRAPH & Original JULY Energy

AS I PREVIOUSLY NOTED several TIMES
the MIDDLE OF NEARLY EVERY MONTH SINCE the Mar 9th, 2009 LOW
We have seen a MID MONTH HIGH from the 16th to 20th
AND a LOW in the FIRST week of the month from the 1st to 8th



I mentioned this b4, and again now
THE ENERGY & daily readings for this week are mostly benign to positive

Thus the ORIGINAL energy graph for JULY has been quite accurate
with only minor variations

math model for recent decline and rebound
spx 1131-1010 =121
121x 78.6% = 94 pts
1010 + 94 = 1104
Might be Wednesday & Thursday target high

Jay

JULY 13th EKG

TODAY did NOT score well unless you consider that last 15 minute slip important
THAT MIGHT JUST HAVE BEEN THE HIGH this month
I'll copy & paste from comment page


I know I mentioned WILD RIDE a few days ago

The reading for today indicated GROUP POWER

MY published JULY graph so far is MORE RIGHT than any other graph ive posted this month

Today's HIGH energy is scheduled for 1:52Pm

Cycles for today

A HYPED UP OPEN HIGH could be followed with lows at
204bars at 10am
OR
62%/13day at 11;13

The power data graph also sows a high mid day TODAY and retreat late day

WED tomrrow's 26hr cycle at 10am is also shown
on the power data before running back UP again
to a HIGH on the 15th.

16th power data STILL shows a sharp retreat as does the read for the day -RUN FOR COVER
39hrs at 10am on the 16th still begs for one more HIGh probably @ 9:45am
before giving out to STRONG SELLING

ARMS 5 and TRIN 5 have both issued SELL SIGNALS on yesterday's close
but there can be delays b4 its effects are realized

more later
Jay

PRELIMINARY EKG

I had thought we would see a lot more today, but they are holding
need bad news anyone? -I guess the mkt does

UPDATE AT 8:30am - Monday JULY 12th above
This is really prelim as you can see the END OF DAY is NOT finished

ANd as we have seen OFTEN, that MID DAY RALLY does NOT have to respond
to the PICTURED AMPLITUDE

SO< Reminder== DIRECTION is MUST more important than Amplitude

in other words
it looks like it could be SOLID DOWN day thus confirming the power data graph

THE DOW made it back exactly 60% of the 980 pts loss from JUNE 21st to JULY 2nd

Anyone looking at the TRANSPORTS might consider IT'S
recent high a NON CONFIRMATION,
assuming we start DOWN STRONGLY in ALL indexes Monday

More later
Jay

FROM ELWAVE RIDER

JUST AN FYI

Jay

PRELIMINARY POWER DATA

There's no way we can precisely determine the price level for a low
BUT using TIME Cycles, we can with some degree of accuracy determine WHEN
the mkt will make a PIVOT LOW.

As it turns out the POWER DATA seems to agree with the 39 hour cycle/ 3 = 13 & 26hrs

REMEMBER - I DONT MAKE THIS STUFF UP ON MY OWN-
POWER DATA is part of the SCIENTIFIC RESOURCES that are noted at the top of the blog page
At times its EASIER to DECIPHER what that scientific data offers, and other times its NOT,
OR maybe its just a matter of experience working with it that will make it easier for Me
to analyze it.

39 hours can be a high or a low, and it breaks down into 13 & 26 hours ,
EACH segment hitting at 10am to 11am,
and can occur anywhere from 9:45 to 11am,
as we have experienced it since discovering its periodicity a few months ago.

Recent history
JUNE 21st at 10am SPX hit 1131 HIGh
June June 29th @ 10am = a low at 1035
July 8th at 9:45 at high at 1071
whats next
JULY 12th at 10am = 13 hrs - possible rebound off opening low ??
JULY 14th at 10am = 26 hr Suspected low
July 16th at 10am = 39 hours = suspected high

EARLY indications of the EKG show a LOWER OPEN- Monday

Friday was the 3rd day in a row with 80% BEARISH PC ratios

more later
Jay

JULY 9th EKG & more

this is ONE of HELGE'S CLEAREST charts above and it shows a LOW
on either the 9th and or 12th

MY POWER DATA seems to ALSO show a LOW on the 12th, at the 300 level which is quite low,
THEN takes a big JUMP up on the 13th tot he 600 level.

