------------------------------open-------11;30L-----3pmH-----4pmL
FYI- Pay little or NO attention to the AMPLITUDE, only the direction
Daily Reading= Poor morning , mid day better, poor close
disruptions & accidents
Wait a day or 2 before venturing out to shop
Tuesday
FIBO convergence has NOT gone away
Feb 2nd Chinese new year of the Tiger- well we alrady know what happened to one Tiger
Feb 2nd ground hog day
Feb2nd reading
challenges & pressures
serious issues & road blocks
MONDAY
180 bars at open
204bars @ 11:30
13 day cycle @ 11;00
228bars@ 1:30
258bars POSSIBLY @ close
Tuesday
258bars possible at open unless it hit at 4pm yesterday
39hours high at 10am
its also possible that 329bars occurs at 3;30
or a 3;30 low is effected by Moon 0 Saturn at 3:49pm
AND moon 90 Pluto @ 4:01pm
Typcially, on a wash out day we get the LOD at 3:45-3;55pm which fits well with the above
Jay
Jay
THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023
Sunday, January 31, 2010
Waves - Jan 29
Saturday, January 30, 2010
Jan 28 to Feb 2
Friday, January 29, 2010
Jan 29 recap
As I wrote- some times it really difficult to delineate when one day ends and the next day begins
I dont MAKE these charts myself
They come to me from universal data and they are already published in advance
I try to show ONLY the data and graph that has relevance to the NEXT day
rather than include prior day or 2 to 3 days in the graph
I think this shows more clarity rather than including past days
Today showed a rally at open and typically we top at 10 to 11am as we actually did
Reported possible low at 11:30, DUHH , we actually got a low at noon
reported possible high at 2;30, and it occurred at 1;30- OMG just shoot me-gg
Reported possible low at 4pm, and it hit at 3;30, damn missed it again -gg
If I dont blow my own horn, I dont know who will
Yes, I do better in declining markets, but that is GOING TO CHANGE
You see my FEb graph and THOSE who will keep you AND ME short all the way
UP to FEb 28th will not be welcome
IT looks like the addition of the DAILY graphs has increased my accuracy greatly.
Looking forward to more of the same- later
Jay
Feb 2010 preliminary graph
There might be some slight variation on the actual trading from Jan 19th to Feb2nd
One thing that wont change is the FEB 2nd low
I know I posted this b4 but
Feb 2nd is a fibo convergence
55 from Nov 12 LOW,
144 july 9th LOW,
233 July9th Low
377 Aug 8 - 2008 low
610 Aug 28- 2007 low
The daily graph for Jan 29th seems to be saying they will stay above support
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Jan 29
------------------------open------11:30L-----2;30H----4pm L
I dont know if we will get the washout today, but it seems that its in place
126B @ 11;30
150 b @ 1;30 or 156b @ 2pm
180bars at 4pm
Sun 180 Mars @ 2:43pm
Jan 29th is a Bradley date
Latest GRAPH is an UPDATE to the one previously posted
as it shows a higher open which agrees with astro since theres no energy to interfere with
that higher open.
ANd
as previously mentioned its REALLY hard to know where one day ends
and the next day begins
Jay
Projected path as posted Monday
Wave 3 that we are in NOW should be a multiple of wave 1
wave 1 lost 60 spx
60 x 1.618 = 97 pts
that would be a gift from the Gods
Jan 28th reading
shocking news
postpone biz decisions
nervous energy
Jan 29th
Yesterdays problems INCREASE
antagonism
caution with $$
Dont waste this opp
Hadik now sees low extended to Feb 1 & 2
wheew, what took him so long ? gg
Jay
wave 1 lost 60 spx
60 x 1.618 = 97 pts
that would be a gift from the Gods
Jan 28th reading
shocking news
postpone biz decisions
nervous energy
Jan 29th
Yesterdays problems INCREASE
antagonism
caution with $$
Dont waste this opp
Hadik now sees low extended to Feb 1 & 2
wheew, what took him so long ? gg
Jay
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Jan 28th daily graph
Follows the power index dropping from 500 today to 275 friday
Todays energy got reversed
Gietner took a beating in the AM, and we got a green light in the PM
We'll see what Mr Pres stirs up tonight, but the reading for tomorrow calls for
disturbing
postponements
possible shocking news
Sun II Pluto
Moon 135 Sun
agitation & intensity
sounds like he will want to read congress the riot act[g]
Jay
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
explicit view of Jan 27th
Jan 26 & most of Jan 27
Adjusted times ----------Jan26close-----Jan 27th open--------2pmFED-H
