THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023

THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023
THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023

Monday, October 13, 2008

As Promised

A week ago I told you to expect a 1000 pt rally today- NEED I SAY MORE?

WILL the FUN continue ? Only if your a bear

NOt all my tech data is in yet, but the OVERSOLD condition is NO MORE

Tomorrow promises to take some away & continue lower bias thru Wednesday

but Thursday & friday do appear UPWARD again

BOY, that was some payday- DOW +936pts - WOW

Tomrrow is an 8 day TURN and a BRADLEY turn, so any opening high should be considered a selling opp- at least thats the way I expect to work the day

That 66 hr cycle hit with the 259 bar cycle @ 2:30, and it was LL UP& away from there to the close.

CME close UNCH, -- HMMM.

Jay


Monday Oct 13

Jaywiz index last week 5 day ave = 60
Polarity is positive & holding
Power index up to 500
Activity between 2 & 3
Pressure index = 3050
Flux above mid range at 1040
vhf > 5

All of the above is BULLISH for today

there might be a 1- 2 pm setback, but the close could be the HOD

Some are looking for a 10:30 HIGH and that is typical tie period for such turns

Tomorrow still has some potholes, but Im not going to worry about it, as I doubt a new closing low is possible, and it could offer additional opp to buy cheap calls

Jay

Saturday, October 11, 2008

GAP UP MONDAY

BUT it wont last all day

If they thought last week was crazy wait till they see this week- Roller coaster time- UP & down in LARGE swings

Monday should give up its gains to the 10day cycle due to hit between 1:30 and 4 pm

Tuesday should open higher and give up its gains to the full moon at 4pm

Wed looks healthy and should hold its gains

Thursday Has the 13 day cycle low due at 11am to 1pm, but should still close on highs of week

Friday is options- too soon to have outlook, but looks higher

Early science readings

Jaywiz index this week
Mon = 58
Tues = 92
Wed = 42
Ths = 1.28 WOW
Fri= 49
5 day AVE values are bullish @ 60

Power index for Monday =500 to 600 coming off a 300 for friday
Pressure index = 3030 today , coming off lows of 2970
Polarity is NOW positive
Activity which was FLAT line >1 all week has jumped to 5
Flux is steady at 1035

My personal tech data is indicating a bullish trend for next 10 days
ARms 5day = 1.53
Jaywiz Adv Decl ratio = 128
Jaywiz Vol ratio = 119
these 2 indexes are bullish under 400 and they have been UNDER200 for 4 days in a ROW
Trin 5 = 7.95 & trin 10 = 139.1 ~~ both very bullish
And theres more but I wont bore you

IS this a NEW bull market ? You ask. Why do you ask? ive already explained in a previous posting that we still need to get thru NOv 4th and DEc 12th

Remember that a bull market can get overbot for months on end, and as such, so can a bear market.

Best wishes for now
Jay




Friday, October 10, 2008

THRUST

DOW broke UNDER 8000
NDX hit 1201 EXACT target

DOW @ 8000 = 55% FIBO relationship to the 14400 highs of OCT 10th LAST YEAR

NDX also hit its target @ 1201

I got out near the open, but not the exact low, darn it,
I will now sit tight and wait for 3pm

Jay

GAME PLAN

Its 8:30am

The charts show dow 8000 as the base, but could overshoot, or not

IF the mkt drops to dow8000 by 10;30 at 150 bars, then IM OUT
If not, then the next bar cycle is @ 180 at 1pm, then 204 @ 3pm

Ive watched the way they play the game- MAXimum gains come with THRUST such as on Monday
Option values made their highs at 10;45am, and did not supercede those values till 2:45pm & 150 bars that day.

NO MATTER What, I WILL BE OUT OF PUTS at or before 3pm today and into CALLS expecting a huge rally;
Hopefully it doesnt repeat Monday's last hour rally, but it could, since 3pm is 204 bars which IS similar to Monday at 150bars @ 2:45pm

Jay

Thursday, October 09, 2008

RALLY COMETH- but NOT this week

Today should attemtp to rally and should reach HOD at 1pm.