ENERGY FOR THE DAY [12th] seems benign BUT cycles could trump energy
just as it did all this week

39 hrs at 10am on the 12th -COULD be the hod

THE JULY monthly GRAPH is STILL offering the best view of this month so far
AND IT SHOWS THE 15th as the HIGH OF THE MONTH
that has not changed

JULY 12th is
108 tr days from the FEb 8th low
54 tr days from Apr 26 HIGh
34 days May 20 low
8day June29 low

THE DAY AFTER the 12th has HIGH POSITIVE ENERGY on JULY13th
calling for powerful group activities

more later
Jay



80% Bearish PC ratios are indicating an OFF day today

Red Tide shows a DOWN day with a LOW at 3;30

JULY 8th EKG

This is WHAT the EKG would have showed IF I had published it with what I thought
was AFTER hours activity
Keep in MIND there is NO such thing as INVERSIONS,
ONLY mis interpretation by the analyst-
NONE of us can ever be right EVERY SINGLE DAY
but the EKG still has a great track record of 66.7% since march 9th, 2010

IM not making excuses, and Im not going to count this as a positive for the EKG
& Ive mentioned MANY times, that IT IS VERY difficult to PIN POINT the CLOSING
as the data stream IS CONTINUOUS

NOW, we have the PC ratios data and AGAIN it is NOW 80% BEARISH
Helge did have a high close today, and I will be paying greater attention to
his charts which MIGHT help me determine the CLOSE with great accuracy, maybe
Jay

It looks like 1070 attempt at 10-am on the 13 hr cycle high

I mentioned this on Sunday, so dont say you weren't informed

today has been characterized as a Gemini type day
And the other data seems to concur
Up to high at 10am, and the rest of the day heads lower

other cycles today
38.2%/13 day at 10:42
258bars at 12:30
30bars at 3pm

Door # 1= set back to 1030 area on 9th
Door # 2 set back to 1010 or lower on the 9th

OPTIONS Expiration next week is setup with positive energy, but it wont get there
in a straight line
Oversold became overbot in a hurry with a .29 ARMS index yesterday
MY AD & Vol proprietary indeces jumped OFF a BUY level under 300 for each
to 900 & 2300 respectively

PC ratios on close yesterday are 80% bearish, but were 80% bullish on Tues

more later
Jay
CNBC is NOW reporting NO DOUBLE DIP,
last week they were all SCREAMING- DD
hmmm
sentiment has flipped just because we had a little rally
Amazing how it all fits together

OVERSOLD TO OVERBOT in 2 days

ARMS Data today was a LOW .29
A/D was 6/1
Vol was 21/1
the last 2 days, MY PROPRIETARY AD & Vol data indeces were both UNDER 300
indicating an OVERSOLD condition- but with TODAY'S data applied to the SPREAD sheet
that is NOT the case anymore, at least for the very short term.

ALSO, they FILLED the GAP from 1058 to 1072 AT SPX 1060.27

Power data GRAPH did SHOW either 6th or 7th with POTENTIAL for big UP day
with MIXED trends tomrrow ending lower, and more selling on Friday

SPX at 1060, we could EASILY see a retest of 1010 before
RUNNING IT BACK UP NEXT WEEK to 1100

Friday has converging CYCLE pivot lows including
a Bradley date & an Eclipse on Sunday = ENERGY change next week
Friday' read = controversy & antagonism
Saturday read = erratic

Helge shows a LOW on 12th, but thats because he dates his charts by Mondays
so his low could easily be Friday

Jay

JULY 7th EKG

That did NOT go well for the EKG today now set back for 2 days in a row.
that hasnt happened since March, when I first started publishing it.