The times within the box didnt come out right when I transferred the image
THUS we may have WAVE 'b', NOT as low as WAVE 3 as this morning,
JUST as I commented on earlier
NOW
looking for wave 'c' - 4 ~~ higher tomrrow @ spx 1104 for potential short
could go a little above that but not by much
Jay
The times within the box didnt come out right when I transferred the image
THUS we may have WAVE 'b', NOT as low as WAVE 3 as this morning,
JUST as I commented on earlier
NOW
looking for wave 'c' - 4 ~~ higher tomrrow @ spx 1104 for potential short
could go a little above that but not by much
Jay
Daily Graph - Jan 26 & part of 27th
Jan 25---------------------------26--------------------26--------start 27th
Its really hard to know if tonights close will offer the pivot low to another intrday high
and 4th wave leading to a fifth of course on 28& 29
but they are backing off todays highs after 2pm ,
but I doubt tomrrow AM will open lower like today
And tomrrows read does call for green light till mid day
Jay
Its really hard to know if tonights close will offer the pivot low to another intrday high
and 4th wave leading to a fifth of course on 28& 29
but they are backing off todays highs after 2pm ,
but I doubt tomrrow AM will open lower like today
And tomrrows read does call for green light till mid day
Jay
watching variables
All of the above variables are in a declining phase coming off the Jan 19th TOP
As the day makes progress we should see lower lows
156b @ noon
180b @ 2pm
204b@ 4pm
Activity index was at 200 earlier , now flat at 100 for last 2 hours
Power index NOW shows a CLEAR drop off after tomrrow jan 27th into the 29th.
from 500 level to 250
Which seems to corroborate my view for a rebound tomrrow FED day till 2;15
State of Union speech will be given too much importance, but at least we wont get a
BUSH review-- the UNION IS STRONG, he would bellow while Rome was burning
Anger and backlash against ALL govt action & incumbents
is taking its toll on the Senate for now, and will probably play a bigger roll in Nov.
As for the market, you can blame the Govt if you want, but it would have happened anyway
Jay
As the day makes progress we should see lower lows
156b @ noon
180b @ 2pm
204b@ 4pm
Activity index was at 200 earlier , now flat at 100 for last 2 hours
Power index NOW shows a CLEAR drop off after tomrrow jan 27th into the 29th.
from 500 level to 250
Which seems to corroborate my view for a rebound tomrrow FED day till 2;15
State of Union speech will be given too much importance, but at least we wont get a
BUSH review-- the UNION IS STRONG, he would bellow while Rome was burning
Anger and backlash against ALL govt action & incumbents
is taking its toll on the Senate for now, and will probably play a bigger roll in Nov.
As for the market, you can blame the Govt if you want, but it would have happened anyway
Jay
Monday, January 25, 2010
new graphic chart for Jan 25th & 26th
Another Line in the sand
chart from COLUMBIA
Thanks Michael
Math
1150 -1090= 60pts
60x 23.6% = 14
1090 + 14 = 1104
The daily chart shows slightly higher today and dropping off some tomrrow
nothing dramatic either way in the first couple days this week
the Reading today calls for caution
Tuesday calls for
unwelcome news
no headway
numerous distractions
Also indicated is a mood change from good to poor
good today- poor tomrrow
OR
if a good start tomrrow, expect it to change for the worse
Jay
Thanks Michael
Math
1150 -1090= 60pts
60x 23.6% = 14
1090 + 14 = 1104
The daily chart shows slightly higher today and dropping off some tomrrow
nothing dramatic either way in the first couple days this week
the Reading today calls for caution
Tuesday calls for
unwelcome news
no headway
numerous distractions
Also indicated is a mood change from good to poor
good today- poor tomrrow
OR
if a good start tomrrow, expect it to change for the worse
Jay
Kondratieff WINTER
Diag triangle to Jan 19th and NOW
Sunday, January 24, 2010
HELGE this week
Possible path Wk of Jan 29
I can see theres NO pleasing everyone, so just take what you can get from this blog
and use it to your advantage
the DAILy graph for the 25th is not complete yet, so posting a partial COULD be misleading
But we could open higher Monday and give it back by noon to 1pm, then close better
This OVERALL outlook for Monday has not changed
but ive got some conflicting data which makes Monday's open a bit confusing to project.
