Bears in Control

the BEARS are in control thru Feb9th

Stay focused

Any rallies this week intraday should be sold

Some charts might be showing lows are in, but it just at points like this
the mkt drops thru what looks like support

Dow 8000 VERY CRITICAL

The Reading for Feb 2 = Dont start anything new
tense situations


SPX futures are already OFF 20 pts as of Saturday Noon
If that holds, it places the spx to open at 814

Monday hourly-
11;15
1;10
3;15


Bar cycles
180b AT OPEN
THIS almost guarantees a SHARPLY LOWER OPEN

55%/13 daycycle@ 11;29
204 bars at 11;30
this almost guarantees the mkt trades lower to this point

258 bars @ 4pm almost guarantees a lower close
UNLESS it completes at the open on the 3rd

FEb 3rd ~~ TIMES

30 bars @ noon
60 b @ 2 : 30

62%/13 day @ 10:43
moon 90 Neptune @ 10:21

The POWER index is a bit confusing, but it does seem to confirm a LOWER open on the 3rd,
with a rebound later in the day into the open of the 4th


More later
Jay

Neat package

open higher
low at 11;30 @ 126 bars dow off 140
Higher to hourly at 1;13 dow off 42
BOT puts at 1;13pm
next LOW due at 2pm
then possible uptick to 3pm, and lower close

Monday could be a short term low at 11;29 am
Minute wave 1 of 3 of 5
should break under spx 800
maybe fill the outstanding gap at 792??

More later
Jay

MY Simple Elliott wave

4th wave from nov 21 to jan 5th

CURRENTLY now a 5th wave
within that 5th wave

Wave  1 from 944 to 805
wave 2 from 804 to 877, might not be 
complete yet as of jan 28th
wave 1 of 3 of 5  to 738 due next 
should end of Feb9th

Thats exactly my thoughts above wave counts
SIMPLE and precise
Leave out that micro's, & nano's
As best as I can tell we have ALREADY
or about to enter wave 3 of 5

ITS still possible we have ONE more run up to 880 area 
to complete wave 2 IF so, then Feb 3rd is best bet for 
that high or the Am of the 4th

Then wave 3 takes us to AS IVE MENTIONED MANY TIMES
 ********FEB9th *** Feb9th **********feb 9th
I dont know HOW many times to post that date b4 It gets 
recognition

That MIGHT ONLY Be  minute wave1 of minute 3 of minor 5

Minor 5 might still not get there till MID JUNE at SPX 600
___________________________________________________

PC ratios are MIXED today
gauges are pointing somewhat higher today, at least till
about 1pm
Activity index holding the #1 level but pushing up one tick
Power index also shows a potential for a mid day high
VHF level at 0= bullish

Overall the trend today appears somewhat bullish
HOWEVER, there is 1 50% /13 day @ 2pm
Also EOM uptrend and first day of mew month

FEB 2 however, has a 55%/13 AT 11;29 which could
be the catapult to a higher close
____________________________________________________

Murrey math levels
878, and we got right to it Wed
841 held on Thursday
Futures are slightly up at 9:25am
Spx 40 point rule of thumb

935 closing high - 805 closing low = 130 pts
40pts X 3 = 120, thats close enuf
805 + 80 got us near to 885 Wed

878- 120 = 758 
Murrey math = 754
anything below those levels on Feb9th/ open on the 10th
could take it to
spx 723 Murrey math to 718 
_______________________________________________

Hourly remains the same
aprox
11 am
1pm
3pm

barcycles
126 @ 11:30
156 @ 2pm matching the 13 day cycle
180 at close OR open on Monday

Hope Im not overloading you with all this data


More later 
Jay

The Die is CAST

PC ratios indicate a SELL OFF tomrrow

as previously stated, 1:32 has the only chance of a high for the day,
but coming off opening lows, it might not amount to much.

JAYWIZ index = .18 = sell
SPDR = 1.09 = sell
CBOE PC = .77 =sell
SPX = .96 = sell
OEX pc ratio = .51 SELL
Need I write any more??

Proprietary gauges dropped from highs of 3040 to 2996 showing tomrrow DOWN

Activity index barely moved off the 1.6 level even with a 200 pt up day

The LAST hour looked like a setup for a wave 3 down open again in accord with the
cycles mentioned b4
10am & 10;12 am

Friday has 180 bars hitting at 4pm
However, its also backed up with a midnite high tide on Feb 1st

Whats that mean ? You ask - good question

It means that IF Friday does NOT close DOWN, then MONDAY will open down with a THUD
on the 180 bar mark

More later

Jay

Ground Hog Day

FEb 2nd has a 50% /13 day @ 2pm,
AND
4 day low @ 3pm

Between those two, we can see the first stop


Feb 3rd starts out strong
BUT
55%/13 day @ 11:29 should offer another reality check

A higher close should spill ove tot he 4th in the AM;
But it will pay to be FLEXIBLE

WHY? you ask

WEll the 5th calls for a POTENTIAL CRISIS & Money WOES

VENUS 90 Pluto - NOT GOOD FOR biz at all

More later
Jay

BIG UP DAY today

As bulls WE waited this one out holding our collective breath
OIL UP & Europe UP 2 to 3 %

How high is high?
Lost Jan 6 to Jan 20 {935spx to 805} = 130 pts @ a %age to be gained back

130 X 50% = 65 = 870
that one looks like it will be surpassed at the open

130 X 62% = 80 pts = 885
OR
78% = spx 905

THE Higher numbers could be tmrrows goal before the late day collapse
a late day collapse on the 29th is also indicated by my proprietary gauges


Yesterday was a VERY active intraday cycle day
Most important was the 23.6%/13 day cycle right at 10:56 = the LOD
Then after a 3:30 high, the close ended right at 204bars
THUS the EXPLOSION in futures this am

THE hourly cycles yesterday
10:47 low matched the 13 day cycle
12;24 HIGH
3:06 low- turned up
3;38 high

WHAT'S OUT THERE TODAY - Jan 28th

Of course we have the typical hourly
in round #s
11 am
1pm
3pm

BAR cycles
228b@ 11;30
258B @ 2pm *****Now that one is VERY interesting
IT falls just b4 the FED announcement
making a low there at 258 bars is a setup for a very strong close

Jan 29th FYI
STARTS LOWER
WHY ?
the 38.2%/13 day cycle @ 10:12
AND
30bars @ 10am

both MEET at nearly the same time- double whammy
HOWEVER, there should still be one more runup to that 1;32 time
b4 getting serious about declining into Feb 4th

More later
Jay

Expect MORE

FED day tomrrow
what are they going to report

ive been thinking about this
AND
They will do EVERYTHING they can to support OBAMA-NOMICS

what that means is they are reporting at exactly the right time and place
to give Pres Obama'a economic plan a boost

the ENTHUSIASM comes just before a SUN || Pluto which is a cousin
to the Jan 21st aspect SUN 30 Pluto when the dow closed UP 297pts

Any hard fought gains today will turn out moderate compared to
Tomrrows run for the roses

In light of the ABOVE- It's Fascinating to me is the Jan 29th reading
GET GROUNDED & warns of UNREALISTIC expectations

Wow, how real can you get.

More Later
Jay

Jan 27 update at noon

Whats the GAME PLAN?

Were making some progress toward a 55 day high which at this
point looks like it might be delayed one day

The trend for today doesnt seem to have the punch to get UP Dow 300 pts
But thats what I would expect from this wave

Tomorrow has nothing in the way of getting there,
so the big UP day looks like it might be one day away.

The 29th has a Sun || Pluto at 1;32 which calls for BIG changes
followed by a hard lunar aspect at 5;32pm

one of my associates has provided a Lunar fractal chart that shows
the 27th or 28th as a high and the next big move is a slide into March 6th
if I get permission, I'll put on display

Ive already mentioned March 2nd to 6th potential for a n important low
a couple times and this chart shows it clearly

Jay

Jan 27th

Today might be considered as LAST chance for bulls to make a statement

however, it wont mean anything in the overall context of things to come

I will be preparing to get BEARISH on any intraday high tomrrow

My work and systems suggest a high today, possibly higher intraday tomorrow

Then, I am STILL on target for a FEB10th LOW
Starting on Jan 28th

Of course there are some bullish reprieves along the way, but the TREND appears to be picking up the
bearish side until at least the first week in March

Wave 1 wave 39 tr days and 2039 pts
wave 5 so far is only 13 days from jan 6th
39 days takes us to March 2nd
and 2039 pts drops to dow 7000

More Later
Jay

Monday

After LANGUISHINING all week at the lowest level, The ACTIVITY index has risen to #4

the highest level is at # 5

there is a 13 day segment LOW due at 9:50am along with an hourly at 9:45

Futures are still weak, but should not hold the mkt after that

Any rally should END Tuesday by mid afternoon

A second rally might unfold on Wed, but should not survive after the Fed announcement
bar cycles today
60b @ 10:30
90b@1pm
120b@ 3:30pm

More hourly
10:18
1:23
3:28


more later
Jay

LAST chance

January has one more chance THIS WEEK to show its bullish stuff

The month of Feb promises to slip and slide

Weve already discussed a few times Feb 10th

BUT after a very brief rebound to about mid month , the balance of Feb looks as bad as the first 10 days

It looks like the MAIN cycle is the 60 yr ending in MID June all the way back to 1949

