uh -oh

From Danerics public pages

He's got MANY other charts as well

ITS still the same question -- ARE we THERE yet?

Jay

TODAY's CHART

OBV
MACD
Ult
all look bearish

Next 3 days should be very different

As previously mentioned today at 2pm - Sun 0 Merc usually found at highs
Reading for today is [[ BEWARE pie in the sky thinking]]

Tomrrow expect upsets
Wed - Turmoil
Thurs - Challenging

Friday Yesterdays moods abate & becomes a favorable day
Monday = SOLID BIZ day
Jay

January 2010

This was previously posted PRIOR to DEC 31st.

AND as ive posted this chart and similar several times

4th continues lower at open- rebounds some and closes lower

5th becomes the worst day of the week

6th opens lower, but rebounds

7th opens higher but tests the previous low at 3;30

8th opens higher and keeps going

11th is a SOLID biz day

Jay

January 2010

Heres some MATH to Think about

Dow high = 14,280 -Oct 10,2007
Dow low =6440 - Mar 9- 2009

total loss = 7840 = 55%
FIBo on the button

Turn it around
55% of 7840 = 4312
6440 + 4312 = 10,752

Weve been creeping our way up the ladder and the difference between
10,580 and 10,750 is a quite narrow margin

THIS IS JUST SUPPOSITION so dont
throw it back in my face.

IF Jan 22 becomes the HIGH
from high to low took 18 months
from low to high would = 9 months

Any set back would NOW be limited to a fibo relationship allowing the above to occur within the established uptrend.

support have been strong at 10,200
since Nov 13 and it will probably hod again given the above scenario.

SO, we are POSSIBLY looking at my graph & C0ORDINATING the above data indicating a low on the 7th at the support area of 10,200 - 10,250, and a high on Jan 22 at 10,750

From there, I am expecting a sell off as previously mentioned to April 6th in increments.

April 6 = 13 months from March 6.
thats 288 days = 144 X 2
THE FIRST 144 ended on the OCT2nd
LOW.

One more point using time
March 9 to Jan 22 = 222 days
222/288 = 78%

April 3rd & 5th ALSO has 2 MARS squares
1 to Venus and other to Merc

Jay

Last Day- First Day

Elliott waves are so mixed up, its very hard to get a good reading

Astro still predicts some selling today and a rally First day of 2010

but the rally on Monday comes with a warning
BEWARE PIE IN THE SKY thinking

and thats just what MANY are thinking for 2010- pie in the sky -
Call it extreme exuberance [hmmm]

Historically Jan 6/7 and 22nd are important dates from the last few years,
and it does look like they will be important this year also

AFTER Jan 22nd we could actually get that elongated decline into APRIL6th
please dont ask how low is low- no way to tell- just use fibo for incremental levels

Thanks to ALL my regular contributors and the NEW people for some excellent commentary
Please log in as a follower- its very easy, and leaves no doubt as to your credibility.

HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ONE AND ALL

Jay

January 2010

This is NOT exactly the same as the previous chart.

but it is very similar

minor differences occur in the first week

TODAY, DEc30th has JUPITER SUPPORT until 3;31pm

Things could CHANGE dramatically afterward

Activity index is HOLDING all day at 66- quite low
it was at 33 most of the nite

Jay

January 2010 - adjustments

Heres a CLEAN view of January

NOTE that
2008 fell 1400 points from DEC 28th to Jan 22

NOT TO BE EXPECTED THIS YEAR

however,
we should expect some selling into Jan 6-7th
and
REBOUND high on Jan 22nd

Please dont ask me if it will be a higher high - NO ONE CAN ANSWER THAT

Jay

January 2010 - adjustments

FOLLOW THE BLACK LINE

A cleaner version is in the works, but I thought you might want to see
Jan with a minor adjustment to the first publication

Its NOT clear if Jan 7th will be LOWER than Dec31st, but I tend to think so

Jay

Dec 29th

Start new thread

propensity index which has a one day advance view, ran UP to 3010 from 2994 on the 25th
BUT that rise was not reflected by stock price increases

Now it has DROPPED back to 2996, and we await tomrrow's action

Its really amazing that when I put someones chart ont he blog, some people LOVE IT,
and OTHERS warn me not to do that, even tho I always give them credit for it

and on other blogs, some owners dont want me to mention this blog,
and yet others berated my for NOT mentioning this blog

I guess thats what makes the world tick.