Jay
Friday, January 22, 2010
DO YOU RMEMBER THIS
Slight adjustment making the first LOW now on the 25th rather than it making the final high
Whats IMPORTANT is the END OF MONTH depiction, now starting from Jan 19th
Bradley date of Jan 19th triple top at 1150 spx was within 3 trading days of Jan 14th ECLIPSE
high
Earthquakes occurring with major geomagnetic forces
and now appears might be the orthordox high of 2010
As you might remember, my game plan was to get short on what I suspected to be the month's high on
the Morning of Jan 22nd.
the political events of this week including elections, Supreme court decisions,
and proposed Govt intervention in banking has CHANGED THE GAME
And notice how ALL THIS CAME OUT AFTER JAN 19th
Jan 31st has some serious effects of which we have already seen
Saturn 90 Pluto
Saturn = restrictions
Pluto = death & rejuvination
FORCED CHANGES--- thats an understatement
more later
Jay
Coy's Energy view for Jan 22
Todays Energy Chart by Coy Morphew
source to remain HIS secret
Jay
I posted recently the SPX CHART of year 1999-2001
AND 1938 to 1942
NOT that they are gospel, but the market does repeat WAVES even if NOT exact
they do emulate each other at certain times during the centuries and when a
comparison like this GLARES at us.
We should pay attention to it
Especially since they BOTH conform to the ASTRO transits
at least from HERE TO APRIL6th.
Jay
source to remain HIS secret
Jay
I posted recently the SPX CHART of year 1999-2001
AND 1938 to 1942
NOT that they are gospel, but the market does repeat WAVES even if NOT exact
they do emulate each other at certain times during the centuries and when a
comparison like this GLARES at us.
We should pay attention to it
Especially since they BOTH conform to the ASTRO transits
at least from HERE TO APRIL6th.
Jay
Thursday, January 21, 2010
update for Jan 22nd
second opinion
-------------1/20Close----1/21--2:30L-4pmH--1/22H9:45----noonL- so far
55%/13 day cycle at noon
might hold them for the day
chart not complete for 22nd yet, so we will have to wait for tomorrow am to see the ending
BUT IT still shows potential for minor recovery late today and or tomrrow by 10AM
game plan is to buy some shorts at close on a recovery, and add more on tomrrow's first 30 min open.
Jay
55%/13 day cycle at noon
might hold them for the day
chart not complete for 22nd yet, so we will have to wait for tomorrow am to see the ending
BUT IT still shows potential for minor recovery late today and or tomrrow by 10AM
game plan is to buy some shorts at close on a recovery, and add more on tomrrow's first 30 min open.
Jay
Jan 21 & 22
-----------------------------10am H -----2;30L -----------heavy selling on 22nd
Today is ONLY a PRELUDE for TOMRROW
Flash has it UPSIDE DOWN
JAN 14th New moon ECLIPSE within 1 day on Jan 19th was the FINAL high
Saturn 90 Pluto on Jan 31st== FORCED CHANGES -- ALA Pres Obama today
50% of 13 day cycle Pivot low today at 2;30pm should help the close a little
But tomrrow is potential for large sell off day as per above
PLEASE NOTE
the SOURCE of the DAILY chart is to remain SECRET
unless some one is willing to compensate me for consulting services
Jay
Today is ONLY a PRELUDE for TOMRROW
Flash has it UPSIDE DOWN
JAN 14th New moon ECLIPSE within 1 day on Jan 19th was the FINAL high
Saturn 90 Pluto on Jan 31st== FORCED CHANGES -- ALA Pres Obama today
50% of 13 day cycle Pivot low today at 2;30pm should help the close a little
But tomrrow is potential for large sell off day as per above
PLEASE NOTE
the SOURCE of the DAILY chart is to remain SECRET
unless some one is willing to compensate me for consulting services
Jay
Jan 21- another view
Chart from Coy Morphew
looks exactly like the Jaywiz graph for same day
I knew there would be a time when I would lack confidence in the graph and feel a reluctance to show it because it might be wrong. But I didn't think it would be the third one. Imagine being long and seeing this chart at the open and you read the market is topping already.
Energy, after yesterday's close, peaks, dips, and peaks again going into the open about 0952 hrs. Futures should be up going into the open. I haven't a clue what the catalyst is for the market, but energy don't care.
I'm going to push the send button.
Coy
HI Coy
Welcome to the forecasters group[g]
more later
Jay
looks exactly like the Jaywiz graph for same day
I knew there would be a time when I would lack confidence in the graph and feel a reluctance to show it because it might be wrong. But I didn't think it would be the third one. Imagine being long and seeing this chart at the open and you read the market is topping already.
Energy, after yesterday's close, peaks, dips, and peaks again going into the open about 0952 hrs. Futures should be up going into the open. I haven't a clue what the catalyst is for the market, but energy don't care.
I'm going to push the send button.