March 2003 was the last most recent lows, and thats 72 months
Hadik likes to count 17 year cycles = 1992 which was a LOW year also
I mention this because most analysts like to use 55 months
well, DUHH - 72-55 = 17

More later
Jay

Jan 23 update

Scary open right on 228 bars to a low of 7912

258 bars came in right on schedule at noon, but not a new low

Todays readings calls forGOOD fotune BY DAYS END

next bar cycle at 2;30 should set the stage for end of day rebound

Jay

Jan 23 times

WEll its ONE year from Jan 22 and 23rd of 2008 and we all know what hapenned then

Are we geting the same or SIMILAR ? maybe
last yar they ran UP 750 pts from the Jan 22 low
then fell 500 to Feb 13th
That was THEN, and THIS IS NOW

Times today

228 BARS right on the OPEN- 210 dow
10:15 rebound hourly high - dow off 150

258 Bars @ NOON
START new cycle
30 bars @ 2:30
60 bars dosent hit until Monday @ 10;30am

Tues had 30 bars @ 12:30
Wed had 90bars @ 11am
Thurs had 180 bars at NOON
ALL were LOW points
That means NOON- TODAY should be a significant low today also

Hourly
10:15
11:05
1:10
3;15
and 3:47

Activity index so far today is NOT showing any move higher as of 10am and in fact supports the next move lower to noon

gauges are languishing and not showing any rebounds as of yet

Wave count could be doing either a desceing trianagle or finishing wave 1 down to 792 intraday with a rebound to midway between 792 and 940 = spx 866

It should happen quite quickly as Tuesday represents an 8 day point - high or low
Wed offers and 8 day turn
and my work suggests a high on Tues, TRUN on WEd and start of substantial decline
ending on Feb 10th

If a triangle we could travel the widest part of the which = 250 pts
spx 1000 to 750 = 250 pts or spx 615
OR duplicating wave 3 losses = the same
149 pts lost from 935 to 792 , or 805 = 130 x 1,618 = 210 pts
OR 149 x 1.618 = 239

What Im really saying is {{ that for the bears}}, the best is yet to come

More later
Jay

Jan 22 -2009

TIMES FOR TODAY

first go take a look at BP chart at CHARTS EDGE

Today's bar cycles
150B @ open, thus the open decline
13 DAY right in here at 10:30 - might be the LOD ??
180 b @ 11;30
204b @ 1:30
228B @ 3;30

Hourly times ~~ usually highs but not always
11am
1:05pm
3:15 pm

Charts edge has ALL of these LOWS on the BP chart for today.
you know how to get over there.

And most important is the 13 day cycle at 10;30 to 11am *********
which falls right in there on his chart and the above bar cycles

His chart also shows a higher close which agrees with my work

><><>

Jan 23rd
Not shown yet as per Charts edge

however, 258 bars @ 11;30 might be the buy of the day
We seem to have conflicting charts for the 23rd- some are up, some are down -- DUHH what else is new(G)

IMO< --IT looks like we will start LOWER till 11;30, then close higher, and I will offer more info later

More later - again >
Jay

Jan 22 -2009

As IVE written SEVERAL times

EXPECT the 13 day cycle LOW to HIT at 10:30am on JAN 22nd

The FUTURES are off 100 dow points this AM -Jan 22 -- DUHH
I told you this would happen weeks in advance

NOW, We STILL offer that low as a BUY for a rally to continue, choppy at times such as this AM,
BUT still HIGHER into Jan 27th, maybe 28th

29th reading says DONT PUSH your luck- watch for DANGER signs of becoming overconfident
30th calls for CHANGE is at hand

FEb 2nd to Feb 10th is STILL SET up for MAJOR LOSSES in stocks

Many ELLIOTTERs have been looking at the current wave as impulsive and counting it that way
Ive been REPEATING this several times
The alternate is becoming primary count for THEM

JAN 6th = "A" wave high @935spx
Jan 21="B" wave LOW @ 805spx
Jan 27/28 = "C" wave HIGH 935 & higher = WAVE 4
Since we NOW at 840 spx, the next few days appear SHARPLY HIGHER

Feb 10th possible wave 5
wave 5of what longer pattern, im not sure, but I will leave that to other elliotters of more experience
who I am sure will offer charts and graphs of perfection

More later
Jay

55 tr day cycle

most of the time we expect a 55 tr day cycle to be HIGh to low or Low to high
BUT it can also be high to high and low to low

Theres a lot of noise about the current 55 tr day cycle from nov 4th and Nov 20
which can also complete in 54 days, as some count 108 days and not 110

However, lets look at the dates
11/20 to 1/20 = 39 days but actually its 38 due to the 2 half days
11/20 to 1/21 = actual -- 39
11/20 to 11/22 = actual-- 40

11/21, at 11:05am the intaday low to 1/22/09 is 39 actual
or 3 cycles of 13

NOV 4th + 55 = NOV 27th actual
Oct 27th LOW to Jan 20 = 56 tr days or 14 cycles of 4, thus the lowest close at spx805

Heres more
NOV 21st @ 11:05 + 52 tr days = Feb 10th@ 10:30am
another 13 day cycle

Thus we now also have Nov 20 to Feb 10th as 54 tr days
The Lunar eclipse with very negative readings is on the 9th

Thus Im expecting Feb 10th to be an extreme low, possibly getting to targetted spx 704

More later
Jay

Another rally that didnt

I really should have paid more attention the Bradley date - Jan 20th

Even with the close today @ 805 we could still see a lower close tomrrow to 792

Im expecting a rebound till midday on the 21st, but it doesnt look like it can hold

Cliff had mentioned a few times that the 792 GAP had not been filled, ,and that might just provide a strong closing target for tomrrow

We STIll have a few stats to think about
Today was 38 tr days NOv 20
AND
after recounting with those 2 half days makes 4pm today 56 tr days Oct 27th
that makes tomorrow day # 39, and Thursday and even 40
40 / 4 = 10 divisions of 4 from Nov 20
39 tr days NOV 21st at 11:05 = 3 cycles of 13 days to Jan 22@ 10 to 11am

we had a 935 high - 120 = 815 minus another 40 = 775
Murrey math #s 816 last is broken @ 805 now - 31 = 785 -15 more = 770
So now we have 2 levels close to each other by 2 different methods

ONE very important stat which Ive mentioned several times
Jan 22 AT 10:30 am , which could end up at 10am
IS THE 100%/13 DAY cycle completion at 10 to 10;30 with a 30 min variance

Also: my 2 main gauges popped up over the wkend to 3024
then proceeded to fall to 3008 at close today
and drop to 3001 tomrrow, after a brief run up to 3012 intraday

Tech data says SELL even after today
Jaywiz index which gave high readings all week except for last Tuesday now gave a LOW .19
CBOE PC ratio 96
OEX pc ratio 55
SPX 500 pc ratio = 125
those are all in agreement for a lower level

HOWEVER< ONCE we get to 770 area which would = another 35 pts lower than today
and a loss of 280 more down points to 7669 , can then get a huge oversold rebound into mid day on the 27th

How high is HIGH?
Do the math yourselves- but its no where near what I was thinking last week
only fibo %age rebound and not a run to the Jan 6th level

More later
Jay

Heres a picture

worth 100 words = many pages of text

from Tim McCarthy on the Crystal ball forum

More later
Jay

Astro Next week

remember this - You dont have to be a believer - only an observer

Jan 14th - UPSETS & DONT Travel-
I guess Thursday's Air Trans in the Hudson River was just a freak accident, HMMM
thursday's spx high was at 3pm just at the same time as the above

Jan 15th- Be Flexible and Expect changes
Jan 16th - repeat yesterday- DUHHH

Jan 20th - Favorable trends continue - pleasant- $ comes in -

Jan 21 - minor stresses can be overcome

Jan 22 - Day starts out BAD, but turns into a real winner
gee, my 13 day cycle hits at 10:30 am-
what a coincidence ?? OR not , HMMM

Jan 23- Good fortune & high energy

Jan 26 - BURST of enthusiasm & good LUCK

It then starts to get more negative as we get to the end of the week,
but more on that later.

