THE FUTURE

THE FUTURE
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Friday, July 02, 2010

JULY 2nd EKG



more later
Jay

44 comments:

Jay Strauss said...

Just as the READING indicated
Ths & Fri flipped
so far
Friday started out with an early urge to spend, and has turned lower running out of gas.

I REMIND All of you that I had posted the MATH MODEL several times
which indicated SPX 1009 as potential for the NEXT important pivot.
If that does NOT hold today, then
its possible the next fibo level of 980 might start looking good for late today.

NO MATTER what the close today, I am STILL expecting a STRONG open, and higher mkt on JULY6 to early 8th

Just follow the JULY energy graph

Jay

astro8 said...

thanks jay looks good

Alesund said...

Thanks Jay,

Can you say when you expect that high point on the EKG?

Your work amazes me!

Jay Strauss said...

GOLD got CLOCKED yesterday
amid ALL the BULLISH talk of last week- Bullish sentiment was the killer, and price should continue to erode till JULY 15th.

Jay

Jay Strauss said...

Alesund
I would suspect a last hour
rout given a long holiday wkend

Flash has indicated 3:29pm
and there is a 329 bar cycle pivot at the same time

SPx 1009 would be just great for me.
ANY more would be an added gift.

Jay
258bars hit late +6bars at 264,at 10am but it matters not.

DAILY HOURLY turns as you may remember
occur at
11am
1pm
3pm
Watch daily and you will recognize them

Jay

Abdullah said...

Gold could trade down as low as 1150 and silver as low 16.

San said...

Dow Jones inverted head and shoulders and 50 hour moving average resistance
http://niftychartsandpatterns.blogspot.com/2010/07/dow-futures-inverted-hs-and-fifty-hour.html

rose2797 said...

Jay, what will yo buy at the end of day. TNA, if so will you feel comfortable holding through the weekend. Will TNA calls be much safer

Abdullah said...

TNA looks good. So does FAS.

cementzak said...

it doesn't look like we can finish the decline today. we've seen 1 of 5 , now in rebound. but that means that 3/4 & 5 of the final wave will come early next week, imho. so maybe sell off on the holiday - huge gap down on tuesday, and that will be it for 1 of Minor [1]

cementzak

cementzak said...

excuse me, 1 of Minor [3]

Abdullah said...

VXX is negative

STRANGE!???

Alesund said...

There's a good chance for a strong positive close and then tank on Tuesday as cementzak mentioned.

Jay Strauss said...

I dont know HOW many times I have to prove my methods

Monday WILL EXPLODE GAP UP
High WILL BE WEd early day

If you have something CONCRETE to
back up an off the cuff projection, please do so.

But we cant trade on what the mkt might do

ENUF preaching Jay- Ok

FAS is a lot cheaper than TNA or TYH
historically, does anyone know if one performs better than the other, OR are they about all the same ??

IM sure that the rally will include financials as well as tech.

Jay

sirgiyan said...

OEX option traders agree with Jay 100%. So do I

cementzak said...

Jay - US markets are not open on Monday - if wave count is correct we'll start 3 down later today ... but i asumme it will not finish today, but that it might finish on the ES on monday, and then when us market opens on tuesday start of rally

but wait & see what the rest of the day brings, maybe we see a flash crash towards the close and then this decline could be over here and now ...

this is purely based on wave count, ignoring the ASTRO. has worked very well this week so far

cementzak

Sean said...

Jay, r u still looking for a close at the LOD?

Many thanks for all your work!

Sean

Jay Strauss said...

Sorry
I MEANT TUESDAY will GAP up BIG TIME, especially should we FINISH
the wave low today at 3;30 to 4pm

I have written several times about the Monday holiday

Jay

soybeans said...

looks like a buy at the close at the lows ..TNA

rrman said...

tza daily chart is one of the best to see whats going on .....pretty nice trading range for several months it has been working well for me i bought at 5.90 on this last run and sold at 7.90 bought tna to ride it back when tza gets back to 6.50 or so will sell my tna and buy tza back i've made several round trips and tza is the best chart i've found to do this..

rrman said...

Lately Jay faz and tza have been pretty close on the percentage moves a month or so ago tza was moving more but now the seem pretty even...i play more tza because the financials seem to have more issues right now with the new fin bill pending

Jay Strauss said...

rrman
thanks
Ive been using FAZ also
BUT on close today I wish to get LONG, so will consider FAS & TYH
Possibly 50% each

Energy does not excite me-gg

As far as options, I find the DJX has GREAT beta

the DJX puts on the 29th DOUBLED
from my purchase on the 28th.