Coy
HI Coy
Welcome to the forecasters group[g]
more later
Jay
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Jan 21st
------------------------------open --- 1pm-3pmH ? -------4pm L
We'll see what Coy's earth energy chart shows us in the AM
So far we have seen excellent results from the daily graphs
156bars is due at open, and might have a little dampening right at 9:35
180b @ 11;30
could leave an open to rebound till 3pm - Moon 120 Mars = positive energy
but according to the above graph, the close would be down on the day
Jay
We'll see what Coy's earth energy chart shows us in the AM
So far we have seen excellent results from the daily graphs
156bars is due at open, and might have a little dampening right at 9:35
180b @ 11;30
could leave an open to rebound till 3pm - Moon 120 Mars = positive energy
but according to the above graph, the close would be down on the day
Jay
Elliott wave recognition
Jan 20 th energy view
Chart FROM :: Coy Morphew -- Source to remain secret
This graph depicts 24 hours, 1600 hrs Tuesday to 1600 hrs Wednesday. The fall in positive energy immediately follows yesterday's close. Energy is negative before Tuesday Midnight and recovers to positive energy about noon, Eastern. The angle of recovery is parabolic and goes higher than yesterday's close.
Energy may or may not correlate to price, but is a major driver. The least that can be said is likely to open down, close up.
Your welcome to copy and post my autographed chart.
Coy
More later
Jay
This graph depicts 24 hours, 1600 hrs Tuesday to 1600 hrs Wednesday. The fall in positive energy immediately follows yesterday's close. Energy is negative before Tuesday Midnight and recovers to positive energy about noon, Eastern. The angle of recovery is parabolic and goes higher than yesterday's close.
Energy may or may not correlate to price, but is a major driver. The least that can be said is likely to open down, close up.
Your welcome to copy and post my autographed chart.
Coy
More later
Jay
Jan 19 & 20
-----------------------19thL----4pmH---20th 10:30L---4pmH---21open L
WE got the rally within 3 days of Jan 14th eclipse high with run over on the 19th.
Someone pointed out Oct19 to Jan 19
ONCE more - its not IF, but WHEN the market will move from
a rebound wave to the next impulse lower
Ive written this b4 many times also
Typically the 23rd of any month tends to have a tendency to make a strong turn
numerology would point out that 2+3 = 5 which represents CHANGE
Its now quite obvious that 258 bars hit on CLOSE Friday,
and the rally from the START on the 19th is proof of that.
Today we STILL have potential to make a short term low at 10;30
90bars & 13 day segment
120b @ 1pm
150b @ 3:30pm
156bars hits at EITHER 4pm today OR open tomrrow -
thus Thsday and we could see a lower start also, UNLESS of course it hits at 4pm today
Jay
WE got the rally within 3 days of Jan 14th eclipse high with run over on the 19th.
Someone pointed out Oct19 to Jan 19
ONCE more - its not IF, but WHEN the market will move from
a rebound wave to the next impulse lower
Ive written this b4 many times also
Typically the 23rd of any month tends to have a tendency to make a strong turn
numerology would point out that 2+3 = 5 which represents CHANGE
Its now quite obvious that 258 bars hit on CLOSE Friday,
and the rally from the START on the 19th is proof of that.
Today we STILL have potential to make a short term low at 10;30
90bars & 13 day segment
120b @ 1pm
150b @ 3:30pm
156bars hits at EITHER 4pm today OR open tomrrow -
thus Thsday and we could see a lower start also, UNLESS of course it hits at 4pm today
Jay
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
SPX 2000
Jan 19th update
As I mentioned b4, the MAIN problem with using this graph is determining WHERE
one day ends and a new day begins- most especially over the weekends,
and of course with a holiday added for Monday makes it even more complicated.
So, now we have to see where today peaks out and we did mention 1145
which has been exceeded
some of you have data which shows where the buying is coming from,
and of course there seems to be NO desire to sell-
SELLING usually accompanies some news to create selling-
or at least they make it appear that way for the most part.
Regardless of these small moves within a 13 pt range
it still appears we are making some type of intermediate peak this week
to top out on Friday, possibly late Thursday,
and the exact timing is still not available yet.
So far the HOD was at 1pm, one of the hourly turns
with the first high at 11am
AND
a minor low at noon at 30bars as indicated.
If that remains as the hod, then our ORIGINAL
call for a high at 11am got extended to 1pm. - not unusual at all.
I found a chart of SPX for 1998 to 2000 and will put it up next time
I had written in the past that I expected 2010 to emulate 2000,
and it still looks that way to me, thus making 2011 the BAD year, and or 2012
Which means that any sell off would get met by a near equal rebound
albeit some what less thus making lower highs and lower lows.
And this outlook ALSO has similarities to 1938 thru the 1942 lows
and it would make 2012 equal to a 70 year TURN
Jay
Jan 19th
---------------------------open lower-----noon L --4pmH -----open Wed
The larger hash marks represent 8am and 4pm for today & far right = 8am tomorrow.
