Activity index starts out at 200, and then drops to 66 shortly thereafter
Propensity index continues to decline into tomorrows open
high of 3022 to as low as 2990
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GOLD is tracking stocks AGAIN as the DOLLAR takes a hit off 2.70 yesterday
GOld hitting 950 as projected
Next stop 850
Look back at Last years high
both had 95% bullish sentiment at the $1000 level
If you count the 2009 high as a "B" wave, then the next level has to take out the 2008 lows
at about $700
If you count it as a failed 5th , the next low could be less than $600
$600 is considered the APEX of the triangle
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Armstrong seems to think that gold would make a high at the suspected June 2009 lows
thats Ok imo, if it continues to track stocks
Armstrong thinks there is a potential for Dow to drop to 4000 in June
Of course we ALL KNOW such EXTREMES will be VERY short lived
the rally that follows, as I HAVE WRITTEN several times
should carry the DOW to possibly 10K by March of 2010
10 year high to high from March 2000 at 14,000
More Later
Jay
6 comments:
Ravi,
I think S&P may go down to 700, but that would be a buy.
I expect markets to do 3-4 month upward move from there lasting into August/September before sharply correcting thereafter.
Shankar
jay whats your take on oil. and do i understand correctly. if dow goes down in june, then according to armstrong, gold will go to high. correct? if so they will disconnect? tia
shankar---I would prefer to just daytrade as expectations for any IT outlook means pretty much nothing right about now.
*Chrs *
Got it.
Thanks.
this won't correct very much. In fact correction may alreadyy be over. Another 4 or 5 days to go up yet before a real pullback begins.
I made mention that gOLD
seems to be tracking stocks
If that continues thru April and Maythen June 18th could offer a low as do stocks, but yes we need to watch for a possible disconnect
OIL should alos follows stocks LOW into June,
BUT by March 2010 could be reaching $80 along with a stock mkt rebound at the same time
BUT from there a MAJOR low in 2011-2012 should once again drop oil prices back to $40 range or lower.
The deeper & longer the recession
the cheaper oil will get and will remain there until a suitable replacement is plentiful
Jay
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