Hi Jay, good day to you all. Is your Low of July 20/21 a lower low than your July 9th. Very important to me and others I assume. Any feedback would be greatly appreciated. Also some say 3rd week of August will be a major LOW. Whats your charts and cycles say about Aug 19/20/21 ?? Thanks and look forward to your response. Take care, Joseph
It might have been good to short at 10:15am, but I will now have to wait out a little rally, but I think I could get short anytime given the potential for 7900 or lower
Joseph WHAT I WROTE !!!!!!! HIGH ON JULY 20th LOWER LOW Late AUgust NOT july22 July22 as I WROTE - please read more carefully - !! THE START of another decline !!!! You must be mixing me up with someone else???
SEE Chanakya's chart - its really very good
Sam I bot in on the little rally at 11:45 to dow -18, and now its OFF 37pts
ANYONE NOTICE ~~GOLD yesterday I wrote {{{gold is ready to CRUMBLE}}} pinched on the Bollinger bands
12:30 brot in some kind of short term low at 336bars which is = 329
we were supposed to get a 1pm low @ 90bars, but there was a low at 12:30
Now in an ABC rebound probably to my 2;18pm time slot
Since we have a 126bar cycle at 4pm, It would suggest a LOW at close TODAY AND AN OPENING RALLY they are reporting initial claims at 8:30, and its possible to see a very short term bounce like this AM at 10am
IF they are going to drop to 827 as technicals are showing, the only time for it will be tomrrow
Friday is STILL showing a strong rally on the POWER INDEX, and im getting that feedback from other sources
I had been anticipating further rallies next week, BUT the power index is slipping on Monday and Tuesday.
15th is a BRADLEy and could offer a turn higher off a low on that date. IT IS ALSO the 250 tr day cycle LOW to low , and high to low of the PAST 3 years
Hi, CDN TSX hit hard, Oil has broken its key support at 61.00 which is its major support line. next stop is $59.50/60.00, If we hit the target tomorrow OIL will bounce and thus the mrkts inline with Jay/Ravi and team comments here. Note if Oil goes down Thurs/tomorrow that would have been 6 days in a row which has only happen twice this year. If it goes dn again Friday then that has never happended to my knowledge. Thus TSX currently at 9550, next stop is 9300-9450.
One other point is the Xii Index Institutional Index. Major support is at 415-420 and were at 428 now so if this brks down further then it shows the big money is baling as well.
there is a cycle at 11am = 55 tr days from April 21st at 10;45
but there is a much beter converence at 4pm 204bars 4 & 8 day cycles 44x 4 = 176 22x 8 = 176 13 day cycle completes at 10;30 on friday, but it should truncate to 4pm UNLESS it has an effect on Friday. it will only be a minor setback after a huge UP open NOV 21st had the SAME THING, and ended up BIGTIME Jay
Hey Jay, Wouldn't it be great if you got paid to answer the same question over and over. BTW what is your outlook for September 13th 2013 at 10:15. Thanks. Just kidding. But,your patient and professional attitude is appreciated by all. Thanks.
Hi jay, here is another supporter. "Evil speculator blog "Unless buyers step in soon I think we’ll drop towards 8000 by the end of the week. We might get a bounce there or the next line of defense is 7,700. This is our separation point in that we will either get a small bounce to the upside (Green: Intermediate (2) of {3}) maybe retracing as much as 8,300 - or we breach 8,600 which would be our Orange confirmation signal (Orange: Intermediate (Z) of Primary {2})."
Sam You are right. Evil hedges his outlook too much with his and ifs or unless... Many do. That's why Jay is to be appreciated, because he lays it on the line CLEARLY. Hope everyone appreciates that because it's rare. Thanks Uncle Jay. Just kidding again. Good luck all.
However, a LOW did hit at 2;30pm and I think I counted 5 waves giving us NOW an ABC against the trend
THEY are FORCING me to HOLD positions, and will look to see which bar cycles are going to be important
as i wrote 108bars is NOt where I normally look for a low
so need to disect whats next but still expect tomrrow to sell off
today's activity index not helping our cause
Read for today was somewhat at mixed
low tie at 3;53 pm could be a high Dow is NOW positive - damn
10:37 tomrrow has a lunar 45 Uranus = negative effect
and the reading for tomrrow is much more negative irritations & aggravations tensions be flexible make adjustments
If spx 862 is broken, they will target 827, but it doesnt seem like it should happen
however, the Initial claims # could NOW coincide with the negative outlook forcing a down open, rather than the UP open which I had pegged PENDING A LOWER CLOSE TODAY.