NOW, I ASK YOU, does the above sound like CRASH talk
NOT IN MY ENGLISH

Technical BUY signal

Jan 15th BUY SIGNALS

8212 Dow close
ADV DECL ratio = 316
Vol ratio = 316
BOTH WELL UNDER the 400 threshold for BUY signals
2nd day in a row under 400

Arms 5 day AVE = 203= strong BUY
second day in a row over 200

5 day TRIN sum = 1015 & now 2 days over 1000
10 day trin sum = 1643 & now 2 days over 1600
BOTH STRONG BUYS

37/38 trade days from Nov 21
Spx hit 817 on the 15th @ 12;30
Spx hit 823 on the 16th at 78.6%/13 day cycle at 11;55am

Nov 21 low of minor wave 3 @ 11:05 am right on the 13 day cycle event

Jan 6th top of WAVE "A" spx 935- rebound in minor 4th

Jan 15th LOW of WAVE "B' at spx817

Jan 26th expected wave "C" high to top wave 4 @ 935 or higher

Feb 11th to end wave 5 at spx 795 or lower @ 54 tr days from Nov 21

Math
SPX 935-755 = 180 pts
180 X 50% = 90 pts
935- 90 = 845
spx closed 842 & 843

40 pt method
935- 120 = spx 815

WE GOT ALL THOSE NUMBERS this week

whats ahead
1575 - 755 = 820 pts
820pts x 23.6% = 193
741 intraday low + 193 = 934, we got that on Jan 6

820X 382 = 313 + 741 = spx 1054, very possible
1055 - 815 = 240 / 40 = 6 X
1055 - 40 - 1015
either one can be achieved
RIDE THE WAVES

Theres a LOT of data above and last few days to absorb
take some time to understand it

More later
Jay

timing today

Hourly
10:46
12;55
3:03

Shorter term hourly
Yesterday's 3:08 turn + 1hr & 5 min = 9:43  ***
SHOULD BE THE HOD today

Notice xtides times today
*** 9:42   - MATCHED above
12;30  --  matches convergence
1:40  -- matches 222 b
3;08 - matches hourly above

Most important
204B @ NOON
78.6% /13 day cycle @ 11:55
both hitting at noon would seem to
indicate that could be the LOD

ALL bar cycles today
180b @ 10am
204b @ noon
222B @ 1:40
250b @ 4pm - equal to 258 truncated

using bar cycles, WE would expect 4pm to offer the
LOD at 258 bar cycles,
but with the NOON convergence, it might be hard to match

Waiting for CPI to break at 8:30- same as PPI
holding off closing this email for a moment
futures backing off a little more

note: Europe strongly HIGHER so far at 8:30am

More Later
Jay

SPX 800

The RALLY didnt fail to appear
IT just STARTED from a LOWER level

Now we know what to look for when the reading says - BE FLEXIBLE & expect change
When I write this stuff, you can question me about what it might mean , and that way we can all benefit.
Tomrrow still says " EMOTIONS out of hand & Expect STRESS

Spx 816 is exactly what we wrote about

Shankar, buying at 817 today was really good, and if we get to 800, do what I suggested
SELL THE FARM and buy cALLS

A 5th wave is still out there, and TOMRROW is teh ONLY day available for it

Next week is UP UP UP to jan 26th.

Its possible the move from Nov 21 to Jan 6th wave WAVE "A"
Now in Wave"B" ending Tomrrow
Wave 'C' should exceed wave "A" and make it above spx 935
Thats GONNA BE A REAL WINNER

Lets expand the MATH lesson

We got DOWN to spx 817@ 12:30 today

Previously

the DOW gained -1483 pts ~~~ 7052 - 9035

1483 X fibo 78.6% = 1166pts

9035 - 1166 = 7869 & That should be tomorrows target

IF they get there tomrrow, then the decline is over in 5 waves

That should = spx 799

todays rebound is what I was looking for

Yesterday without the 200 pt drop first.
Go ahead and shoot me for being off one day !!!

So far its near 275 pts up from that low

and were coming to the 3pm crossroad
3:08 pm was the hourly TURN + 78
3.40 next turn - 65

4th wave rebound math

816 to 935 = 119 pts

119 X 23.6% fibo = 28pts

817 + 28 = 845 and thats where we are at 3pm

14th was an 8 day low
15th was an 8 day turn
just like oct 23/24th, THEN the LOW on Oct 27th, the day after 8day turn

More later

Jay

FAILED rally !!!

Looks like free fall today and tomrrow
how low is low ?????
spx 795 IF broken today
then
a new low could be hit tomrrow under 741 or at least a match

Astro reading says BE FLXIBLE
very short term high was hit ona very small rebound at 9:38am
and the acceleration started lower from there

Ave low to low cycle = 37 to 42 tr days
tomrrow is 37 at the minimum from oct 27th
Neg Astro aspects end Saturday

More Later
Jay

The whole 9 yards ??

Today was disappointing, BUT still very profitable

it also mean a change in the weather forecast for tomrrow

Still a strong start, and we are overdue for such anyway

however, It looks like any rally tomrrow wont survive the close

We still need to see SPX 816, the DEc 1st close, and dow 8000

Still on schedule for Friday, which NOW looks like it will set the 38tr day low in cement

Tomrrow's schedule
Bar cycle LOWS @
11:30 or 12:30
2pm or 2:30

HIGHS @
10:50 am
1pm
3:08pm

the above suggests a high Thursday at 1pm

heres some interesting math
Murrey math spx 878 yesterday
less 31 pts per level X 2 = 62 pts which then gets us to 816

NOW Use the 40 pt rule of thumb
The LOW at 755 on Nov 21
to the Hi on Jan 6th @ 935 = 180 pts
935 - 3 levels of 40 = 120 = spx 815

So now we have 2 methods to get to 815
Fascinating

2 of my most reliable gauges show a gain tomrrow, but not making to the end of day
Power index shows a rise part of the day and drop end of day
this confirms the above timing

More later
Jay

Dec LOWS

IMO
TODAY

DEc 1st lows = SPX 816

A drop today to dow 8000 = 448 pts

dow 448 / 8 = 56

871 - 56 spx points = spx @ 815

= the DEC 1st closing LOW

More later
Jay

Bulletin - read all about it

THE JAYWIZ index TODAY came in at a very LOW .12 -- Extremely bearish
that shows rampant exhuberance

ALSO
CBOE PC ratio = .92 > under 100
OEX pc ratio yesterday was .64 and today .94 both also exhuberant
SPX pc ratio = 1.20 > neutral
oil gained back only 1.08, not enuf to signal a strong upturn
If tomrrow, OIL gains on the day, then it will confirm Thursday
Im still looking for $1.25/gallon by summer

Tomorrows reading
Expect surprises
UPSETS
Do not travel
Do not accept PEACE at any price

NOW does that sound like a good day to you?
If it does, then you need to see Jack Bauer (G)

Tomorrow, however, starts with
SUN 120 MOON at 9:38 and the DAY IMPROVES from there

Friday, however, slips back into trash mode
emotions out of hand
Keep secrets
Its also 56 tr days = 14 transits of 26hr cycles from oct 27th @ 4pm

In the 8 day cycle- Jan 14th is the 8 day LOW
that means Jan 15th is the 8 day TURN - UP

But that doesn't preclude the 16th from dropping off again
but NOT a lower low, and that sets up the GO GO GO for next week

More later
Jay

Game Plan

I missed the 3pm high, but will buy puts on today's close
and selling them on tomrrows close - Wed

I will be buying calls on Wed close
and selling them on close on Thursday

I will be buying calls on Fridays close

Friday is
14 transits of 4 tr day cycles from oct 27th at 4pm
426 hrs from monday at 3;30

more later
Jay

REBOUND Missing

Activity index still Not perky and showing NO strength

Ibo,- from MY read his chart spx 877 maybe today's HIGH
spx At 875 at 10:10am = 1hr,5min from 3;30 low
OIL + $1.39 , after yesterdays loss of 3;30

it would be nice to see GAS prices lower
You remember when it was $4 and
I SAID it would be nice to see $2.50
Well, NOW it would be nice to see $1.25

Mkt down 4days from 6th at dow 9015 closed at 8474
Compare this WEEK to Nov 13 to Nov 20
Nov 20 to Jan 16 is 38 tr days, a typical LOW TO LOW

10:22 - Moon 135* Mars
180 Bars at 10;30
204 bars @ 12:30
55%/13 day @ 11:29
12:40 to 1pm should be hourly HIGH
228b @ 2:30
4;12pm LOW TIDE
We are in a possible Puetz crsh type window,
altho I dont expect anything lower than Dec
lows on spx at spx 818
The FULL moon was Jan 10, and the
NEW moon Solar Eclipse is jan 226th

Some are STIll expecting the 26th to be a severe LOW
I DO NOT AGREE AT ALL !!!
& I am still holding onto the opposite view

Its really simple
FEb 10th is the full moon Eclipse
ON the WAY up to OCT 2007 HIGHS, the FULL moons were highly energizing
Since then full moons have become more frequent associated with LOWS
ALSO
the READINGS associated with Jan 26th solar eclipse are HIGHLY posivite
the READINGS associated with Feb 10 Lunar eclipse are highly negatvie

So far we got EXACTLY AS expected TODAY - its NOON as I wrtie this
10;05 HIGH
10:30 low at 180 bars
11;29 low at 55%/13day

Im planning to get short at either 1pm or 3pm today
Tomrrow is expected to PLUNGE

more later
Jay

Jan 12 & 13

Mon & Tues point toward a rebound
863.19 on Dec 23 = 34 tr days from
Nov 4th High to Low
Hi to low dif = 68.61

68.61 X 62% = 42.54 - 931.80 = 889.26 hit at or
near close Friday

42.54 loss = Possible rebound highs
X 50% = 21.27       = spx 910.53
X 62 % = 26.38       = spx 915.64
X 78.6% = 33.44      =  spx 922.70

STill got RADAR on the 16th IMPORTANT LOW
38 tr days from Nov 20 a typical LOW to LOW,

16th Also has:
78.6%/13 day @ 11:55
204 bar cycle LOW @ noon

NEXT week the spx should break under
890 to retest DEC lows at 863.19
From a HIGH of potential at 922 down to 863
= dow about 500 pts to 8400/8500 area

SOME are expecting A MUCH MORE serious decline
as many did in DEC 2008
Remember I warned several times not to
side with the WRONG CROWD
In fact I wrote that after Dec 15th , you can be as bullish as you want,
 and buy anything that has take a hard hit.

