THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023
Monday, April 27, 2009
SOLAR CYCLES
Something doesnt seem to FIT
and please correct me if you think I'm not seeing the forest from the trees
OR
is it the other guys who are pushing catastrophe,
JUST AS THEY DID FOR Y2K from which NOTHING came out of it.
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The SOLAR CYCLE has PEAKED in 2007/ 2008
as indicated by stock market crash in 2008 and this graph
Also a story recently from NASA that 2007 and 2008 have seen the LOWEST
amount of SOLAR STORMS in Many years
2007 was SLOW, and according to the PEOPLE
who track this stuff, 2008 has been even SLOWER
SO why are SOME groups advocating
DISASTER on 2012 other than the Mayan prediction?
And just because our SUN/ solar system is crossing the ecliptic
PLANE of the center of our universe
IMO,
EVEN tho the CYCLE seems to RISE again in 2102,
it should have NO EFFECT on our planet whatsoever
more later
Jay
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13 comments:
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challo
It's just after the 11:00 o'clock hour, likely the high of the day. Now I can take the time to respond.
I happen to be a believer in what John Casey, Director of the SSRC, is saying. Our climate is controlled by a family of cycles related to changes in the Sun.
Sun Spot Cycle #25 just started this spring. We've definately had an extended trough. The Sun surface flows are slowing (normally chruned by electromagnetic energy)and if the Sun Spot count is 50 or less for Cycle #25, he says we will go into a 20-30 cold climate era as occured over 200 years ago. Then the earth only had to feed a billion people, this time over 8 billion. We have only a few years to prepare. Our government is more concered short lived climate change - warming.
Coy,
Are you saying that we'll see global cooling (for lack of a better phrase) for the next 25-30 years?
Coy and Jay - how does that chart relate to market trading?
I know - tides, etc.
but looking at it - if the cycle was down from 2001 thru 2007/08, and market churned in that time period, does it now mean that markets are heading up?
sorry - I'm a bit dense here -
Coy, I miss seeing you at CB.
challo
hey guys. whats happenin today and with the markets and what happened to your forecasts for today? Looks bullish to me.
chara
Excuse me, I'm off count. Sun Spot Cycle #24 just started this spring. And it's #25 that's of concern. 11 years away.
Challo
that MKt ROSE all during the FALLING
SOLAR CYCLE ending in 2007-08
Now the cycle as pictured is bottoming and the mkt is making what looks like a kondratief wave trough as per a previous graph.
the Kondratief trough similar to the 1930's would portend cold weather and droughts shortly ahead
in the next few years, and as the mkts effect , an extended long deep trough, again such as the 1930's which is the nearest example we have for a template
Jay
as far as trading today
the week has barely begun and its now near 1pm.
we had what appears to be the 13 day cycle at 9:35, and subsequent recovery after it
60bars @11:30 was insignificant, but We should now be on a downward track into a lower close which might come mostly after 3pm
Its really hard to say if the open tomrrow will be UP or down as my indexes are mixed at that time slot.
Either way, the propensity & power indexes show me a recovery type day from which I am still planning to reenter short
ALSO , I shorted GOLD at 913 this AM and expect it to drop back below last weeks low at 866.
more later
Jay
I think they are buying dips. We may see continued sell-off/sideways action for the next 2 days and an UP later in the week.
Fairly certain that the short-term top is sometime early next week and it could be 890-910.
Jay, do you think we might just have a delayed reaction, as to the market selling off? Sometimes it does happen, either the day before or the day after. What do you think? As always, thanking you for your time and work.
I think you hit on it, Pauline. I'm still showing we're down.
Thanks Coy, futures are down this morning.
Lets see what happens, overall looking good.
Have a good day!
Pauline
OK, Clarification
its 8:30am and futures are down 100 dow pts
VERY SIMPLY
IM OUT AT THE OPEN
MY power & propensity index are BOTh showing a lower open as suspected but not confirmed yesterday & the ACTIVITY index is a FLAT .66= under yesterday's open.
The POWER & Prop index are showing me higher after the open lasting thru the day. THEN tomrrow should DO the REVERSE - That is- OPEN higher and slip away lower during the day leading to a lower low on the 30th.
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