FEB 2nd - NO DOUBT About it

------------------------------open -------------------------close

POOR OPEN-- mid day reprieve -----poor close

3rd is an 8day LOW
4th is an 8 day TURN

Jay

Feb 2nd PRELIMINARY

-------------------------------open 2/2 ------------noonL-------1pmH--- 3pm L

This could be dead wrong, for better or worse there it is.

FYI- Coy had 2:14 pm today as a TURN higher, which was EXACT,
and he says his energy chart for tomrrow is higher also

Updates to the above tomrrow at 8am.

Jay

Mid Day OBV Chart

this is 5 day 5 min chart and OBV in marked decline

Flag shows MEETING point tomrrow

recent observations on 2 day 1 min chart
NOTICE

OBV just took a SHARP DIVE at noon

MACD in decline off open high

Ult osc possible triple top at noon

Jay

Feb 1 st updated guidance graph

------------------------------open----11amH------4pmL-----Feb2 open Down

thats the danger of posting the graph the night b4- its not really complete

Any rally today should peak out 10 to 11 AM rather than 3pm, IMO.

204bar @ 11;30 should have some downdraft effect, but the afternoon should slip way
steadily as shown

and so far the open on Tuesday looks like a continuation of the afternoon drop off on today

Jay

Feb 1st daily guidance

------------------------------open-------11;30L-----3pmH-----4pmL

FYI- Pay little or NO attention to the AMPLITUDE, only the direction

Daily Reading= Poor morning , mid day better, poor close
disruptions & accidents
Wait a day or 2 before venturing out to shop

Tuesday
FIBO convergence has NOT gone away

Feb 2nd Chinese new year of the Tiger- well we alrady know what happened to one Tiger

Feb 2nd ground hog day

Feb2nd reading
challenges & pressures
serious issues & road blocks

MONDAY
180 bars at open
204bars @ 11:30
13 day cycle @ 11;00
228bars@ 1:30
258bars POSSIBLY @ close

Tuesday
258bars possible at open unless it hit at 4pm yesterday
39hours high at 10am
its also possible that 329bars occurs at 3;30
or a 3;30 low is effected by Moon 0 Saturn at 3:49pm
AND moon 90 Pluto @ 4:01pm

Typcially, on a wash out day we get the LOD at 3:45-3;55pm which fits well with the above


Jay
Jay

Waves - Jan 29

Chart from Columbia's public pages

The wave count from the Jan 29th high does look like 4 waves are
complete now waiting for a 5th wave to finish the count which converges on Feb 2nd fibo dates.


Daily guidance graph to be published tomorrow AM before open

Jay

Jan 28 to Feb 2

Any fine tuning from here on will be shown on the DAILY guidance graph which
will be posted late Sunday and or Monday AM prior to open

Jay

Jan 29 recap

As I wrote- some times it really difficult to delineate when one day ends and the next day begins

I dont MAKE these charts myself

They come to me from universal data and they are already published in advance

I try to show ONLY the data and graph that has relevance to the NEXT day
rather than include prior day or 2 to 3 days in the graph

I think this shows more clarity rather than including past days

Today showed a rally at open and typically we top at 10 to 11am as we actually did
Reported possible low at 11:30, DUHH , we actually got a low at noon

reported possible high at 2;30, and it occurred at 1;30- OMG just shoot me-gg

Reported possible low at 4pm, and it hit at 3;30, damn missed it again -gg

If I dont blow my own horn, I dont know who will

Yes, I do better in declining markets, but that is GOING TO CHANGE
You see my FEb graph and THOSE who will keep you AND ME short all the way
UP to FEb 28th will not be welcome

IT looks like the addition of the DAILY graphs has increased my accuracy greatly.