I had been anticipating a higher morning till about 11am for today,
but that rebound might come after a lower open on 258bars which
is right on the cusp between Friday's close, and today's open
According to this graph, however, it looks like NON stop down till
at least
noon at 30 bars or
2:30 at 60bars
And the chart does show potential for lower open tomrrow which had been expected.
WED Jan 20 has
90bars @ 10:30am
AND
38.2% /13 day cycle at 10:42am
more later
Jay
The larger hash marks represent 8am and 4pm for today & far right = 8am tomorrow.
I had been anticipating a higher morning till about 11am for today,
but that rebound might come after a lower open on 258bars which
is right on the cusp between Friday's close, and today's open
According to this graph, however, it looks like NON stop down till
at least
noon at 30 bars or
2:30 at 60bars
And the chart does show potential for lower open tomrrow which had been expected.
WED Jan 20 has
90bars @ 10:30am
AND
38.2% /13 day cycle at 10:42am
more later
Jay
Sunday, January 17, 2010
Jan 2000 to April 2000
I dont have a graph of year 2000, but you can send it to me if you want
HOWEVER<
Jan 14th was the HIGH
End of Jan took a hit
APRIL 1st to 15th took a MAJOR HIT
Not that we will have EXACT dates this year, but the cycles may be quite similar
btw, this is NOT a GUESS
Jay
MORE NOW
Feb 2nd is related to a number of previous FIBO lows
55 tr days = NOV 12 L
144 tr days = july9th
233 tr days = 3/3 within 3 days of 3/6
377 = Aug 4, 2008
610 = Aug 28/07
Jay
HOWEVER<
Jan 14th was the HIGH
End of Jan took a hit
APRIL 1st to 15th took a MAJOR HIT
Not that we will have EXACT dates this year, but the cycles may be quite similar
btw, this is NOT a GUESS
Jay
MORE NOW
Feb 2nd is related to a number of previous FIBO lows
55 tr days = NOV 12 L
144 tr days = july9th
233 tr days = 3/3 within 3 days of 3/6
377 = Aug 4, 2008
610 = Aug 28/07
Jay
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Jan 15th just as projected
Chart from COLUMBIA public charts
Why is it?
when a trader gets bullish- they profess to the moon
when a trader gets bearish-they profess a crash
As I HAVE POSTED several times
The trading from Jan 14th ECLIPSE to Jan 22nd should emulate
Wave 1 lower to 1125
Wave 2 rebound to 1145 on Jan 22nd
Wave 3 DOWN to Jan 29
wave 4 on feb 1
wave 5 DOWN on Feb 2nd
BUT THATS JUST WAVE "A" of a corrective pattern that should take us to April 6th
before finding a footing for the next rally to late June.
Jay
Why is it?
when a trader gets bullish- they profess to the moon
when a trader gets bearish-they profess a crash
As I HAVE POSTED several times
The trading from Jan 14th ECLIPSE to Jan 22nd should emulate
Wave 1 lower to 1125
Wave 2 rebound to 1145 on Jan 22nd
Wave 3 DOWN to Jan 29
wave 4 on feb 1
wave 5 DOWN on Feb 2nd
BUT THATS JUST WAVE "A" of a corrective pattern that should take us to April 6th
before finding a footing for the next rally to late June.
Jay
Friday, January 15, 2010
Jan 15th
---------------------------------------open----11:30L---2pmH---4pmL
These times might not work out exactly but they should be close, or at least give us
some idea as to the flow of the day
ITS really hard sometimes to determine WHERE one day ENDS and the NEXT day begins
As I posted, we SHOULD expect a LOWER open which above looks like it
could have been at close yesterday as there was a minor set back in last hour
BUT now we see the effect of the eclipse on the trading of the 14th , and its after effects.
today we have
204bars at 11;30
228bars @ 1:30
258bars @ 4pm OR open Tuesday
Jan 19 is a BRADLEY turn date - FWIW
Jay
These times might not work out exactly but they should be close, or at least give us
some idea as to the flow of the day
ITS really hard sometimes to determine WHERE one day ENDS and the NEXT day begins
As I posted, we SHOULD expect a LOWER open which above looks like it
could have been at close yesterday as there was a minor set back in last hour
BUT now we see the effect of the eclipse on the trading of the 14th , and its after effects.
today we have
204bars at 11;30
228bars @ 1:30
258bars @ 4pm OR open Tuesday
Jan 19 is a BRADLEY turn date - FWIW
Jay
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Jan 15th
----------------------------------open-------11:30amL----1:30pmL-----3pmH----4pmL
We have 180 bars occurring at EITHER 4pm and or OPEN tomrrow
which makes it really hard to know if we will open lower or not
Since the energy culminates at 2am tonight on the Eclipse, we would guess that
tomrrow should open lower, then recover holding under resistence at 1150, for now
If they do open HIGHER, then 9:45 might be the HOD, and they get sluggish all day
but with one more attempt as shown above.
