THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023

THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023
THE NEW JAYWIZ 2023

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

Break DOWN

Broke thru the LINE and DROPPED right after

NOW near noon and made lower lows at 11;30

NOT sure to hold or not-

My indication is to hold till EOD , but I have more tolerance

Jay

51 comments:

Jay Strauss said...

DAMN
they HIT the LOW at 60 bars at 11:30

Next one is at 2pm, then 3;30

Jay

rrman said...

great call Jay wish i had pulled a bit earlier but i'm happy we'll see how we do long into 2pm

Anonymous said...

Jay
Are you expecting a low at 2 pm and 3:30 pm?

rrman said...

high at 2pm anon low 330

rrman said...

sorry anon 1pm high 2pm low my bad

Jay Strauss said...

thanks rrman
You really do need to get more sleep
GGG
Jay

Anonymous said...

rrman needs to get off the meds

lol

ptg

rrman said...

oh come on you guys know you love me....

Anonymous said...

You'll be redrawing that chart soon jay. This action is bullish. If we were going to selloff, it would've happened already on the break.

rrman said...

as Ronald Reagan would say ....."welllllll..."

rrman said...

do we bounce off the channel again i say yes!!

rrman said...

went short at 1041 surely they won't let me ride this bus the 3rd time since midnight

Anonymous said...

Fully long now.



ptg

rrman said...

this down wave might get serious it has a lot of time over an hour to go....

Anonymous said...

If you wait too long, you may miss out on the next rally.


ptg

rrman said...

i wanna catch it but my ticket says get on the bus below the 1030 milepost ;-)

Jay Strauss said...

rrman
2pm might NOT be the LOD

Look again at Danerics chart page

I think I see an ASCENDING triangle
(Rising lower line- FLAT upper line)AT 1042-1044
in a 4th wave position
THUS the 5th wave will PLUNGE the largest distance of the previous decline = 30 spx pts from 1050 to 1029

which SHOULD be 1044- 30 = 1014

Jay
And it will COME ALL AT ONCE

rrman said...

Best thing you ever did Jay was tell me to target your times instead of my targets it is working perfectly

rrman said...

if we break the top of the channel around 1041/2 i guess you'll be right and need to get out of short

rrman said...

of course the trading God's could smile and we go down to 1029 bounce of the bottom of the channel go back up to 1044 then back down at 330.....

rrman said...

--->stands bye the 1029 milepost waiting on the bus...

Anonymous said...

all im seeing of any relevance today is a completed wedge we've broke out of on the 30min.possible backtest around 1039,watch for reaction thereabouts.if we dont test 1039,we goin straight back up to 1052

StalkThenPounce said...

I'm thinking along the same lines as you after8.

rrman said...

39 hissed at it and scared it back down

samamehta said...

I think we creep up to 1052-1054 before down to 1020. ES is hugging the 15 ema and ceeping up

rrman said...

went long 1039.50

Jay Strauss said...

looks like 5 waves from the 11;30 low??
Jay

rrman said...

out longs short at 1042.25

rrman said...

sold fas in ira 69.94

Anonymous said...

Didn't antone read the commentary 2 posts ago.

I'll I've been hearing today is CA-CHING!!!!!!!!!!

tlc

Anonymous said...

sold 1044.1,looking for a low somewhere around the 3.30 mentioned.fairly tight stop in case.lack of oomph with this rally.

Jay Strauss said...

Looks like a 5 -3 -5
from 1029 to 1045
amazing
2:10pm LOW yesterday
2;10pm High today
You know aobut 39 hours
how about 390 minutes
6.5 hours x 60 = 390
90 bars hit @ 1;55

Could be a DOUBLE zigzag with in intervening 3 now lower back to 1035ish.

Then higher tomrrow
OFF on Thsday
High Friday mid day @ 1070?

Jay

Jay Strauss said...

glad you guys can recognize a turn when you see it.

obv on the rally was poor

3;30 is 108 bars but it could go all the way or at least to 3;45
which it does often

Jay

rrman said...

thanks Jay sounds good

samamehta said...

Thanks jay. good call.

rrman , jay any target for the low here? or go with the time

Jay Strauss said...

IF it CLOSE on the LOD, then TOMRROW AM could drop to make 1020

BUT tomrrow calls for RECOVERY
& Turn for the better

propens index does show possible lower open and power index has small possible also

Some of you are better with price levels than I

Jay

rrman said...

1034 might be a bounce point here is asomov's trading range for this afternoon

http://tickerforum.org/cgi-ticker/akcs-www?getimagenr=50306

rrman said...

ill hold into the close since Jay sees weakness on his indicators for the morning but i trade futures so i can adjust all night long

Anonymous said...

bailing ship early here at 1041.now that volatility is back hour long gains can vanish in seconds.

rrman said...

Jay how many bars do you show between 330 and close?

Jay Strauss said...

Would be VERy interesting to break 1029 or less at the close and touching 1020 at open

Jay

rrman said...

not a bad idea after8 it may be tricky thanks for your observations

rrman said...

no kidding Jay and the futes would be so messed up all night on direction

Jay Strauss said...

120bars at 10am tomrrow
is NEXT significant pivot

and it could truncate to
9:45-9:50am

108 at 3;30 is NOT a usual pivot
so the close could possibly be the LOD today

Jay

Jay Strauss said...

258bars hit at 1pm Yestrday
thus restarting the next 258 bar cycle completing at 3pm on Thsday

BUt in between
we look for pivots
at 60-90-180-204-& 228
12 bars per hour
78 per day

Jay

Anonymous said...

last hours of trading during volatile seasons can be quite hairy rrman,better to be safe than sorry if your not totally convinced of direction,and even then... fomc tomorrow? range tightening up for another stonker of a move no doubt.

samamehta said...

Jay, I assume you are reffering ti SPX cash numbers and not ES?

Jay Strauss said...

spx CASh unless I specify otherwise
Jay

Anonymous said...

GAP-UP tomorrow, then quick consolidation/correction, then resume upward trend into FED.

tlc

rrman said...

went long they are selling the dollar

Jay Strauss said...

TLC
VERY POSSIBLE up open, sellback to 10;30, and EXPLOSIVe after FED.

Will be OUT of office tomrrow till 11am

Its looking like 1029 was the LOW this week

That means NEXT week Could set a lower low, and the LOW of the month on the 13th.
Some are expecting the 12th low
but Bradley is 10th with JUPITER 90 SUn

IM OUT- now in cash

Jay