Looking forward to more of the same- later
Jay

Feb 2010 preliminary graph

There might be some slight variation on the actual trading from Jan 19th to Feb2nd

One thing that wont change is the FEB 2nd low
I know I posted this b4 but
Feb 2nd is a fibo convergence
55 from Nov 12 LOW,
144 july 9th LOW,
233 July9th Low
377 Aug 8 - 2008 low
610 Aug 28- 2007 low

The daily graph for Jan 29th seems to be saying they will stay above support

Jan 29

------------------------open------11:30L-----2;30H----4pm L

I dont know if we will get the washout today, but it seems that its in place

126B @ 11;30
150 b @ 1;30 or 156b @ 2pm
180bars at 4pm

Sun 180 Mars @ 2:43pm

Jan 29th is a Bradley date

Latest GRAPH is an UPDATE to the one previously posted
as it shows a higher open which agrees with astro since theres no energy to interfere with
that higher open.

ANd
as previously mentioned its REALLY hard to know where one day ends
and the next day begins

Jay

Projected path as posted Monday

Wave 3 that we are in NOW should be a multiple of wave 1

wave 1 lost 60 spx

60 x 1.618 = 97 pts

that would be a gift from the Gods

Jan 28th reading
shocking news
postpone biz decisions
nervous energy

Jan 29th
Yesterdays problems INCREASE
antagonism
caution with $$

Dont waste this opp

Hadik now sees low extended to Feb 1 & 2
wheew, what took him so long ? gg

Jay

Jan 28th daily graph

Follows the power index dropping from 500 today to 275 friday

Todays energy got reversed
Gietner took a beating in the AM, and we got a green light in the PM

We'll see what Mr Pres stirs up tonight, but the reading for tomorrow calls for
disturbing
postponements
possible shocking news

Sun II Pluto
Moon 135 Sun
agitation & intensity
sounds like he will want to read congress the riot act[g]

Jay

explicit view of Jan 27th

-----------------------------------open ---------2pm H----4pm L

As mentioned, we could get a lower open, or not
MY game plan has multiple choices

We could buy the lower open
or
We could just wait out the rally and short the 2pm high

Jay

Jan 26 & most of Jan 27

Adjusted times ----------Jan26close-----Jan 27th open--------2pmFED-H

The times within the box didnt come out right when I transferred the image

THUS we may have WAVE 'b', NOT as low as WAVE 3 as this morning,
JUST as I commented on earlier
NOW
looking for wave 'c' - 4 ~~ higher tomrrow @ spx 1104 for potential short
could go a little above that but not by much

Jay

Daily Graph - Jan 26 & part of 27th

Jan 25---------------------------26--------------------26--------start 27th

Its really hard to know if tonights close will offer the pivot low to another intrday high
and 4th wave leading to a fifth of course on 28& 29

but they are backing off todays highs after 2pm ,
but I doubt tomrrow AM will open lower like today
And tomrrows read does call for green light till mid day

Jay

watching variables

All of the above variables are in a declining phase coming off the Jan 19th TOP

As the day makes progress we should see lower lows

156b @ noon
180b @ 2pm
204b@ 4pm

Activity index was at 200 earlier , now flat at 100 for last 2 hours

Power index NOW shows a CLEAR drop off after tomrrow jan 27th into the 29th.
from 500 level to 250

Which seems to corroborate my view for a rebound tomrrow FED day till 2;15

State of Union speech will be given too much importance, but at least we wont get a
BUSH review-- the UNION IS STRONG, he would bellow while Rome was burning

Anger and backlash against ALL govt action & incumbents
is taking its toll on the Senate for now, and will probably play a bigger roll in Nov.

As for the market, you can blame the Govt if you want, but it would have happened anyway

Jay

Coy's Earth Energy Chart

This chart seems to be in opposition to the Jaywiz chart

Jay

new graphic chart for Jan 25th & 26th

-------------------------------25th-------------25th-----26th--------------26th

this graphic shows tomrrow has more potential to fit in
with a mood change on the 25th from good to poor on the 26th

Jay

DAILY graph

As you can see there's NOT much ado today or tomrrow

Jay

Another Line in the sand

chart from COLUMBIA
Thanks Michael

Math
1150 -1090= 60pts
60x 23.6% = 14
1090 + 14 = 1104

The daily chart shows slightly higher today and dropping off some tomrrow
nothing dramatic either way in the first couple days this week

the Reading today calls for caution

Tuesday calls for
unwelcome news
no headway
numerous distractions
Also indicated is a mood change from good to poor

good today- poor tomrrow
OR
if a good start tomrrow, expect it to change for the worse

Jay