Monday
try try and try again till mid day
looses steam after noon and drops into the 19th at spx 1125 area
20th -21st recover and top out on 22nd
Yes WE are getting there -gg
Jay
We have 180 bars occurring at EITHER 4pm and or OPEN tomrrow
which makes it really hard to know if we will open lower or not
Since the energy culminates at 2am tonight on the Eclipse, we would guess that
tomrrow should open lower, then recover holding under resistence at 1150, for now
If they do open HIGHER, then 9:45 might be the HOD, and they get sluggish all day
but with one more attempt as shown above.
Monday
try try and try again till mid day
looses steam after noon and drops into the 19th at spx 1125 area
20th -21st recover and top out on 22nd
Yes WE are getting there -gg
Jay
Jan 14 -15
-------------------------13open----11am ------4pm or open-----15th
Looks like 15th holds it own after possible lower open, or drop off somewhat later today
Any setback PRIOR TO JAN 22nd seems limited to spx1123
but IF it does touch that level prior to Jan 22nd,
then Jan 22nd would provide a LOWER HIGH that late today
and thus would set the stage for a strong sell off at month end
JUST THE WAY MY Jan 2010 CHART SHOWS IT
ITS REALLY THAT SIMPLE
and this is at lest the THIRD TIME I HAVE posted this scenario
PERSONALLY
IM PATIENTLY waiting JAN 22nd to take FULL ADVANTAGE of the coming decline
Jan 31st = SATURN 90 PLUTO
Saturn planet of KARMA and responsibility
MEETS PLUTO
Planet of DEATH & rejuvination
Power struggles
restrictions
FORCED UNWANTED CHANGES
MUST DO WITH LESS
IN addition we also have SUN 180 MARS on the 29th = CONFLICT
THE PLANETS DO SPEAK
more later
Jay
Looks like 15th holds it own after possible lower open, or drop off somewhat later today
Any setback PRIOR TO JAN 22nd seems limited to spx1123
but IF it does touch that level prior to Jan 22nd,
then Jan 22nd would provide a LOWER HIGH that late today
and thus would set the stage for a strong sell off at month end
JUST THE WAY MY Jan 2010 CHART SHOWS IT
ITS REALLY THAT SIMPLE
and this is at lest the THIRD TIME I HAVE posted this scenario
PERSONALLY
IM PATIENTLY waiting JAN 22nd to take FULL ADVANTAGE of the coming decline
Jan 31st = SATURN 90 PLUTO
Saturn planet of KARMA and responsibility
MEETS PLUTO
Planet of DEATH & rejuvination
Power struggles
restrictions
FORCED UNWANTED CHANGES
MUST DO WITH LESS
IN addition we also have SUN 180 MARS on the 29th = CONFLICT
THE PLANETS DO SPEAK
more later
Jay
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Jan 14
More of the same stuff
Down to start or right after open we have 120bars at 11am
High into Eclipse late in the day
Remember the math model shows 10,752 possible at 55%
Activity index never backed off today, closed at 300
power index flat at moderately higher levels near 475
Its strength wanes a bit on the 15th & drops to 375
Jay
Jan 13
-------------------------------open------1:42--------close----open14th
Same as indicated by power index
slow start - rally till about 2pm, and lower close with strong open on 14th
activity index is mildly strong today at 200 at 8am and was at 300 earlier
I hope these illustrations help gain some daily perspective as the are available a day in advance
but only 80% complete. NOW as you can see in the AM, we have 100% for today
and part of tomrrow.
more later
Jay
Same as indicated by power index
slow start - rally till about 2pm, and lower close with strong open on 14th
activity index is mildly strong today at 200 at 8am and was at 300 earlier
I hope these illustrations help gain some daily perspective as the are available a day in advance
but only 80% complete. NOW as you can see in the AM, we have 100% for today
and part of tomrrow.
more later
Jay
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Jan 13
----------------------------------------------open ---1:42pm---close
One pic is worth 1000 words, and so far they are darn good
Its very hard to place the times on the blog
they dont come out where I put them, and I have to adjust & edit several times
BUT
the crux of it shows
SLOPPY OPEN & the reading does indicate a lower start with Moon 90 Saturn at 9:11am
HOD should come at 1:42pm on Sun 60 Uranus
close should be lower, read says be FLEXIBLE -but the picture for 13th isnt complete yet
Jay
One pic is worth 1000 words, and so far they are darn good
Its very hard to place the times on the blog
they dont come out where I put them, and I have to adjust & edit several times
BUT
the crux of it shows
SLOPPY OPEN & the reading does indicate a lower start with Moon 90 Saturn at 9:11am
HOD should come at 1:42pm on Sun 60 Uranus
close should be lower, read says be FLEXIBLE -but the picture for 13th isnt complete yet
Jay
Jan 12 updated
Same as before and now shows weakness continuing into the 13th
as does the original Jan 2010 Graph
We have to be aware that the AMPLITUDE shown on the graph does NOT always represent
what the actual turns out.