However, we still have a very important LOW dead ahead

TOMORROW should close on DOW 8800- FRIDAY OCT 10th

Monday is RALLY DAY and we could get a DOW 1000 pt rebound on the 13th to 17th.

Get ready for it
Some times it takes the TECH DATA 3 to 4 days In OVERSOLD readings b4 the MKT actually responds to it

Giant short squeezes are born in oversold mkts.

BEST WISHES to all for a happy & healthy Yom Kippur

Remember

Jay

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Where is the Market Going & Why

I'll try to make this brief and easy to understand

I could just tell you the outcome of my research, but its also good for you to know what Im looking at.

Dow Jones price levels
gain from 2002 to Oct 9th, 2007 = 7200 pts to Dow 14400 - an EXACT DOUBLE

7200 x 38% = dow @ 11,650
7200 X 50% = dow @ 10,800
78.6% = Dow @ 8800
100% = dow @ 7200
Could even go lower, but lets work with this for now

Day count
Oct 10, 2007 to May 19, 2008 = 145 tr days + 145 more = Dec 12th, 2008
Oct 10, 2007 was a NEW MOON
Dec 12th will be a FULL MOON
From oct 11th = 296 tr days / 8 = 37 a whole number
that means there were 37 segments of 8 tr days- I have mentioned this cycle b4.
Low to Low cycle of 13 tr days = 299 segments exact to oct 8th

So where are we and whats next
Oct 14th is a full moon, but the 13 day cycle is on the 16th@ 1pm, and should trade lower

Nov 4th is the NEXT 13 tr days cycle and has a harmonic cluster of HARD ASPECTS converging with the LOW TO LOW cycle - thus we should see a LOW at that point, but not THE LOW

next is Nov 21, but that date falls into a moderate upswing in exact opposition to the chart currently shown by Charts Edge.

Then comes DEC 11th and 12th
11th is the 13 day cycle and 12th is the full moon exactly like Oct 13 & 14
Not only is it a full moon, it also has an even more serious hard aspect harmonic cluster than Nov 4th.


SUMMARY
From here on Oct 8th we are still going to go LOWER
Nov 4th should be a serious LOW TURNING point, BUT again NOT THE LOW
The rest of Nov should be a very strong rebound

Nov 28th -30th should offer a HIGH with some very powerful energy from trines and sextiles of Jupiter, Venus & Uranus

That only leaves DEC 12th for THE LOW - thats the MOST important date for all of 2008.

From there we can enjoy a very strong rebound thru at least the Feb 2009 eclipses.

But the damage will have been severe, and only smart money will enjoy the rallyas most investors will be SHELL SHOCKEd, and or FROZEN in the headlights unable to make intelligent decisions.

Best for now
Jay









Not impressed by ratee cut

9am on Wed oct 8
Futures reversed LOWER by 9am and are as low as they were earlier

Activity index was 2 @ 5am, but dropped to 1 at 7am, and has been FLAT LINE since
Power index today 400 to 450 should still set the 11am low as per Art Cashin- WHO ?? commentator looking for
wash out today- might get a little one

Power index for tomorrow Oct9th = 400 to 350 indicates a lower day
Oct 10th = 350 to 300 LOWER still & astro readings are NOT healthy

Pressure for today hits HIGHS @ 3031 and turn down tomorrow as low as 2977- thats a HUGE drop

Flux smooth and holding above median level @ 1035

VHF no activity at all = 0 usually means an upday
Yesterday for example
started at 0 and we got he open rally
rose to 15 and we dropped to -350
the dropped to 5 and we came back to - 180
then rose to 10, and you know the rest

Jayiwz index = 92, indicates a rally

SUMMARY
So we have the 11am low cycle due, and a possible bounce from there to the end of the day