NOTE
we just went from OVERSOLD on Friday to NOW overbot
yesterday's PC ratios were 80% Bullish
Today's PC ratios are 80% BEARISH

Reading for tonight calls for $$ Crisis- no idea what that means,
but we'll see if Europe is effected tonight

10am = 13 hr cycle HIGH, but it could be only a rebound high off an early retreat
IF the EKG rolls over into a lower open tomrrow, rather than a lower close today


Just as I mentioned yesterday, the EKG reflects 156bars on open today

but a mid day rebound should then give way to more selling in the last 1 or 2 hours

Wed should open higher in reverse of today, and even it it opens low, then 10am should offer
a great TURN lower from that short term high

Review
July9th LOW
JULY15th High with 16th TURNING LOWER
July 30th LOW
August 10th as published = 360 day LOW from March 6th = 1/2 of 144wks= 72 wks exactly

Jay

EKG for JULY6th & updated POWER data graph

Today only counts as a partial so it does not go in as a positive for the day
46/67= 68.6%
and the power data graph from last week was only a partial also,
now its record stands at 50%. after 4weeks
Power data comes from multiple sources and It forces me to interpret
Maybe I should wait before publishing a preliminary picture just as I do for the EKG
and that will make it more reliable as I have more updated & concrete data to work with
13hr high at 10am
13day/ 23.6% pivot low at 11:26am
High from 3:30 to 4pm

156bars at 4pm appear will hit at open tomrrow
according to PRELIM data from the EKG

THUS the CHANGE in the POWER DATA showing MOST OF THE GAINS TODAY
and NOT tomrrow, with a final high on the 8th at the 13hr high at 10am

more later
Jay
Addendum
this may be premature, BUT its important to have an IDEA
as to WHERE this mkt is currently heading

from my daily spread sheet data log
August 10th = 360 trade days from March 6th
360/8 = 45 repetitions- 8 cycle convergence
360 / 5 days per week = 72 weeks= exactly half of 144 weeks
August 10th appears to be a very important date

power index data trend this week of July 9th

H&S for 2010 & 50day/200day CROSSOVER

This CHART from HELGE ALSO shows potential for JULY 9th and or 12th LOW
He dates his graphs by Monday dates so don't be MISLED by that demarcation
Since the ENERGY for JULY 9th seems to indicate an intraday CHANGE/TURN,
then we MUST be VIGILANT
for what might be a 2:30 pm low right on the 50%/13 day cycle pivot.


Chart from BINVE at Market Thoughts blog

July 9th = 192 tr days from Oct 2nd, 2009 = 192 tr dys/ 8 = 24 repetitions

July6th = 333 tr days March 9th or 3 times 110 day cycle
July 6th is also 424 tr days Oct 27,2008 or 53 repetitions of 8 day cycles

July6th
13 hrs at 10am, might be a high pivot, but could be just a rebound off a lower open

23.6% /13 day at 11:26
8day cycle low
90bars at 10;30
156bars at 4pm

Reading for the day
Shake up
changes
Snags

WEd has a much improved READING
REWARDING
BOOST income
high confidence
$$ benefits

Thsday
Upbeat in AM
MIXED trend day=Gemini type day
Afternoon = $$ problems

Friday
Antagonism
controversy in the AM
Disputes
----------
gains & romance later

more later
Jay

JULY 2nd EKG

more later
Jay

JULY 1st EKG

It doesnt get much better
45/65 = 69%
it seems that 258bars did NOT hit on the close and did not repeat the performance
of yesterday's 180 bar close, but the POWER index DID show strength late day
which I may have mistaken earlier in the week as strength at open today and or tomrrow

Cycles ,Wave structure & fibo SEEM to indicate tomrrow is an important
day to make a CYCLE PIVOT LOW at 3;29PM - JULY 2nd

I had previously mentioned several times that the MATH indicated spx 1009 as a potential LOW

Which would mean that ANY rebound today should be shorted as well as any higher open tomrrow

ISM # comes out at 10am, and IF the 13 hour cycle finds us at a low,
there might be a strong reversal at that time or even later by 10:30 to 11am.

180 bars seems to have hit yesterday at 3:50pm, unless it occurs at open today
204bars @ noon
228b @ 2pm
258B @ 4pm which COULD take us DOWN again in the last 30 minutes

More later
Jay