astro influences can be muted or expanded based on what is occurring in the cosmos
at any given time, and can be somewhat confusing due the the nature of the planets involved
and how human nature responds to gravitational effects on our own magnetic field
We are effected by changes in our mag field, which is effected by forces from our universe
including not only the moon & sun, but all other events at the same time
Its a HUGE puzzle that can have positive or adverse effects and each day has its own personality
more later
Jay
Monday, January 11, 2010
Jan 12
-----------------------Tuesday OPEN--------2pm ?------ 4pm -To be shown later
Jan 11th worked well - lets see how Jan 12th works out as above
End of the day is NOT pictured yet, so there could be a late recovery- see it in the AM
204 bars at OPEN could offer a strong retreat as above
228bars at 11:30 am
258 bars at 2pm, could offer the LOD
Jay
Jan 11th worked well - lets see how Jan 12th works out as above
End of the day is NOT pictured yet, so there could be a late recovery- see it in the AM
204 bars at OPEN could offer a strong retreat as above
228bars at 11:30 am
258 bars at 2pm, could offer the LOD
Jay
Jan 11
Jan 11
As you can see from the chart above that Jan 11th has the potential to move higher
12th & 13th appear SOFT, but not dangerous
14 & 15th appear higher into Eclipse
The only thing that changed was the LACK of severity of the 6th to 8th,
but the mkt was somewhat subdued even tho the SPX did move higher each day.
Jay
As far as Charts EDGE is concerned- FU GED ABUD IT
Tuesday might be right
WEd might be Tuesday
Thursday might be wed
Friday looks ok
12th & 13th appear SOFT, but not dangerous
14 & 15th appear higher into Eclipse
The only thing that changed was the LACK of severity of the 6th to 8th,
but the mkt was somewhat subdued even tho the SPX did move higher each day.
Jay
As far as Charts EDGE is concerned- FU GED ABUD IT
Tuesday might be right
WEd might be Tuesday
Thursday might be wed
Friday looks ok
Sunday, January 10, 2010
Now & Then
thanks Alice
Govt can do whatever they want, but they cant stop the MARKET CYCLE.
IF they had done NOTHING last year from Spt to March,
stocks STILL WOULD HAVE RECOVERED EXACTLY THE SAME.
Andre and others
What would be the BEST BEAR scenario given a price decline from Jan 22 to Jan29th
and what would be the least case scenario ??
in other words
what are the parameter levels at which we could expect support to hold?
We will have approx a 500 point rebound from March 9th to Jan 22.
I had posted data showing an 18 month decline from Oct 10- 2007 to March 9th, 2009
Then 9 months + from Mar9 to Jan 22
22 months = 55% equaling the 55% price gain of 500pts - or damn close to it.
Any decline [ LATE JANUARY] in such a short time slot should NOT represent anything
but a normal setback within a RISING trend still due to reach its pinnacle
on or about JULY 22nd which is equal to 34 FIBO months adding 18 + 9 + 7.
If we apply FIBO to the 500 pts gain, we could see losses of 8%-13% as an expected correction
for example - We had pivots hit on
July8th @ 887 or 7%
Nov 2 at 1030 or 6%
at spx 1070 = to 21% of the 500 pts gain or 100 pts
which only = an 8% loss from spx1165 level
Looking back at Mar 2003 to Oct 2007, corrective loses were limited to about 10% maximum
From a LOW expected on Jan 29, and or FEB2nd
we can then expect a continuation of the UPTREND to JULY 22nd
HOW HIGH, you ask.
wow, you sure are needy[g]
Just a GUESS, but
62% = spx1230
78% = spx 1376
As one example in 1938 the rebound was 62%.
I would venture to say that spx 1230 looks right
which means we can go from 1070 to 1230 from Jan 29 to July22nd
more later
Jay
Govt can do whatever they want, but they cant stop the MARKET CYCLE.
IF they had done NOTHING last year from Spt to March,
stocks STILL WOULD HAVE RECOVERED EXACTLY THE SAME.
Andre and others
What would be the BEST BEAR scenario given a price decline from Jan 22 to Jan29th
and what would be the least case scenario ??
in other words
what are the parameter levels at which we could expect support to hold?
We will have approx a 500 point rebound from March 9th to Jan 22.
I had posted data showing an 18 month decline from Oct 10- 2007 to March 9th, 2009
Then 9 months + from Mar9 to Jan 22
22 months = 55% equaling the 55% price gain of 500pts - or damn close to it.