Please DO NOT SUCCUMB to the NEGATIVE VIBES that
these people are subjecting their readers, and or
subscribers with such a heavy load

Dec held 8400, and more is coming the week of
20th to 26th, And it may be one of the best rallies of the year

Negative Sentiment should build into the
16th as per the LOWS on Jan 16.

More later
Jay

Jan8th

This ONE happens to looks GOOD to Me, with possible slight variations

EXPECT a HUGE RALLY tomorrow ___JAN9th___ with some follow thru into Monday

More later
Jay

EHH - Whats Up Doc ?

Obviously, NOT the stock market this AM

As PROMISED, a Sharply LOWER OPEN

Futures at 8:45 are off at least 100 dow pts

10am is still the initial target time for a brief low
and could continue to 11am for reasons already posted

A 1pm rebound high should be shorted again if the mkt does rally to that point

Gauges for EAST Coast & Mid West are PLUNGING
Activity index is under Level # 1 and is FLAT
Power index shows continued declines thru the 9th
9th also has an important 52 hr cycle low @ 3:15pm

Helge and some others are NOW projecting MY WELL KNOWN forecast for Jan 20 to 26
expect a solid run up from Jan 20 to Jan 26
PLUS
Subsequent decline from Jan 27 to Feb 11th

Pass the word to your friends and associates

More later
Jay

Wed Jan 7th

Wow its already the 7th and I havent even washed my face (G) just kidding around
need some levity on occasion (GG)

What about the 7th ?/

Should open GAP DOWN
120bars @ 10am
23.6%/13 day cycle @ 10:56
Hourly at 10:41

So we should see the LOD at least for the AM between 10 and 11am

Expect a decent rebound by 1pm, the mid day hourly

sell off at closing

As for Thrusday, a mellow nothing day

The party starts again on Friday
38.2 % / 13 day at 10:12
but thats only to start
52 hour low at 3;15 should be the LOD

Please do NOT accept my predictions as the GOSPEL
I have been dead wrong many times


Now that ive mentioned that there are DOOMSDAY predictions being passed around for
Jan 20 to 26th

I dont know where they are getting the information to DISTORT the positive power
of the aspects between those dates as well as a NEW moon Solar eclipse n the 26th.

That whole time period is CLUSTERED with POSITIVE aspects juicing mankind to be OPTIMISTIC
Yes, OK that optimism might be misplaced COMPARED to when we get to 2012, but for now its REAL and POWERFULLY positive

As Ive written b4
2009 is NOT 2008
a bear mkt can offer as much as a 78.6% rebound of about 5000 points getting the dow back to 13k
that was the level in May 2008 where the mkt really started to melt down

I took notice and paid TOOO much attention to some shmuck who professed teh spx was giong down to 600 in DEC and I did not trade well at all
I learned MY lesson and will not be swayed by others
Follow those with a good track record, and even they can get FARBLOONGED at times
BUT youve got to recognize when its time to hold'em and time to fold'em

more later
Jay

SO far SO good

You need'nt report things like your opinion of charts edge
I wasnt born yesterday, and didnt fall off the back of the mellon truck

I report things like that when I think others should see it

NOW that Ive yelled at you

Yes Shankar, Ive got Feb / March 2012 as an extreme low at dow 4000

BUT FOR NOW
I bot CALLS @ 90bars at my 2pm LOW
SOld them at 2:55pm, nice gain of .50bp's

BOT puts at 3:05 pm and now UP in value, which I will hold till 10am tomrrow
Its now 3;39pm as I write this, and i might even buy more at close

More later
Jay

TODAY

He's missing an OPEN rally which I missed also,
but FUTURES are +10 SPX pts
10:44 is first hourly and could be the dyasHOD

Bar cycle LOWS match HIS chart
60B @ 11:30
90b@ 2:00

Hourly TURN at 3.08pm could by a HIGh rather than 4pm,
but that remains to be seen -
IF, ~~~ 3:08 pm turns in a HIGh that mtaches 10:44, then I will
deem it as a HIGH, and I will be looking to buy puts at that time

Lets ALSO watch OIL prices to see if it backs OFF the opening highs
I THINK that would be Ibo's clue to future SPX prices

Since I am expecting the 7th to OPEN in EXACT reverse of today,
we should see oil back off today

Jay__._,_.___

short term volatility

A little more volatility should return this week AFTER the close of the 6th as a HIGH of the week

Wed Jan 7th is slated to start with a THUMP lower

recovery should be weak and a low is due on the 9th
9th has
a 38.2%/ 13 day segment at 10:12am
AND
a 52 hour cycle low @ 3:15 pm
Jay

January 2009

JUST FOR CLARIFICATION

Jan 2009
High on Jan 6th
High on Jan 13th
Low on jan 16th = BUY BUY BUY
Dont get left behind, because Tuesday Jan 20 will already be
pushing its way higher from the European trading on the 19th.

EXPECT A HUGE RALLY from Jan 20 to Jan 26th
might be the biggest weve ever seen
but thats typical of bear mkt rallies- YES bear mkt
even tho Im expecting as much as a 5000 point gain in 2009
ITS still a BEAR mkt

Jan 27 to Feb 10 is setup to take some of that away
Maybe more than we would like to see. but thats for later
got to feed those bears on occasion (G)

Jay

The Week Ahead

Get ready for some wild gyrations this week with a moderate bias lower
a 1500 point gain from Nov 21st should get us some back and fill this week

Should look like
5th- DOWN monday, better close
6th Up Tuesday bias
7th morning bust with moderate recovery
8th biased lower
9th LOW at 3;15pm = 4day

REBOUND HIGHS on 12/13th

More later
Jay

NEWS is NOISE

NEWS IS NOISE -You got that right !!!

Also TOO Many cooks spoil the SOUP
TOO much input

Your right stick to what you KNOW

Just like Nov 4th, a 13 day cycle hit at 10 ;15, a little early than expected but it was still there
Dec 22nd had a 4 day cycle hit at noon with 180 bars, BUT it was NOT the LOD - so what it does not have to be

Dec29th hit a 4 day low at 1:30, a few minutes late due to 204 bars at 1;30-- fantastic
NOW then - WHATS NEXT ??

We got a short term high on Jan 2nd and I told you 2009 WILL NOT REPEAT Jan 2008- so yuo have an up day of 258 pts on Jan 2nd , first day of trading, against all odds- WHAT DOES THAT TELL YOU

I still have analysts SCREAMING spx 600 this year and Obama look out for dangerous times
BULL SHIT
Its going to be an up year and recover as much as 5000 dow points by Jan 2010

The next few years 2009 to 2012 will look similar to 1998 to 2002
2009 to look like 1999
2010 will look like 2000
2011 will look like 2001
Etc

Now; WHAT ABOUT Monday,
Where is that 4 day cycle mentioned above ??????
IT IS DUE at 12:15 On Monday - could be a little late as there is a 258 bar cycle at 1pm
the next catapult higher ??
Yes it keeps on rolling along

BUT the most important thing from there is a continuation of the UPSWING to the 7th and or 8th
*********Watch out for the 9th at 3;15 pm has the NEXT 4 day setback

Expect a HIGH of significance on the 12th or 13th
with the next 4 day cycle low on the 15th @ 3pm

More later
Jay

Happy NEW year 2009

first day of trading will NOT be well received

Friday JAN 2nd is slated to start down 
with a bang and could keep sliding till 3pm

10;30 is 100% /13 day cycle
150 bars @ 10:30
Hourly @ 10:49am

204 Bar @ 3pm+  3.08 pm hourly

Unless 1pm hits the LOD @ 180 bars
moon 180 Jupiter @ 1:24 calls for INSECURITY

East coast and mid west guages are pointing UP 
strongly Leads me to look for closing rally on Friday

Power index slides, but has a late rebound

Monday Jan 5th is another day that can gyrate
DOWN at OPEN and close better

The BIG gains are due on Jan 6 & 7
 More later
Jay 

Astrology for NON believers

You dont have to BELIEVE in astrology to understand it -- OR DO YOU ?????

