Market Timing-Whats Next -Feb 7th Closing Report

 

IMPACT STREAM @9:30 AM Showing Weakness

180bars at 4pm might coincide with that close off the days highs
Jay
the system wont allow me to type where I want
the updated IMPACT stream clearly shows where the strength in stocks came from today
THE EKG does show the days activity, but it was subued and not volatile

TOMRROW's Power data does show a WILD day- we'll see if that really happens

EKG for tomorrow agrees - see next publication - Prelim 2/8

Jay

Day Traders-weekend comments Feb 5th

Next week should get more volatile,
but still dont expect anything more serious than maybe 3 %  - if that

Bradley on
4th
17th

High energy cluster on 13th should make for a stronger close that week

yesterday's activity index ran to a high of 600 by days end and we see the outcome
but has dropped back to 300 as of today, but there's a long time between now & Monday

90bars hit yesterday at 3pm, and the last hour turned up after 2:45pm

7th - dont follow the crowd or dont be misled
8th- calm today
9th - postive changes
10th- adverse trends today= hornets nest
11th- afternoon break thru

Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Feb 4th Closing Report

IMPACT Stream this AM shows some weakness

THE GAP in the data does NOT mean a GAP UP OPEN
SPX futures nearly flat
Activity index was at 300 earlier this AM, but at 9am is now at 100
30bars at 10am
60bars @ noon:30
90b@ 3pm
Neg energy during the noon hour

Frustrated agression today
Power data indicates a bias lower today
Jay
TODAY WAS SKEWED UPWARD as is every day so far this year
CRUISIN FOR A BRUUUSSSIN - MARCH 10th is the deadline
but Feb 17 to 25 should set back some first

Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Feb3rd - Closing Report

SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS as of 8:30Am Feb 3rd, but NO major change from Prelim last night

Prelim as of 7pm FEb 2nd

 26hours & 210bars at 10am
258bars/ 21hours at 2pm- could be lod

 Neg energy during the noon hour

Ekg and Power data seem to be biased UP today, and as Cementak wrote, maybe the last huraah,
but I still have another high due on the 17th. HIGHER ??? NO IDEA- it matters not as when LATE MARCH hits, all bets are off

Jay
Activity index & Impact stream both on the weak side this AM

Just as projected- mostly UP DAY
4pm update -That late sell off looks like it will be tomrrow till about noon,
but we'll see what the EKG shows in the AM

Market Timing-Whats Next -Feb2nd - Closing Report

IMPACT stream SHOWS a HUGE let down AFTER Yesterdays BIG DAY

4pm- MAYBE today is UNEVENTFUL, And tomrrow is more UNSTABLE -THe POWER DATA does show tomrrow

with a LARGER venue, or bigger trading range
Jay

Activity index at 8:30am dropped off from earlier highs of 300, but only down to 200

Yesterday's activity index made it up to 400, but fell off later in the day to 200
FLUX once again has picked up and has been WILD for 5 days now
180Bars @ 2pm might be an lod
New moons tend to be downers tonight
26hrs at 10am tomrrow= employment reports @ 8:30& 10am
Today says ISSUES clouded -  Egypt ??
Power data graph shows today a holding pattern and one more go attempt tomorrow

Jay

 IMPACT STREAM showing how weak today is or should we say JUST NOT BULLISH
and this emulates the POWER DATA graph published yesterday

Activity index has been FLAT all day at 200, not weak, but not strong either

Tomrrow is ALSO called FOR UNEVENTFUL
Friday 's call is for Frustrated Aggression

Jay

4pm Impact stream --WHERE'S the BEEF?

 Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Feb 4th POWER DATA Graph

There are NO serious energy effects to alter the course of the market until Late March
See the Graph on the MAIN page that shows Jan & Feb mostly FLAT and biased bullishly
pretty much the same as 2010, but After Feb 17th we should begin to see a Larger change in trend
Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Feb1st - Closing Report

4pm UPDATE-NO REAL DROP OFF, but IT might come at the OPEN tomrrow at 126Bars & reading for $$ disruptions

Potential pivots today, but as you can see above and corroborated by the POWER Index, today is mostly and UPDAY 

60bars at 10:30, & 39 hours at about 10 to 10;30
90bars @ 1pm
126B @ 4pm which could coincide with a sloppy close or lower open tomrrow

Jay

 

IMPACT STEAM SHOWS Strength this AM 

@ 2:45PM - The IMPACT STREAM might be showing LATE weakening

The Activity index has plunged from a HIGH of 400 at noon to 100 @ 3pm

3:30pm FIGHTING to STAY UP, but might be a losing battle-

If not today then tomorrow's

 Power data shows signs of weakness

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan31st CLOSING REPORT

8:30AM EKG revised based on 8:30AM SPX Futures- showing a mildly bullish open

7PM Sunday NIGHT, subject to 8:30am revision based on spx futures

258bars @ noon
30bars @ 2:30

NOt a fruitful day
better tonight

Jay
8:30am comment
Today calls for STRONG AMBITIONS, but FRUITLESS action
Activity index is FLAT at its lowest values of 33 & 66 ALL NITE into this AM
FLUX, once again has become unstable with strong fluctuations the last 3 days

Impact stream this morning is also heading lower showing lack of strength.
Jay
5pm
I had envisioned a MOSTLY DOWN DAY today, BUT the EKG STill PEGGED the days movement.
Activity INDEX jumped UP TO 300 at about NOON, but impact stream did not keep pace with that.