Jay

rrman said...

Tza chart that i use i am long tna since yesterday and fas

http://www.facebook.com/ross.aymami#!/photo.php?pid=31394150&id=1127956965

rose2797 said...

Looks like I will miss entry on
TNA again. It is same thing what happened to me for TZA last friday. At certain levels you have to buy instead of depending on activity index

cementzak said...

it starts to look like 1010 could be the low of 1 of [3]

Jay Strauss said...

1010, yes but was not supposed to be intraday

Damn

got to scramble to buy in

j

Jay Strauss said...

Activity index hit a low at 1pm at
200 now at 3;45 is at 333
and we see the results

J

Jay Strauss said...

there is a SMALL possibility
that Tuesday could start out LOWER
to finish the wave, and recover,

Not sure how to play this one.

Tues is an 8day turn with 13 hours at 10am, and a minor neg energy hit at 11am to 11;30

Jay

rose2797 said...

5min charts are obverbought on TNA and TYH. I decided to not to force buying at the end of the day and hold. If I miss, I miss. I buy price for TNA was under 34,which it hit aroung 12:30

soybeans said...

goin lower next week

Alesund said...

Today's close and behavior of the markets suggest the selling isn't over yet. Maybe a bounce, but we have a long way to go to the downside IMHO. There isn't enough fear and no capitulation.

Jay Strauss said...

Rose
Im standing aside also
Power index seems to indicate a possible low on Tuesday

Havent researched all yet, but wave count does not look complete

Cementzak might have it right and at least he can back up his claim

Jay
see yuh later alligator

Jay Strauss said...

should have retested 1010 at the least to mount a rally from a low

Jay

rose2797 said...

thanx jay

rrman said...

got another chance to buy tna afterhours with the dip

Alesund said...

Jay,

You do your best and I am so thankful for your efforts!

You can't always be spot on, but your work is excellent and don't ever get discouraged.

I believe cementzak's count is correct and we will bottom around the 975-980 level on the S&P. That will bring in the fear and capitulation and get loads of people short. Today wasn't "it" if you know what I mean.

Happy long weekend to all Americans out there. I wish all of you a great time R&Ring.

For the rest of us - back to studying charts, cycles, etc.

Alesund

Alesund said...

rrman,

Helge's charts seem to suggest strength ending today or on July 5th and then down to July 12th to a lower low that yesterday, July 1st.

Am I reading his charts wrong? They seem pretty straight forward.

I'm just wondering why buy now if you are following Helge's charts?

Have a great weekend!

cementzak said...

we might have started a 3 down at the end of the day, in that case monday futures will sell off....

but it is also possible that 1010 will be the low .... i still have some shorts but small amount, no longs

bye now
cementzak

rose2797 said...

If you look at 15 min charts on TNA and TYH, they are overbought. See Maurice Walkers charts on stockcharts.com. They got rejected and made a doji also TNA may come down to 30-32. Hadik and Helge are both pointing to July 12th low

AS said...

Rose - who is Hadik and is there a link for his outlook ?

rose2797 said...

Haddiik: link www.insiidetrack.com
I get free updates from him. He is expecting low on July 12 and rally till mid august. But the problem is, Arch Crawford is talking about some big cardinal climal on Aug 1. See his newsletter posted on Jan 2010. - crawfordperspective.com. I also heard is listened to his radio inteview somewhere

rrman said...

Alesund euro made the huge up wave but the market didnt that wave has to come and tues would be the time

cementzak said...

the reason why i like 1010 as a bottom, a retrace to retest the broken trendline would be a 50 à 61,8% retracement. another leg down would stop at 980 or so, that would make a retest of that trendline almost unreachable. also i can see big shake-out moves in the currencies before a real strong move in the oppossite direction (EUR/USD , EUR/JPY etc)

cementzak

Jay Strauss said...

Rose
CementZak
Alesund
Thanks
I AGREE with all of you NOW

A short term low should occur on TUeSDAY, probably at 1009
The 9th COULD FIND that low getting retested AFTER the rebound

FWIW
the REBOUND I HAD projected for
TUESDAY was PREDICATED on making a LOW at or near close Friday
at spx 1009

THAT DID NOT OCCUR

However,
the LAST 5 minutes dropped 65 pts
setting up a GAP DOWN OPEN FOR TUESDAY, and potential to end the day at 1009

That leases WED for the ONE DAY WONDER rally

meaning I wonder where that came from? gg
Jay