I once showed the effects of astro to a young man who worked for me in the 80's
He TOLD ME this -- I SEE IT, BUT I DONT BELIEVE IT
SO, it held NO reality for him, and I guess there are MANY others out there just like him
I brot this up for a reason - COMPARING last Jan 2008 to Jan 2009 coming up

Jan 2008
As was written in Dell Mag in Aug 2007 for publication in Dec 2007
Full Moon of Jan 22 -Mars & Hades OPPOSE Venus & Pluto - This is a HARSH & Angry planetary picture
And we ALL know what happened on Jan 22/23

But what about the FIRST 8days?
THE YEAR gets off to a ROUGH start
Jan 2 -Mars 180 pluto
Jan 6th - venus 90 Saturn
Jan 8 - merc 45 uranus
Jan 12- Venus 90 Uranus
Jan 13- Sun 135 Saturn
jan16 -Sun 135 Mars
Jan 19 -Venus 180 mars
Jan 22 -full moon
Jan 23 - Venus 0 Pluto
and the heathen kept a comin till Nov 21
THOSE WERE ALL HARD ASPECTS

NOW whats DIFFERENT
Jan 1 & 2nd has some insecurity
BUT Tensions EASE into the 4th - Venus 60 vesta & Pluto
8th -PLUTO & Vesta ARE TRINE this year = 120 degrees - EXACT OPPOSITE of last year

Jan 10 to 17 = Merc retro = has some problems, but NOTHING anywhere near last year

Jan 17 to 26th = JUPITER floats its BALLOON
Jan 26 to Feb 2- WATCH OUT FOR CHANGE

OK, I hope you get the picture--
Jan 2009 IS NOT a repeat of 2008

NOW, remember my outlook for 2009
Potential to gain 5000 DOW points by Dec 2009/Jan 2010
remember Oct 1998 to Jan 14th 2000 --- NDX DOUBLED

Jan 2009
Jan 2nd off till about 1;30
High on Jan 7th

Downtrend 7th to 14th/15th

Uptrend from 16th to 30th

Severe sell off from FEb 2 to feb 9th, Full moon -
HARD aspects leading to 9th, 10th

more later
Jay

Bar cycles

AMAZING what Stan Harley discovered

When the bar cycle makes an important low at 204bars, then the cycle extends from 258 to 329
Simply because 204 + 126 = 329/330 , if you wish, same thing tho

Now WHY is this important today ??
I will tell you

Today's LOD at 1:30 was at 204 bars plus 108 gets us to 4pm Tuesday
Now, your right, thats NOT 329, but totals 312, which on occasion truncates

Even so, it ALSO ends the day at 60 bars IF you close out the 259 bar cycle at 11:30am

SO, either way, it points to a SOLID LOW at the close and offers a strong BUY

Heres MORE
JAYWIZ index = 1.65 a BIG BUY indication wiping out the .10 from friday
SPDR ratio = 3.33 wow BUY BUY BUY
BUT not so fast
the shorter term OEX ratio = .49 and is a SELL

Pressure index for tomrrow drops again after the open from 3020 to 3011
Granted , thats NOT a huge drop. but from the 27th at 3036 to 3011, it shows weakness thru tomrrow