Jay


Additional reading
MY tech data is GROSSLY over SOLD
TOmorow is a 55 , 110 & 144 tr day fibo cycle hit

NDX retracements
1485 = 50%
1346 = 62%
1104 = 78%

Under 62% which means they are heading for 78%
Elliott wave says this is a 3 of 3 of 3 which is UN RELENTING
The see oct 16 to 28th as low

My 13 day cycle hits on the 16th at 1pm
Guess what,, the next 13 day cycle low hits on, YEP you guessed it Nov 4th
then ALSO as mentioned b4, there is another 13 day cycle due to hit on DEc 11th where there is a serious harmonic convergence of hard astro with a full moon

NO let up in sight for this mkt and dow jones 7200 is NOT out of the question
Jay




RATE CUT

it 7:30am on Wed and guess what

a RATE CUT

Only Fed funds rate, but thats where the $$$ is

Global mkts exploding- not waiting for 11;30am

Jay

Tuesday, October 07, 2008

ONE DAY TOO EARLY

All of my data is screaming BUY
I wont get into it- too much detail.
Jaywiz index .92

Readings were off by one day also- they flipped days on me.
in other words, Tues & wed are reversed, so tomrrow calls for fortunate trends even tho it was printed for Tuesday

Only one thing stands in the way of a very strong rebound- a rate cut of at least 50 bp, &
the 50% cycle of the 13 day day/ 84.5 hr cycyle NOW due at 66 hours tomorrow @ 11;30
the 259 bar cycle is also due to hit at 11am, and together they should mark a strong turn

Thursday is Yom Kippur and just like Rosh Hashanah, it should be a solid rally day.
not for that reason, however. BUt there is a VEUNS TRINE URANUS at midnite on the 9th which OFTEN precedes major crashes, which will become more likely once this rally is done.

bradley date = 14th
8 day Low
Full moon @ 4pm, etc.
9 month cycle low
Jay





FUTURES Up

Its now 9:15 and futures are strongly higher

glad i bot in yesterday, even tho I didnt hit the LOD
I can only blame myself for not catching the LOD- Its amazing how one little piece of data becomes sooo important

Looks like a 10am -10;15am high
& a 10:45 am setback, which I will probably add to my current position unless I sell it at 10am.

Europe to raise bank deposits protection

Jay

UP Up and away

BUT not for very long

thanks for the praise- tell all your friends and more

I'll try NOT to let it go to my head

the $20K payday was satisfaction for me, and I had a fitful weekend until Sunday Night CME futures

Todays action should peak out between 3 & 4pm
Bernanke at 1pm today

Futures right now at 9AM are now pointing a little lower
150 Bars cycle hit exactly at 2:45 the LOD

The NEXT critical point is 180 bars AT 10:45 am - the mkt might NOT adhere to the lower futures, and might open to a 10am high before settling back to 10:45am

Either way, 10:45 should be the BUY and could be the LOD leading to a strong rally till late afternoon
TOO bad there was such a strong rally after 2:45 yesterday as the rebound would have been more impressive today.

Jay


Monday, October 06, 2008

How LOW is LOW

Its now 2pm, and the deterioration continues past 1pm

Expecting the dow to close at 9550 & spx at 1005-1010

Tomorrow can rebound with great vigor

Wed nesday is not as strong a day as it has an important low due @ 11;30, but can take off from there.

that leads us to the 9th & its 55 tr days from jly23rd High & 110 tr days from May6th high. should be short term HIGH.

the 10th looks ROUGH and leads to the Full moon low of the 14th.
Lower than TODAY??
I dont think so.

Jay

when to buy CALLS

I will be buying calls at todays' close

1pm low
rebound higher after
LOD at 4pm

Jay

Pressure building for a rebound

Todays LOW is DUE at 1pm - SUN 90 Jupiter is a major influence @ 1pm

Also marks 329 bars @ 1pm

Jaywiz indicators are warning a LOW is near & a rebound is close by

Hadik shows 10,023 near term DOW target, then 9870- Possible BOTh could get hit today?