IN OTHER WORDS THE UP OPEN IS hapening on today's CLOSE
108bars throws off the next bar cycle low
LOOKS LIKE AN ABC off the 2:30 LOW might be finished?? at 3;53 pm
dropping off in last 10 minutes IM HOLDING and adding more right now
THE H&S is broken thus it looks like dow 7500 is dead ahead
29 comments:
Hey Jay. What are you doing today? Any thoughts? Much apprreciated if you would. Thanks.
Jeff P
7500 by July 9th in 2 days ? I'm perplexed and overjoyed OR am i reading it wrong.
Jay how does your indicators lok like for good short entry, timing wise. still looking for 1 PM to 2 PM?
thanks
sam
Hi Jay, good day to you all. Is your Low of July 20/21 a lower low than your July 9th. Very important to me and others I assume. Any feedback would be greatly appreciated. Also some say 3rd week of August will be a major LOW. Whats your charts and cycles say about Aug 19/20/21 ??
Thanks and look forward to your response.
Take care,
Joseph
Im back from golf at 11am
Activity index was at 266 and is now at 200
It might have been good to short at
10:15am, but I will now have to wait out a little rally, but I think I could get short anytime given the potential for 7900 or lower
Jay
I agree. I just loaded up quite a few put opitions here.
what is your time frame for a rally jay. still 1 Pm?
sam
thre is a soft aspect at 2:18pm
and then it gets ugly
Jay
Jay it looks like deep Y is palying out. here it from your posting
any thoughts?
Scenario for shallow Y
A 930.01 886.39 -43.62
B 886.39 906.23 19.84 45.5%
C 906.23 862.61 -43.62 1
Scenario for deep Y (alt)
A 930.01 886.39 -43.62
B 886.39 895.72 9.33 21.4%
C 895.72 825.14 -70.58 1.618
sam
Joseph
WHAT I WROTE !!!!!!!
HIGH ON JULY 20th
LOWER LOW Late AUgust
NOT july22
July22 as I WROTE - please read more carefully - !! THE START of another decline !!!!
You must be mixing me up with someone else???
SEE Chanakya's chart - its really very good
Sam
I bot in on the little rally at 11:45 to dow -18, and now its OFF 37pts
ANYONE NOTICE ~~GOLD
yesterday I wrote
{{{gold is ready to CRUMBLE}}}
pinched on the Bollinger bands
More later
Jay
Thanks Jay, got it bro. Looking at the chart, appreciate the feedback. take care : )
12:30 brot in some kind of short term low at 336bars which is = 329
we were supposed to get a 1pm low @ 90bars, but there was a low at 12:30
Now in an ABC rebound probably to my 2;18pm time slot
Since we have a 126bar cycle at 4pm, It would suggest a LOW at close TODAY
AND AN OPENING RALLY
they are reporting initial claims
at 8:30, and its possible to see a very short term bounce like this AM at 10am
IF they are going to drop to 827 as technicals are showing, the only time for it will be tomrrow
Friday is STILL showing a strong rally on the POWER INDEX, and im getting that feedback from other sources
I had been anticipating further rallies next week, BUT
the power index is slipping on Monday and Tuesday.
15th is a BRADLEy and could offer a turn higher off a low on that date. IT IS ALSO the 250 tr day cycle LOW to low , and high to low of the PAST 3 years
Jay
As of 1:30, the activity index moved up ONE notch from 133 to 166, but he dow is NOW only off $1.97
Could be another opp to add more shorts,, or wait till 2;18pm in about 45 minutes
Reminder Again
there is a 126bar cycle LOW due at 4pm today
SOOO ~~the game plan would be to unload positions today at 4pm,
and re-buy them again tomrrow at 10am also to be sold at 4pm
Jay
and 204bars at 4pm TOmrrow
Thanks jay. you are great.
sam
Jay,
What's your expectation 11:00 tomorrow? I believe July 9 is the 11th 16D = 176D
Hi, CDN TSX hit hard, Oil has broken its key support at 61.00 which is its major support line. next stop is $59.50/60.00, If we hit the target tomorrow OIL will bounce and thus the mrkts inline with Jay/Ravi and team comments here. Note if Oil goes down Thurs/tomorrow that would have been 6 days in a row which has only happen twice this year. If it goes dn again Friday then that has never happended to my knowledge. Thus TSX currently at 9550, next stop is 9300-9450.