We have a 9:40 high
11;30 low
noon high
1;30 low
3pm high
4 pm low

more later
Jay

Lets get back to Biz

Its hard to say if both the 29& 30 will be lower, but it is looking that way

52 hour low @ 12:15
78.6%/13 day @ 11:55
Jaywiz index = .10 ~~~ very bearish short term
VHF @ 5, a little weak so far
Power index @ 325 declining to 300
Pressure today 3036 to 3022 showing a declining
~~~~tomorrow 3030 to 3017 ~~ ditto
activity under 1 and flat line - very weak
flux @ 1015 Weak

Until the above changes we have the potential for 2 sell off today and tomrrow
NOT severe, The ATMOSPHERE for big declines is not present

Dow should hold 8300 as a minimum

more later
Jay

PC ratios = sell

Jaywiz index @ .10
first time in many weeks such a low #
PC ratios also very bearish

Monday might start with a POP up, but It looks like the day will end lower

Cluster of cycles as reported earlier converge on Monday & Tuesday

More later
Jay

keep on trucking

CNBC reports sentiment on bonds is 80% Bullish
what does that Tell you?
thats right, get out of bonds and into stock ~~~~

Today had a 10:30 high which is an hourly time opint
next hourly was 11:58 and the mkt turned lower at noon

120 bars right now as I write @ 1pm, and the dow is hanging barely positive

Next hourly @ 2:07 should find the mkt higher

Low @ 150 bars at 3;30

Next hourly high at 9:53 to 10 am on Monday

Monday's outlook indicates a lower day and potential lower open on Tuesday

31st has potential to be a strong rally

Feb 10/11 has the potential to be sharpy lower

BUT -Anyone looking for a retest of nov 21 had better learn to re evalute their thinking

Most later
Jay

dont get hung up

remember I wrote NOT TO GET TOO Negative after Dec 1st

And I should have followed my own advice

the SAME thing goes for January 2009

Ive also stated there should be a HIGH on Jan 30, followed by a sharp retreat Feb thru the 10th

Dec 30 has a number of fibo cycle convergences
21-34-54-110-144 tr days

7000 dow points lost @ fibo levels

21% = 1470 pts = dow @ 8945 & weve already been there
23.6% = 1650 = dow @ 9200

a break out above 9200 could run to the next level
38% = 2675 = dow @ 10,225

50%= 3500 = dow @ 10,500
And so forth, but you get the idea

theoretically
78.6% = 5500 pts = dow @ 12,500
That could take us to Nov or Dec 2009

More later

Jay

minor 4th wave

Shankar, I think you hit it right on The first 10 days of Feb- I'll explain

There were 48 tr days from July 15 low to spt 22 where it turned down

using 48 trade days from Nov 20 take us to YES, your right Jan 30, right after the Jan 26 LUNAR eclipse

FEb 4th has Saturn 180 Uranus, the same aspect the hit on Feb 27th 2007, the first warning dow off 417
And the SOLAR eclipse on Feb 9, and more hard aspects on the 10th/11th =Friday

Thats future stuff; lets come back to present

Dec 16th is only 17 trade days from Nov 21, but did gain 1500 points off the lows 7475 to 8975
Now they can drop 500 easy which they almost did already but 50% = 750 pts = 8225
& 62% = 930 pts =8045
just speculating ?????? yesterdays close at 8605

today has 90 bars @ 11
Hourly at 12;49= could be the high of the day
126 b @ 2pm and 150 at close which could actually effect the open on Monday with a sharp sell off

Natural energy indicated a low on the 18th, rebound on the 19th and sell off on 22nd
EXPECT 23/24th rebound to be strong = XMAS RALLY

Next 8 day high and turn are Dec30/31
Expecting Jan 2 & 5th to sell off

More later
Jay

Change of Venue

NO Crash in site

Unlike some others with whom I converse, I do not see a crash coming

It appears that Nov 21 was the LOW of Minor wave 3

Minor wave 4 can now take its sweet time and complete NEXT DEC 2009

Not to say there wont be serious setbacks in between - of course there will be

without going into detail, heres my outlook for the balance of December

TODAY - a mid day low today hit at 12:30 right on 30 bars
60 bars hits at 3pm next at the same time as an hourly cycle
If a high, the day should end lower

FRIDAY Dec 19th
has a fibo 38% /13 day cycle at 12;15 and any rally in the AM should set back, but the day should end higher

The RALLY is under and has been influenced by a SUN 0 Pluto which occurs on Monday at 5am

Monday is interesting since it is the day after the conjunction it also is
144 tr days from 5/29high
And
233 tr days from Jan 22-
Also is 1/2 or 50% of the 13 day cycle at 4pm
or it could spill over to the open on the 23rd fro about 10 minutes at the most
Its also 228 bars right at the same time

On Dec 23rd there is the 55% /13 day cycle at 1:08pm
which should hold them back till after that point, but the day should end
substantially higher as well as the 24th which is a half day closing at 1pm.

the next important cycle high is Dec 30/31st
The year should open with a smack down on the 2nd and jan 5th low @ 3;30pm

My best bet for a trade is shorting the close Friday
Yes, I know - go into the wkend flat- but some times you have to break the rule
Monday opens at 150 bars, and we have seen this effect b4.

More later
Jay

completed wave

minor wave 4 looks like a completion of a,b,c,d, and e on the 16th

today marks and 8day high, and if they get below 900 today--, it will collapse
its now 3;35 as i write this
but tomorrow marks an 8 day TURN, and it looks like it will wait unless the last 15 minutes today

Tomorrow starts minor wave 5 & it should be dramatic
7475 low to 8975 high =1500 pts
use your fibo math to get to lower levels
38% = 570 pts = dow @ 8355
and so forth

Some are saying spx 600 by Feb 4th,
which is a very heavy astro date equal to Feb 27th, 2007
when the dow fell 417 pts that day - that was the wake up call
and the Armstrong biz turn date

Friday has a 38.2% /13 day cycle at 12:15
Monday has a 50% /13 day cycle at 4pm
OR open on 23rd
23rd is 34 tr days from Nov 4th
and should offer a change in trend

Jay

Dec 22 is 233 FIBO tr days from jan 22nd
I guess Ms market likes 22nd dates
from there
I can see a strong rebound into Dec 31st

Ive mentioned this many times
numerology # 5 = CHANGE

charts

5th wave dead ahead

Jay

repeat De 1st?

Ive been expecting such a day, and since NO one NOW expects any downside activity the rest of this year ::
I think you get my drift.



Benner is looking as some others for an Inaugeration crash - IM HERE TO TELL YOU that WILL NOT HAPPEN
In fact after Jan 5th the mkt is poised UP thru mid Feb to start- Im sure Ive written that b4

A 300 tr day culmination of the correction is about to occur this week
taek your pick from Oct 9 to 12, 2007
Monday = 299 Oct 9th
Fri = 299 Oct 12 & 300 Oct 11

I THINK I expect Monday to duplicate Dec 1st or better

IF so, then EXPECT Tuesday to rebound into part of the 17th where it should TURN lower into Friday at 12:25

That should be the final LOY, and maybe lower than NOV 21st, maybe not, but it should be close

Jay

MORE for Dec 12

today has 204 bars at OPEN
thus the THRUST LOWER

Hourly at 10:51 could pull them back up a bit
next hourly is at 3;10 pm, and if making a
rebound high at that point will send the close lower,

BUT ASTRO has command of this wkend
and Monday with HEAVY HANDED SQUARES
the Senate and UAW does not operate in a vacuum
PEOPLE are held hostage to the astro SQUARES
now a $50B ponzi scheme in the options market-WOW

258 b low@ 1pm
Merc 0 pluto at 1;41 pm

Sun 90 Saturn tonight = NO let up today
DELAYS & DEMANDS

MONDAY
Hourly at 12:58 pm
1pm = 329 bars, a low
COULD BE THE LOD
4 day low at 2pm
BUT we have a low tide at 4:36pm
PLUS  Mars 90 Saturn @ 5pm = not let up

TUESDAY
hourly at 10:47 AM
&
14.6% of 13 day segment @ 11;21

thats pretty close to a match as either
one can shrink or stretch a bit

SO, Im now thinking the LOD and LOY on
Tuesday at or about 11am

its 300 tr days since Oct 10th, or 299
from oct 11- take your pick
I like the 299 count as its divisible by 13 = 23
As you know I have been counting 13 day segments,
and they are VERY CONSISTENT


Almost forgot

I STILL LIKE CHARTS EDGE GOLD chart ,
YES // GOLD // chart for STOCKS
for Dec 2008 and Jan 2009

More Later
Jay

Uh OH !!!

I WARNED you MANY TIMES this would happen

AND its NOT the SENATE's fault

I told this group and others that the UAW would NOT give in to pay cuts

BIG 3 & GM to file BK - Unheard of for 100 years

Unless Microsoft decides to buy them ((GGGGGGG))

And some tell STEVE DUCEY to take that sh___ eatin grin off his face every time he thinks he's got the Pres elect by
what Jesse Jackson wanted to cut off
He and FOX NEWS editors continue to try to
TIE a line across the divide with a SHORT ROPE

When i wrote LOY, it OBVIOUSLY means 2008.

Today could be the FIRST 1000 pt loss in US HISTORY

NOW, whats going to CHANGE

PESSIMISM will NOW ABOUND as opposed to rampant
optimism of MONDAY DEC 8th

that is the negative sentiment that will drive the
dow higher in 2009 watch the MEDIA, and wee how their
comments will reflect negative expressions int he coming months

They will NOW be looking over their shoulders to look
for the next shoe to drop

Now they expect PRES Bush to come forward and ask the
treasury to loan the BIG 3 the $$$ they need to survive
without a BK - that could be Dec 17th -
Wednesday's SURPRISE event to catapult the mkt.
Im sure Pres Bush doesn't want to be known by history as the Pres
who caused the AUTO industry to declare BK

MY OUTLOOK
From Dec 16, 2008, the dow could gain back as much
as 5000 points all the way thru Dec of 2009
Of course its NEVER a straight line, but the
CORRECTION from Oct 9,2007 & 300 tr days later has ended,
thus the bulls are back in command, CLIMBING that WALL OF WORRY

And when we get to NEXT DEC and the MEDIA is screaming
"TO THE MOON ""
You can be sure its all over right there

More later
Jay

DOWN they go

today opened at 126 bars -thus the down 144
high at 1pm just 15 minutes after the 12:44 hourly

204 bars @ OPEN: It did not hit at close,
but should hit the open lower Friday

Thursday night the CME  off 1650 at 6pm

the 4.3 hourly at 10:33 might mark the
HOD on Friday

full moon at 11:33am = very harsh lunation
100% of 13 day cycle at 12;30 , A LOW point

Merc 0 Pluto at 1:41 also very tough aspect
= INTENSE Mindsets & serious decisions
that could be the moment of NAY vote in the
Senate
& Crash from there

9 pm Friday night
Sun 90 Saturn = delays & Demands

all the above portends a very bad market day

Monday is day 300 from Oct 9
OR
day 299 from Oct 10th
And Tuesday is
day 299 from Oct 11th
take your pick
Mars 90 Saturn at 5:47 pm also
makes for a very bad market day

Tuesday calls for a MID DAY crisis
which could be the LOY & turn of the year

Wed reading is indicating a SUPERB day
& the market should rebound vigorously

More later
Jay

Crash dead ahead

this graph shows the next move is LOWEr

Shankar
I have been given a solar NN graph that shows DEC 15th OPEN as a MAJOR down, and could be the LOY
16th shows only a retest of THAT LOW

Today is 12/10
We had a 60 bar cycle low at 10 am
we had an hourly high at 10:37