Any decline [ LATE JANUARY] in such a short time slot should NOT represent anything
but a normal setback within a RISING trend still due to reach its pinnacle
on or about JULY 22nd which is equal to 34 FIBO months adding 18 + 9 + 7.
If we apply FIBO to the 500 pts gain, we could see losses of 8%-13% as an expected correction
for example - We had pivots hit on
July8th @ 887 or 7%
Nov 2 at 1030 or 6%
at spx 1070 = to 21% of the 500 pts gain or 100 pts
which only = an 8% loss from spx1165 level
Looking back at Mar 2003 to Oct 2007, corrective loses were limited to about 10% maximum
From a LOW expected on Jan 29, and or FEB2nd
we can then expect a continuation of the UPTREND to JULY 22nd
HOW HIGH, you ask.
wow, you sure are needy[g]
Just a GUESS, but
62% = spx1230
78% = spx 1376
As one example in 1938 the rebound was 62%.
I would venture to say that spx 1230 looks right
which means we can go from 1070 to 1230 from Jan 29 to July22nd
more later
Jay
TOO bullish?
Some of you seem to be too bullish
Expect MONDAY to scare BULLS in first hour,
but day should end where it began and maybe better
Every bullish move this week should be met with minor selling
and every bearish move next 10 days should be met with buying
once again, the KEY TURN DATE this month is Jan 22nd
Anyone with TECHNICAL savvy should be concentrating on that turn and its technical value
Until then, please dont beat up on each other with your comments
which should be restricted to market updates, and NO personality cramming
More later
Jay
Expect MONDAY to scare BULLS in first hour,
but day should end where it began and maybe better
Every bullish move this week should be met with minor selling
and every bearish move next 10 days should be met with buying
once again, the KEY TURN DATE this month is Jan 22nd
Anyone with TECHNICAL savvy should be concentrating on that turn and its technical value
Until then, please dont beat up on each other with your comments
which should be restricted to market updates, and NO personality cramming
More later
Jay
Thursday, January 07, 2010
Jan7
im out of the office and have limited access
new thread for today
Today'sselling might spill over tomrrow, but as many of you have already noted, the downside
is limited .
Still expect a bigUP day Monday
then its possible to start building wave a & b leading up to jan 22
the astro events from there to FEB 2nd are considerably MORE negative..
Jay
new thread for today
Today'sselling might spill over tomrrow, but as many of you have already noted, the downside
is limited .
Still expect a bigUP day Monday
then its possible to start building wave a & b leading up to jan 22
the astro events from there to FEB 2nd are considerably MORE negative..
Jay
Wednesday, January 06, 2010
January 2010
It would appear that this chart is looking better as the day progresses today being Jan 6
There seems to be NO selling pressure of much consequence today so far
and the activity index is jumping between 66 and 166
However, we still have the PIVOT day tomrrow from
Armstrong's previous pivot low on April 20= 182 tr days = 8.6 months
IT may ALL occur in one day as far as a larger sell off, but it now appear
the sell off on Dec31 as pictured above might hold
the 11th as Flash posted has some strong potential
Sun 0 Venus 0 Node = sunshine on money(venus) means a good biz day
Might even be the high of the month
Some people would call it a HIGH ENERGY DAY
FURTHER
If the 22nd is to offer a STRONG TURN as shown,
I would venture to think it would start sooner
projecting wave a prior to Jan 22 & wave b high ON Jan 22nd
thus the wave c sell off from Jan 25th to FEb 2nd
In other words, even though my chart is SKEWED toward a Jan 22nd high
it might NOT work out exactly that way
MY ORIGINAL GRAPH- the rough draft had Jan 11-15 & 22 fairly equal
BUT it also shows some weakening AFTER Jan 11th,
which might lead to lower lows and lower highs up to Jan 22
If you scroll down to the light lavendar color graphs under January 2010
it shows what I mean
more later
Jay
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
bearish divergences
From Danerics public charts
They JUST HAD TO GLOAT for one more day
A Bradley HIGh was met today
Next Bradley is 9th, but that could mean a low on the 8th - employ report??
Spx did NOT lead the DOW lower
and the DOW almost never leads the way lower
Yes Reza, we rally should see a gap down tomrrow and non stop to lows on the 7th at 3:45pm
Jay
They JUST HAD TO GLOAT for one more day
A Bradley HIGh was met today
Next Bradley is 9th, but that could mean a low on the 8th - employ report??
Spx did NOT lead the DOW lower
and the DOW almost never leads the way lower
Yes Reza, we rally should see a gap down tomrrow and non stop to lows on the 7th at 3:45pm
Jay
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