258 bars and 21 hours are the SAME THING which hit at 2:30 nearly exact
and Ive been posting the bar cycles for a while now


the NEXT 21 hours, 258 bar cycle is on Monday Jan 4th at 10am
Will that be a LOW, or will it get truncated on Thursday at 4pm @ 252bars
which has occurred that way in the past.

the ECLIPSE is at 2:14pm Thursday along with 222 bars
note the NOV 2nd low occurred right at the FULL MOON @ 2:10pm

Jay

REMINDER

MERCURY goes RETRO on DEC 26th

SUN 0 PLUTO on the 25th at 12;28 gave support to XMAS day rally

Merc retro in addition to the hard aspects next week including
the eclipse on the 31st will SURPRISE many

Jay

Its JUST a matter of WHEN

As this chart shows, they are making higher highs on less strength

So it really becomes a matter of WHEN, and it looks like its going to be soon

flash has expectations for today

Jay

BREAK OUT or BREAK DOWN ?

Chart from COLUMBIA

One would suppose that a juncture like this we could put money on both sides.
Thus one side will certainly wipe out the other,
but it would still be a profitable trade, unless we get more stalemate through January


CBOE PC ratio
Monday = .67
Tuesday = .60

bearish, but the other pc ratios are mixed

more later
Jay

BOLLINGER bands

chart from JerryO at my Yahoo group

Can they stretch out another day or so??

MY propens index showed the HIGh as of yesterday which we got at 10:30 and again at noon

It also shows another high today POSSIBLY from 11am to 1pm
and this time an afternoon drop off into tomrrow morning lower open.
Some data shows a rebound after tomrrows open

Power index shows bulls still attempting to keep it rising thru the 23rd
with a defined drop on the 24th

Activity index FLAT at 100 all nite and still there at 9:45am


Jay

January 2010

My thanks again to one of our own members who takes my raw data and places
it on a readable chart as above

Heres the Jan 2010 and it looks similar to December

Low first part of month or Dec 31st
high mid month
top out late month

Keep in mind numerological changes occur , generally speaking
5th
14th
23rd

Todays propens index shows a high mid day and drop off later

Jay

Dec 20 preliminary

Power index shows it flat till late in the day
propens index is turning higher as of 12/20 at 1pm, but the complete pic
for Monday wont be available till the morning.

Monday might be shaping up as a sloppy day with 2 cycle pivots converging at 3pm
60bars & 78.6%/13day both at 3pm

FROM THERE, a stronger close would set the stage for Tuesday
which has a midnite high tide to assist a rally

I'm still expecting a PEAK on WED at about 1pm, and my game plan as of now is to short it.

Jay

Dec 18 Bradley

Chart from Columbia

Monday is characterized as a WINNER

so , yes rrman, once the low is set tomrrow on the Bradley date,
we can then expect a solid rebound next week

And so the SEE SAW continues next week when the bulls take over again

12/20 MORE NOW
READ comments
Monday might be shaping up as a sloppy day with 2 cycle pivots converging at 3pm
60bars & 78.6%/13day both at 3pm

FROM THERE, a stronger close would set the stage for Tuesday
which has a midnite high tide to assist a rally

I'm still expecting a PEAK on WED at about 1pm, and my game plan as of now is to short it.

Jay

Dec Chart - ANOTHER VIEW

Chart from ROTROT , a member here & other yahoo groups

Matches my graph also TO SOME DEGREE
As it shows the mkt rolling over int he DEC 21st to 22nd time frame,
then heading for a YEAR END SELL OFF as the other graph has shown
SINCE I first published it earlier this month

I waited till 8:30 and the employ report finally meets with energy waning

Today, similar to Nov 20 should end lower, but the open at 9:45 to 10am might just be the lod

102bars at 10am
61.8%/13 day cycle at 1;43pm could be the pivot to a better close,
but again compare to Nov 20

Another lower open tomrrow could also offer a fair buy opp, but the energy IS WANING
that doesnt mean the bulls wont keep trying to prop up the averages next week

However, as the chart above shows and my graph also shows, along with astro events
we should see a strong sell off on the 24th & 28th
repeating again - the Dec graph makes the case for another dip on the 31st
making it a great place to buy for a very strong open rally on JAN 4th and part of the 5th

more later
Jay

DECEMBER 2009

Lets see how well this adjustment works out

If conforms with Cycle lows and Bradley for the 18th

And the 377 week cycle on Dec 28-31


Let me know If you want to see a January preliminary view

Jay

Waves

So far my natural energy chart compares to this projection

but my scientific data conflicts somewhat

We dont have to get a giant sell off, but its hard to envision holding
within such a narrow range for 8 more days till Xmas

I will report any changes asap

Jay

DECEMBER 2009

As ive been posting - the 14th has potential to cut into the BULLISH trend, but NOT STOP it

Its UNCLEAR whether the 16th will set a lower low or not,
and the 39 hour cycle at 2pm might become the pivot to higher highs by the 22nd- 23rd.

Jay