SOLAR nn shows high at 12:30
then lower to Open dec 15

Charts edge shows high at 10;37 approx
LOW at 3pm
There is an HOURLY time point ALSO at 2:56 pm which coincides with that

Dec 15th is BRADLEY

STILL OVERBOT

Some have today as an IMPORTANT pivot day, and its starting to look just like that

Dem's and White house have agreed on Auto bale out
UAW will probably be the Monkey wrench in this deal

More later
Jay

OVERBOT

overbot more than Nov 28th

Sometimes we have to wait for the 10 day trin

Today's important numbers

arms 5 = 64.4
trin 5 = 323
trin 10 = 748

All of the above a grossly OVERBOT

Tomorrow's reading
MONEY WOES
Test Values
Fear of LOSS

Wed
Unexpected & disruptive behavior
Caution with $

Ths
watch for accidents & dangerous situations

Friday
obstacles & disagreements

Overall it sounds like a tought week from here to Friday

Shankar
even tho Dec16th -Monday has a Mars 90 Saturn, its influence seems muted
And the 16th calls for mid day clouds
I still think the MAJOR bottom will have its moment on Friday- dec 12th

Jay

DEc 12 MAJOR bottom

Dec 12 is 299 tr days from Oct8th, 2007

299 tr days = 23 segments of 13 tr days

DEc 12 = 23 segments of 13 tr days at 12;30pm

I am quite confident this will be the LOW of the entire corrective period from Oct9th, 2007

IF that is TRUE, then there is VERY LITTLE TIME LEFT to TEST or retest the spx 755 low

Tuesday has numerous cycles converging between 11:30 and 2pm
52 hrs at 12;30
Hourly cycle at 11:30
258 bar cycle at noon
10.2 day cycle at 2pm
8 day turn

Jay

Week of Dec 12

watch this relationship

Nov 4th + 6 days = Nov 12, and intrday low of Nov 13
Dec 4th and 11am of 5 = Nov 4th

Add 6 tr days = Nov 12, and or 15th
Nov 12 + 21 tr days = Dec 12

Unlike last week , next week will not spned 4 days recovering from a 700 pt drop
However, Monday and Tuesday are on schedule NOW to drop to support at least
to 816 spx from which they bounced off on Friday at 10:45am

An important convergence of cycles on Tuesday at 2pm, should provide the first
level of support, probably at 816 again, but maybe at 800

the LAST chance to make lower lows imo, is the 12th where the
13 day cycle completes very near a Merc 0 Pluto at 1:41pm
which could hold it down till then.

THIS WEEK is VERY similar to Nov 13 lows @ 10 days and or Nov 21 @13days lows,
both LOW points occurred at segments of the 13 day cycle.

From there < IF there is any more weakness, it is all but meaningless
as the NEXT BIG MOVE is UP & AWAY.

Jay

CHART

If you can enlarge this chart from one of my associates at a yahoo group,
it clearly shows the cycle low on DEc9th & Dec15/16

the current Elliott wave formation is looking like a rising wedge from which the next level is back to where it started, and that would be at dow 7550

Dec 9th has 2 cycles converging at 2pm
8day/52 hours
AND
10day / 78.6% segment of the 13day cycle

Jay

WAVE 5

Monday = WAVE 1
Tues - WEd = wave 2, so far
Thursday and Friday should be wave 3
Monday & Tues = complete wave 3 and start 4

Dec 9th has
52 hr cycle @ 1 to 2pm
13 day cycle @ 2pm
Its an 8 day TURn day

Dec11 = wave 4
Dec 12 to Dec 16 = wave 5
THIS SHOULD END the total corrective wave from Oct10, 2007

From there, I dont see any evidence for further lows in mid Jan which some are proposing
In fact I am VERY BULLISH thru Feb 15th for starters

There are several cycles converging this AM at 10am
hourly
258 bar cycles
50% of 13 day cycle

From there, today should languish most of the day and head for a serous sell off at the close and make its wave 3 move tomrrow

MY tech data is ONCE AGAIN screaming SELL
Arms 5 = 72.2
trin 5 = 361
trin 10 NOW under 10 at 98.8

Some pressure readings have dropped from 3015 to 3002, but others are still holding up or just showing signs of changing.
Power index at 450 drops during the day and heads for 300 tomrrow
Solar storms at 8 today and 15 tomorrow
Flux is at 900 showing negative forces are strong

futures at 8:30 are decidedly negative following Europe lower leading to that 10 am opening low

Best for Now
Jay

WHERE ARE WE NOW ? its 12/1 2008

As mentioned b4, MY internal technical
data spread sheet is SCREAMING SELL

BY NOW you are familiar with the 13 day cycle
that I have been using, and if NOT, then You should be

It HIT a bottom on NOV 21st at 11am, ((DOW 7475))
and YES I was buying calls for a very 
profitable trade which was closed out on
Nov 25th at the OPEN high at 10am AND I
did that against a MYRIAD of NEGATIVE SENTIMENT
I DID WARN EVERYONE HERE TO IGNORE that NEGATIVE SENTIMENT
THAT WAS THEN, and THIS IS NOW !!

NOW where are we?
Good question
Positive sentiment has sent us to WAY OVERBOT
its 12/1 at 9am, and were about to open
down 200 Dow pts

A short term cycle LOw is due on 12/2 at 12;50 pm 

The 13 day cycle is broken down by FIBO
components and IT has been 
VERY CONSISTENT since I started tracking
it on 8/21

The NEXT convergence with
Astro timing is Dec 5th at the 
61.8% SEGMENT of the 13 day cycle at 12:45pm
  
Following that is the 13 day completion on
Dec 12th at 12;30pm, but there is a Merc 0 Pluto
at 1:41 pm which could extend that low to that 
point.

Other than back testing on the 15th and 16th,
DEC 12th SHOULD BE THE LOW


Jay

INTERNAL Tech SELL

The INTERNAL TECH DATA says SELL !!!

I know these #s dont mean anything to you, but they are screaming SELL TO ME
NOV 4 - 1363 ---1704---103---272---341---488---1337---359
NOV 20- 245--- 197 ----169---49--- 39 ----847--- 1775---103
Nov28 -- 1960--3216 ----73---392---625---369----1226---631

THE NUMBERS on the bott0m row are showing MORE OVERBOT than on Nov 4th

21/1 & 12/ 2 down
12/3 up
12/4 high till mid day, then lower
12/5 hp to 1 high on 12/8 = looks like top of wave 4 as previously discussed

THEN THE 5minute of 5 minor wave begins to retest the previous lows
Jay

WAVE Count

NOV 21st = MINOR wave 3 LOW

Now making Minor wave 4
"a' wave HIGHon Nov 26th high
"b" wave LOW on Nov 28th LOW
"c" wave HIGH on Dec 4th = Minor wave 4

Remember Nov 4th High, and what followed

Dec 15th MINOR wave 5 and retest of Nov 21st lows
dow 7475 intraday at 11am

From there it up and away till at least Nov/Dec 2009
theoretically the Dow could regain as much as 78.6% of the 7000 pts loss
that would mean 5500 dow points back to 13,000

Happy Turkey day
Jay

ONE day Range

today's range is from

SPX 834 on the low side
to
875 on the high side

should hit the low at 11;30

and close on the high @875 area

Jaywiz index
Mon = 1.24
Tues = 1.55
Is a BIG rally building?

You bet it is !!!

BUT NOT THIS WEEK
PC ratios are in SELL mode today

Nov 28, a shortened day till 1 pm should drop back from 875 to 835 or about 300 dow points

However, that would offer a great spot to buy calls which I intend to do at the close Friday
Yeh, I know, dont hold positions over the wkend- well sometimes you have to risk that position.

Happy Turkey day to all

Jay

Nov 08 Thanksgiving week

At a glance
Its possible the 259 bar cycle and 4 day cycle may have hit on friday at 3:55 pm just before the last 5 minute runup
Occasionally it pays to hold over a wkend
Nov 24th , futures at 8:25 indicate a higher open.

Many of the groups I am readings are STILL VERY NEGATIVE, and they ARE DEAD WRONG

Nov 25th HIGH at noon
Nov 26th LOW at 11:30am
Nov 26th HIGH
Nov 28th large on day decline, given it is a shortened day till 1pm.

The week after is on schedule to continue the rally begun on Nov 21st
a HIGH should occur on the 4th with Nov 5th offering a setback

Jay

Monday Nov 24th

Monday Nov 24th starts out negatvie with a mars 45 Jupiter at 8.48 am

ALSO there is a 4 day cycle due at 10 am from the previous cycle on the open of the 18th.
At that time there was a 180 bar cycle also at 10am

Now we have the 4day cycle mixed with a 259 bar cycle which DID not hit on
Friday at 4pm, thus it must hit on Monday AM at open.

Preliminary data indicates a NEW UPTREND has begun
remember what I wrote last week

DONT BE MISLEAD in the wrong direction
Intentions are NOT advertised

On Thursday the Mkt reached down to support areas
Dow chopped off 50% from Oct 10, 2007
7000 points were lost
What can be gained in the next 9 months?
Ive already shown you what to look for. If you dont believe it, it wont be my fault.

Looing for nov 26th short term high
Nov 28th short term dip
Dec 8th high
DEc 15th LOW as minute WAVE 2 in the growth of MINOR WAVE 4

Power index is indicating a weak open Monday, BUT doubles from 300 to 500 by day's end.
Tuesday could start out even weaker, but the index moves from 350 to 600
Wed holds at 600
Thursday - HOLIDAY = 700 which might have it effect on Wed
Friday dives to 400 from the 700 level and could be a nice sell off, but I think the day will be a short one and close at 1pm

Jay

CYCLE LOW

The CYCLE LOW hit at 11:05 am on Friday Nov 21st,

And guess what I was doing - YES, BUYING CALLS

Dow up 500 pts

whats next?

***********8further gains ***********

might stall Monday AM, but should end the day higher with the
best of the week should be Wed

The 28th has some negative readings, so I will close out my positions on the close Wed-
I dont think its an early close, but Friday might be.

It appears we got the MINOR 3 bottom
NEXT IS WAVE 4 which can extend all the way to July 2009

Dec 15th is expected as a LOW, but in this case, I would anticipate it to offer only a
wave 2 setback after a dec 6 to 8th high as wave 1

Sure, you want to know How high can they go?
MINOR Wave 4 will occur in the next higher degree

Use your math skills and apply Fibo
Dow dropped 7000 pts
7000 X 38.2% minimum gains = 2674 pts = dow @ 10,224
Typical is 50% to 62% or 3500 to 4300 pts
Max gain @ 78.6% would be remarkable = 5500 pts - back to 13,000, but I sincerely doubt this


The Martin Armstrong cycle seems to be occurring 8 months after his proposed dates.
First was FEb 27th, 2007 and the actual top was october 2007

The LOW was scheduled for March 23, 2008, and the actual was Nov 21st

Now the next leg HIGH is targeted for March 19th, 2009 + 8 months = Nov /Dec2009

Then LOWS on June13, 2011 ADD 8 months = FEb/ March 2012

Jay

BUY SIGNALS

MY propietary data has called today's low a BUY

SPX still has to get to 730 ish tomorrow am
Dow still has to reach down to 7200
validates yesterday's call for a low Friday Nov 21 at 10am

Adv decline ratio NOW AT 245 & well under 400 ------ 400 is the threshold, and this index has a 5 yr track record.
Volume ratio NOW at 197, and YES, WELL UNDER 400
ARMS 5 day ratio AT 169.4 , a BUY
5 day Ave of above adv decl ratio fell from 242 on Nov4th to 49 today
5 day AVE of volume ratio fell from 321 on Nov 4th to 39 today
5 day Trin = 847 also a buy

Everything is NOW in place to end minor wave 3 and start minor wave 4.

Jay

CYCLE LOW

It now looks like the FINAL LOW of MINOR wave 3 will occur on

FRIDAY NOV 21 at 11am
thats where the 13 day cycle ends and starts a new 13 day cycle

SPX level have been proposed at 760 to 770 and as of this writing its NOW
at 788, and dow at 7860