The LOWEr the better today

Astro reading for today = look for non intelligent decisions, caution travel, opinions clash.

Tomorrow Oct 7th = OPPOSITE OF YESTERDAY- get the GO AHEAD SIGNAL

Wed = promising & watch for conflicts

Wed still has a low due at 11:30 am but its only a setback low.

Pressure readings are POPPING where they hit lows on Friday @ 2955 , are now hitting the 3035 levels

VHF now @ 5
power index = 300
Activity index = 1, @ 8am- down from 3 earlier
FLUX smooth at 1035, just above the median

Important low today followed by the mkt clawing its way back up to late Oct peak.

Jay

Friday, October 03, 2008

50% SHORT @ 3:30

the heading says it all
Get ready for the worst on monday
Jay

Rebound today, BUT

Today's rebound might last till noon

should sell off going into vote @ 2pm- WAVE related selling;

Power index shows rally at close and open on Monday with strong selling Monday afternoon

50% of 13 day cycle indicates a low on the 8th at 11am, and pwer index agrees with that outlook.

Jay


Thursday, October 02, 2008

GOT IT

OK, that was right on schedule

Very good $$$ day

bot a few calls on close

Tomorrow should OPEN Higher, but I dont see any sticking power. may sell off at close.

I sold out my puts at close today and will rebuy positions during the day tomorrow.

Still expecting the 6th and 7th to provide potential mini crash

More on that later.

Jay

And so it was written

Jaywiz Indicators are negative today

Polarity is negative
VHF a Whopping 25
Power index = a GAP from 500 yesterday to 300 today
Pressure index = 2955
Activity jumper to a 5.3 and thats very HIGh- not sure how that fits with the decline today?
Flux = @900

I posted this on the T&C site
MATH MATH MATH
21 years from 1987 Oct 18th = Oct 2008 = 7670 trade days
WATCH This
ive been telling you about the 13 day cycle
590 X 13 = YES your RIGHT = 7670
THATS Oct 14 @ 4pm & a full moon EXACT at 4pm


JAY



Wednesday, October 01, 2008

yesterday gets only a 2X -WOW

ITS NOT a matter of IF I should get short & buy puts, BUT WHEN to do it. !!!

I'll make this BRIEF ///

I WILL NOW BE BUYING puts on or b4 the close of biz today, OCTOBER 1st.
moved up from Friday's close to today


Commentary
the Mkt would have DROPPED 777 even if the bill had passed on Monday- so news does not make the mkt
they would have found plenty of reasons to support the hit.

Today we have a somewhat bullish overtone left over from yesterday's euphoria, and even the FTSE is up 100 pts at 9am.

Ratios, even the Jaywiz index @ .77 indicates a fairly strong day today

However
VHF = 8 and is bearish

power index = 500 and a little bullish

Activity index was as high as 3 earlier this AM, and is still hanging at 2.3
thats much better than flat line at near 0 on Monday

Pressure index over 3000 today , but takes a MAJOR drop after today to as low as 2970 by tomorrow

What currently amazes me is the FLUX index which has produced gyrations for 5 days in a row which I have never seen b4 on this in the 2 years I have been watching it.
Today is also shows a level of 900
the range is from 900 to 1070
900 - is MOST bearish

After today we have to look forward to a very serious potential for a BLACK Monday and terrible Tuesday
the 66 hr TIME within the 84.5 hr /13 day cycle is STILL @ 1 to 2pm on Tuesday
that WILL NOT CHANGE

the BIGGER cycle of 13days/ 84.5 hours is still on schedule for OCT 14th @ 11am since the 13th is closed for Columbus day- i think.

That matches a cycle LOW & EW wave LOW projected by JR on one of my private groups. He is a very very Astute Elliottician wave & technical anaylst.

Best for now
Jay