One other point is the Xii Index Institutional Index. Major support is at 415-420 and were at 428 now so if this brks down further then it shows the big money is baling as well.
COY, Ive written it several times now
126bars at 4pm today =
An UP open tomrrow
THEN
NUMEROUS cycles converge at 4pm TOMRROW
there is a cycle at 11am = 55 tr days from April 21st at 10;45
but there is a much beter converence at 4pm
204bars
4 & 8 day cycles
44x 4 = 176
22x 8 = 176
13 day cycle completes at 10;30 on friday, but it should truncate to 4pm
UNLESS
it has an effect on Friday. it will only be a minor setback after a huge UP open
NOV 21st had the SAME THING, and ended up BIGTIME
Jay
hope hits answers your questions
Jay
Hey Jay,
Wouldn't it be great if you got
paid to answer the same question
over and over. BTW what is your outlook for September 13th 2013
at 10:15. Thanks.
Just kidding. But,your patient and
professional attitude is appreciated
by all. Thanks.
Hi jay, here is another supporter. "Evil speculator blog
"Unless buyers step in soon I think we’ll drop towards 8000 by the end of the week. We might get a bounce there or the next line of defense is 7,700. This is our separation point in that we will either get a small bounce to the upside (Green: Intermediate (2) of {3}) maybe retracing as much as 8,300 - or we breach 8,600 which would be our Orange confirmation signal (Orange: Intermediate (Z) of Primary {2})."
sam
Sam
With all due respect to Mr. Evil,
there seems to be a lot of, might,
if, or, unless, etc. in there.
Marcus, I agree. jay talked about 7500 way early and I am pointing out that others are begining to see what Jay saw much earlier
sam
Sam
You are right. Evil hedges his outlook too much with his and ifs
or unless... Many do. That's why Jay
is to be appreciated, because he lays
it on the line CLEARLY.
Hope everyone appreciates that because it's rare.
Thanks Uncle Jay.
Just kidding again.
Good luck all.
Its NOw 3:15pm and UNLESs they go into a dive to 7900 attoday's close, we might not get to 7600 tomrrow
they sure are hanging tough so far
An unusual bar cycle was 108 at 2:30
typical hod at 1:20pm
Activity also doing the same and has been flat at 200 this afternoon
more later
Jay
Jay
COY, what are you trying to tell me??
Jay
it is at the top BB on 5 min. chart. It has traded inth erange. we should see down movement to atleast 869 at the close
Looks like it wants to back test the neck line of the H&S. What do you think Jay,is this tomorrows up you saw in the morning.
SPX is WAY Below the DOW indicating WEAKNESS
However, a LOW did hit at 2;30pm and I think I counted 5 waves giving us NOW an ABC against the trend
THEY are FORCING me to HOLD positions, and will look to see which bar cycles are going to be important
as i wrote
108bars is NOt where I normally look for a low
so need to disect whats next
but still expect tomrrow to sell off
today's activity index not helping our cause
Read for today was somewhat at mixed
low tie at 3;53 pm could be a high
Dow is NOW positive - damn
10:37 tomrrow has a lunar 45 Uranus = negative effect
and the reading for tomrrow is much more negative
irritations & aggravations
tensions
be flexible
make adjustments
If spx 862 is broken, they will target 827, but it doesnt seem like it should happen
however, the Initial claims # could NOW coincide with the
negative outlook forcing a down open, rather than the UP open which I had pegged PENDING A LOWER CLOSE TODAY.
IN OTHER WORDS
THE UP OPEN IS hapening on today's CLOSE
108bars throws off the next bar cycle low
LOOKS LIKE AN ABC off the 2:30 LOW might be finished?? at 3;53 pm
dropping off in last 10 minutes
IM HOLDING and adding more right now
Jay
Yes Craig
it certainly looks that way
Jay
Jay, Im not trying to say anything. I'm in total agreement with the turndown tomorrow.
I'm wondering if the the HOD will be around 11:00AM, since the 4D and 16D cycles usually manifest there.
Tomorrow we comeplete the big cycle 176D. 11 x 16 = 176D
Let me know if I'm wrong on this.
Coy
YUes Coy
11am
1pm
3pm
are usually HIGHS and/or turns during ANYDAY of the week
Jly 9th is 55 tr days from April 21st intraday low was at 10;45
there is a neg lunar event at 10:37 and another at noon, so yes 11am could be a rebound high off the OPENing LOW
TO close down over 400 points, the
open has to be down at least 200, and the rest of the day has to keep the pressure ON ALL DAY
Jay
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