I really find it amazing that MINOR wave 3 should end with such a wimper
however, the VIX yesterday was 74.26 and thats near the recent record high of aprox 85

Newspapers across the country reporting the DOW under 8000 as if that was something important
CONTRARY ?? most likely- bUY when there is extreme pessimism - AR we there yet?

FOR TODAY
I had mentioned to my yahoo group to expect a lower open today
there is however, a moon 120 venus at 1:46pm, and that might turn in the day's rebound high, but the close looks like it should take out the AM lows and head for a RESOLUTION on The OPEN Friday between 10am and 11am

MY GAME PLAN IS
to BUY CALLS on Friday at 10am to 11am

Jerry R has consistently reported the LOW on Minor 3 at dow 7700 during the week of Nov 19th

Next week, the 22/44 wk cycle will have past and minor wave 4 rebound should last considerably longer than minor wave 2 from which hit on Nov 13th at the close;

Rebound Should take us to DEc 1st

Best for now
Jay

another WILD WEEK AHEAD

This is going to be just like last week - VERY DIFFICULT for investors
We, as traders are also going to have a rough time caching the swings 
if they follow anywhere near whats projected

However, ive got a few things to add

Monday Nov 17th is a LARGE fibo convergence and the 
10.22 day segment of the 13 day cycle hits on TUESDAY
at NOON along with a usual LOW bar cycle at 204 bars
So there is a good convergence right there
THAT CYCLE DID STRIKE at NOON on friday for the LOD, not counting the close
SO<>

 Now, heres some more
17 in numerology is an 8 = power
18 in numerology is a 9 = an ENDING
19 in numerolgy is a 1 = a NEW BEGINNING
20 = 2 =congenial
21 = 3 = speculation


Heres more
Astro readings
Nov 17 = CAUTION with ALL activities & watch your blind sport
Nov 18 = Intuition is unreliable
Nov 19 = DONT BE MISLEAD - true intentions are hidden
Nov 20 = congenial day , BUT DISRUPTIVE AT NIGHT
Nov 21 = GET chores done EARLy

NOW into minute / micro wave 5 of MINOR 3 as both Jerry R & Ibo seem to agree, 
even if  labeling is a little different, the outcome should be the same

SPX levels at 785 and 754 Murrey Math do see viable for the lows.
LOWS here DON not appear to want to drag on, but IF they follow the XTIDE as
ASRO seems to suggest for the open of the 21st, then we will see some wild 
swings once more.


SUMMARY, IMO, 
Monday DOWN ALL DAY and Tuesday low at NOON SHOULD mark an important low as 
above
After a good recovery on Tuesday, the 4 day cycle at the end of the day could 
drag it down as xtide shows.
19th has potential for lows at at 11;45 & 2;15 as per 90 day cycle low from July 
15- barcycle also@ noon
20th looks positive as xtide shows
21st looks like XTIDE has it nailed

Jay

NOT JUST YET

Ive posted several times
NOV 17th
55 -110 - 89- 144-233-280 tr day cycles

It seem to me thats THE 22/44 wk CYCLE time slot

BUT the Astro reading for Nov 19th indicates a fake out day
meaning the next move from there is UP & AWAY

Arms index today was .23 similar to Oct28th
TECHNICAL internal data is very similar to Nov 4th,
and has issued a SELL SIGNAL

Since the CYCLE low is due on Monday
we should expect some serious selling tomorrow

IF you think the market is going to RUN to the moon with everyone applauding, you've got a rude awakening coming

The market will do everything in its power to confuse the many, AND THAT MEANS YOU

some are still looking as low as 750 spx, and some even lower
I think we might get to spx 800 & dow 8000 on close
with an intraday low as low as 7880, which was the oct10 intrday lows
Got to spx 818 and dow 7966
Spx fell its double allotment of 2 x 40 = 80 pts from 898 = 819

NOw from
spx 911 - 80 = 831 - 31 murrey math - 800 butt he actual murrey math level is 785 which should provide support
dow @ 8835- 930 pts = to last weeks drop = 7905

Some are already pointing to Nov 26th for a lower low- what I say to them ~~ FORGET ABOUT IT !!
Some are still looking for spx at 750 area and dow at 7200 - WHAT I SAY TO THEM - Yeh you guessed it -- DITTO

So there we have some numbers to look for
Jay

LOWS of 2008

Its beginning to look like the LOW of 2008 should occur on Nov 17th

Ive mentioned it b4 and reminder that there is a large convergence of
FIBO dates plus its 280 tr days from Oct 9th,2007

that means Nov 19th is 280 tr days from Oct11,2007
THATS 35 segments of 8 tr days

the 13 day cycle of which there is a 78.6% segment hitting at 11am to noon on the 18th should mark an important low
after the clsoe on the 17th.

In 1987 as an example
Oct 25th was the NYSE closing LOW
Dec 5th, MONDAY was 28 days later for a LOWER close.

From there it was up and away for the first 13 days, which for us would get us to DEc 8th, and astro would agree with that projection

Jay

Nov 19th

On Nov 19th, preliminary bar cycles

259b Low @ 10am
30 b @ 12:30
329 b @ 3;30

there is a lunar square Sun at 4;31 pm
which is the Qtr moon

So it is possible for the low to occur LATE in the day
Planning for that type of event takes thought and strategy

Most likely I will be in CASH the on the close of the 17th or open on
18th where 180 bars hits at 4pm on 17th or open on 18th.

that way i can BUY CALLS during the day at various low points.

Best for Now
Jay

Potential Panic SELL OFF

A panic SELL OFF looks IMMANENT and could occur at any moment

Its NOW 9:45 on Tuesday Nov 11 and the Dow is off 181

Power index is DOWN ALL WEEK and Continues to drag into next Week.

Activity index is FLAT LINE At 1.3

Pressure readings are HIGH in the 3025 area, but could drop at any moment, and so far the mkt is NOT showing any response to those highs, but a potential rebound does exist for the 12th, as mentioned b4.

I was given Nov 19th lows at 11:30 & 1:30, but I will not have a good reading for the bar count until this Friday, 14th.
ID - How did you arrive with those time periods?

So far the reading stands for the 19th- DO NOT BE CAUGHT up in Negative sentiment
When the MEDIA professes NO BOTTOM< you can be sure we are there- IV'E watched it b4 on CNBC

The 17th is still the target for a closing low as it has a convergence of Fibo dates and is also 280 tr days from Oct 9th.
280/8 = 33 segments of 8 tr days

More later
Jay

minuette 4th waves

A change in perspective might be in order right NOW

Im not looking for THE Jerry R low of LOWS on Nov 19th,
HOWEVER I am looking for a low on NOV 14th and or 17th

17th has fibo convergences including a 280 tr day off
Oct9th, 2007

The 14th is an 8 day LOW
While the 17th is an 9 day turn

I dont have bar counts yet, as I like to get a
little closer to the actual day to confirm the correct count

There is a midnite low tide on the 12th,
but full moon also a little after at 1:19am
and secondary low tide at 3pm on the 14th

What does that all mean for Nov 19th?
good question

IMO, it means a significant TURN day
leading to a significant high on DEC 1st.

In fact, it may be that OCT 27th spx at 848
might have been the LOW of 2008

I do Have DEc 12/15th as another low period,
but NOT necessarily LOWER than oct27th

It may also be we are in a period of an UPWARD
trend to Mid FEB eclipses, thus we would be making
higher highs and HIGHER lows along the way.

We MUST CAUTION ourselves
NOT TO GET CAUGHT UP IN NEGATIVE sentiment,
and not look for a crash at this point to drop
under the spx 850 already established on oct27th.


Jay

minuette 4th waves

minuette 4th waves within a minor 3rd can be temp high risers and very misleading as to the real trend

I think thats whats due today

Heres another look at where we are now.

Jay

Elliott wave 5

I would appear that wave 5 of 3 of 3
has begun from the Nov4th high

So what do we as a group think about wave 5:3:3
I do agree with JERRY R @ 100% about Nov 19th
and Ive written the reason several times as well
as my outlook for Nov 17th FIBO CLUSTER

They have gained on close 1450 dow points on Nov 4th
How does that relate to Elliott rules?
Heres the QUESTIOn
Will Nov 17 to 19 AS WAVE 5 be MORE SEVERE than wave 3 on oct 27th
OR will they match the dow 8175 low of Oct 27th?

Assuming, and I think we can do this,
wave 1 dropped 930 pts on the 5th & 6th
then wave 2 should really hold at + 355 = dow 9050 or 38.2%
Then wave 3 of 3 of 5 should hit ON NOV 13th to 17th, IMO,

HOW LOW IS LOW from that point?
930 pts can be matched from 9050 would = 8120 AND yes, very likely
IF 1.618 x 930 = 1505 = dow @ 7545

thats A little more than the 2002 at 7200
VERY POSSIBLE for the 17th

Nov 19th might actually go down intraday to
touch or get damn close to 7200
We have 11:30am and 1:30 pm as time slots.

Best wishes
Jay

Nov 7th - Bradley date

We have already had the 800 pt loss or more that I wrote about earlier this week - WOW what a call !!
if I dont say so myself

Have not been able to post much this week , dealing with a loss in the family

BUT now what?

As the heading says, Bradley today should mark a short term low, with the 12th next and that should be a high

Futures indicate a higher open regardless of the jobs report, but Thats STILL an hour away from this writing

Power index pointed toward the decline this week, thus my ealier posting for 800 pts loss
Today it shows a higher open and subsequent collapse

Activity index was at 4.3 earlier this AM, but has since dropped to 1.3 at 7am - not sure how that will play out once the mtk opens



CYCLES
Bradley low
4.08 day cycle at 11am
156 bar cycle at 11am
38% segment of 13 day at 11:30

FTSE today made a midday low = to 1pm today in the USA
Charts edge has today languishing

Any low today should be met with a moderate rebound next week into the 12th, and Im still expecting the 13th to 19th to meet that 22/44 wk LOW that Jerry R has written about

17th HAS
55 - 89 - 110- 144- 233 & 280 tr days convergence
last convergence on 4th was a high, thus this one should be a low

the reading for the 19th, most imnportant, and Ive brot this to your attention in the past.
DO NOT FOLLOW THE CROWD
In other words, do not get suked in by NEGATIVE talk and sentiment
GO THE OTHER WAY- mkt intentions are WELL HIDDEN

Jay

A Second LOOK

This could be a little tricky the next 2 weeks
Reason is : the REVERSE correction off the LOWS on Oct 27th MIGHT NOT BE FINISHED
So we might only get a fibo drop to possible interim lows between 8176 & 9325
1150 pts gained or 1300 if counting intrday - ahh fibo, love it
could, and should get as low as 800 pts dow- (((62%)))

Then it becomes matter of when
Nov 4th at 11am has potential as the 84.5 hour cycle low point
Nov 7th also has some potential as the convergence of the 4day cycle at 10am
OR Nov 7th at 11:30am  a fibo segment of the 13 dy cycle

From there it appears UPward to Nov 12th, which could possibly make a higher high then
oct31st.
thats also an 8 day HIGH TO HIGH cycle

THEN Casey lowers the boom on the opne of the 13th, MY BDAY, and Nov 19th
Nov 19th has 22/44 cycle lows as per Jerry R
also is a 78.6% or 66 hr cycle low to hit at 12:25pm
is also a 4 day cycle low at 11 am

Jay