Market Timing-Whats Next -WEEKEND Report

Egypt turmoil and market effects will be over Monday

Tuesday's Feb 1st POWER data graph shows STRONG upday followed by Support on 2nd
I will publish it when there is more data to show

Just as PREDICTED
39 HOUR peak ~ SPX @ 1302.52 HIT at 9:45am
and JUST AS PREDICTED, the 228bar cycle @ 4pm was the LOD
180bars at noon was also an earlier low point

Feb 4th next Bradley should be another high, but could obviously FAIL to make any new highs,
thus the DETERIORATION begins and the COUNTDOWN to MARCH 17/28th DEBACLE

More Later
Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan28th CLOSING REPORT

IMPACT STREAM SHOWING A LITTLE SUPPORT THIS AM as does the EKG below

As previously suggested MORE attempts to make higher numbers but getting weaker each time
Jay
Futures nearly FLAT @8 am

Today's reading calls for Optimism & energetic teamwork

 180bars at noon
204bars at 2pm
228bars at 4pm could be lod as 258bars is expected Monday at noon

39 hours at 10am could offer the hod today

1301.08 hit yesterday at 3:55pm and it was a BRADLEY turn date
Next Bradley dates are
Feb 4th
Feb 17th
And I still expect them both to represent highs
March 10th & 17th also

More Later
Jay
MORE NOW
THE TOP 3 CHARTS DAY SAY IT ALL
Monday should sell off some more, but could recover some by days ends and
FEB 1st can offer a VERY STRONG RECOVERY

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan27th Closing report

This is as of 8:00am, but 8:30 data weakened the Futures- NO DRAMA tho
And the IMPACT STREAM Above emulates WEAKNESS this AM

Here we can see the PROGRESSION over the next 3 days

tomrrow's EKG agrees with the POWER DATA
Looks like ONE or TWO more tries to break out, but it doesnt look like they can hold
12,000 dow or 1300 SPX

Tomrrow's POWER DATA shows a lower day, and dotto for Monday
more details later NO, more NOW see graph on top


90bars tomrrow at 11am
Jay

I tried to place this comment at the top of the page but the system wouldnt allow  it
BUT yuo can clearly see that what I published yeestrday and my comment about the power index
Showing today in advance was EXCELLENT

Impact stream at the top of the page showed late strength
Next 2 days do appear should be somewhat weaker and sell off some, but I dont expect any
thing dramatic.
Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan26th PM Update

IMPACT STREAM above SHOWS LOW ENERGY THIS AM- IT DROPPED from yesterdays close

And the ACTIVITY INDEX is also showing LOW energy at 66 @9:30 AM

258bars at 10am 
30bars at 12;30pm
60b @ 3pm
Neg energy most of the morning tomrrow
Improves in the afternoon

26 hr cycle at 10am 
Fed announce at 2:15pm

Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan25th Closing Report

WE can NOW see with the FINAL close of the day AN EXACT REPLICA of Today's SPX

THE LEFT side of the IMPACT stream showed WHy the MKT rebounded to a higher HIGH

BUT now we see the RIGHT side which is TODAY showing the stream UNDER the LINE

Indicating more weakness than yesterday

 It appears that the POWER data did a one day switch with Monday-Tuesday

 Not sure why that may have occurred, but im looking into it.

180bars @ 10am today might offer a low

204 b @ noon

228B @ 2pm

which gives us 258bars at 10am tomrrow

Energy Tues & Wed seems a bit negative and the daily readings are also negative

Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan24th Closing report

ABSOLUTELY PERFECT today

Matches the POWER DATA index published EARLIER today garnered from a different source
Mixed influences tomrrow, but nothing earth shaking

Should continue mild until FEB 4th, the next Bradley date, and even as late as the 11th, or 17th

Feb is showing some weakness in the last week
March is showing major weakness in the last week
see the graphs on the upper right of the main page.

Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan projections

1st QTR 2011 Projection

2011 ANNUAL projection- ignore %-ages & dates on graph

Nothing mush happening this week as per above graph
a Bradley date on the 27th also appears insigificant

Published a first qtr guide which will stay online until next Qtr report
Published an annual guide as Ive done b4, but this one will stay online all year

Jay

Market Timing-Whats Next -Jan21st Revisions

The graph above does not include the close, Expect an 8:30 AM update
258bars came late today at 3;30 @ 270 bars but still within cycle limits

The 21hour/ 258 bar cycle was discovered by Stan Harley who passed it along to me
on the crystal ball web site- True, its not the answer to everything, but does point out clearly the cyclical nature of the mkts, and he has also identified the Major timing cycles that the mkt follows over longer period of time.

Friday pivots
30b@ 10:30
60b @ 1pm
90b@ 3:30
more later
Jay
more now
 8:30am update
IMPACT stream seems to be gaining strength this AM
Activity index was at 100 all night and is now at 233
Today's POWER data agrees with the EKG, up most of the day, weakening later
Jay

Energy this week Jan 20 to 27th

Monday Jan 17th was a Bradley date, and Tuesday 18th appears may have peaked at 1297
SPX 1300 is FIBO, and a lack of getting above could be deemed as a change in trend.

Neg energy is heavier the next few days from the 18th to the 27th
27th read does call for power struggles, but abates later leading to
a better day on the 28th calling for optimism & dynamic teamwork

I had projected Jan 20th many times over the past feew months as an important turn point
and at present, that may have been right on target.
More later
Jay